Ian Anderson
22-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Anderson shattered expectations in 10 starts across the regular season and the playoffs. The No. 3 overall pick in 2016 was higher on prospect rankings after 2018 than he was after his 2019 season, which closed with him walking 18 in 24.2 innings at Triple-A. The secret to his MLB success was a devastating 87 mph changeup he threw 31 percent of the time. His fastball and curveball are unremarkable, but the quality of his changeup allowed his other pitches to play up. Anderson's Barrel% was in the 99th percentile and his improved changeup led to a much higher GB% (52.5) than he'd shown in the minors. He has always walked too many batters, but it looks like his 15.9 BB% at Triple-A was the outlier. If the homer suppression and groundball rate he displayed are mostly sustainable, a high walk rate won't matter as much. He has been very durable and could approach 160 innings in his first full MLB season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#99
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $575,500 contract with the Braves in March of 2021.
Ten baserunners in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
April 15, 2021
Anderson allowed three earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out six across five innings Thursday against the Marlins. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Anderson didn't allow a long ball, which prevented this outing from becoming a disaster. However, he consistently fought his control -- only 57 of his 98 pitches were strikes -- and allowed 10 baserunners while recording only 15 outs. Anderson has had mixed results early on this season, as he's punched out 19 batters in only 15.1 frames, but he has yet to work more than 5.1 innings in any start this season and has a 4.70 ERA to show for it. He's in line to make his next start Wednesday at the Yankees.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Ian Anderson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Ian Anderson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-56%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .212 96 33 9 18 1 0 2
Since 2019vs Right .189 109 27 12 18 5 0 2
2021vs Left .391 25 7 1 9 1 0 2
2021vs Right .171 42 12 6 6 1 0 1
2020vs Left .145 71 26 8 9 0 0 0
2020vs Right .200 67 15 6 12 4 0 1
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-27%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-70%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-52%
ERA at Home
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.24 1.28 25.0 1 1 0 10.1 4.0 1.1
Since 2019Away 2.38 1.10 22.2 2 1 0 12.7 4.0 0.4
2021Home 6.10 1.55 10.1 0 0 0 10.5 4.4 1.7
2021Away 1.80 1.20 5.0 0 0 0 12.6 3.6 1.8
2020Home 1.23 1.09 14.2 1 1 0 9.8 3.7 0.6
2020Away 2.55 1.08 17.2 2 1 0 12.7 4.1 0.0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ian Anderson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.71
 
K/9
11.2
 
BB/9
4.1
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
94.2 mph
 
ERA
4.70
 
WHIP
1.43
 
BABIP
.331
 
GB/FB
3.80
 
Left On Base
78.7%
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.5%
 
Spin Rate
1934 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.3%
 
Swinging Strike
12.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ian Anderson
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Yesterday
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8 days ago
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8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as a number of aces are scheduled for two starts, including the Yankees' Gerrit Cole.
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12 days ago
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MLB Betting: Sunday Best Bets
14 days ago
Michael Rathburn likes the Astros to sweep the A's on Sunday in his best bets of the day.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
On the bright side, Anderson tied for the fourth-most strikeouts (172) in the minors during his age-20/21 season at Double-A and Triple-A. Unfortunately, his secondary stuff and command did not improve as one would have hoped. He has now logged walk rates north of 10% in four of five stops above rookie ball, with his 15.9 BB% at Triple-A ranking as easily his worst rate as a professional. His mid-90s fastball is his best pitch, while his curveball can be an above-average offering. However, his changeup still lags behind. When he throws strikes, good hitters can hunt fastballs and when he doesn't throw strikes, good hitters just take their walks. Youth, size (6-foot-3, 180 pounds) and velocity are the best things about his profile, but at some point he needs to start improving his weaknesses. The Braves won't call him up until he can at least demonstrate fringe-average command at Triple-A.
Of the five Braves pitching prospects who are top 100 prospects for dynasty leagues, Anderson is the only one who has not yet pitched in the majors. He continues to get better every year, and held High-A and Double-A hitters to a .199 AVG while allowing just two home runs en route to a 2.49 ERA. The 6-foot-3, 180-pound righty has prototypical size and an athletic delivery. He used his mid-90s fastball and plus curveball to lead the Florida State League with a 28.5 K%. That mark climbed to 30% across four starts in the Southern League, as his changeup steadily improved as the year went on. His command and control waxes and wanes, but when he is pounding the zone he is one of the best pitchers in the minors. Anderson logged a 1.17 ERA, 0.67 WHIP and 66 strikeouts in 53.2 innings across the nine starts where he walked one or fewer. With more consistent fastball command and continued improvement to his changeup, he could be a frontline starter.
The Braves have at least nine pitching prospects who warrant ownership in deeper leagues, and Anderson is squarely in the middle of that pack. He has a very athletic 6-foot-3, 170-pound frame and boasts a mid-90s fastball, plus curveball and potentially above-average changeup -- a pitch he really improved in 2017. His 28.5 percent strikeout rate ranked fourth in the Sally League among starters who threw at least 80 innings, and while his 12.1 percent walk rate was the fourth-worst mark in the league, evaluators still expect him to grow into at least average control, thanks to his athleticism and a repeatable delivery. While he only threw 17.2 innings in the final two months of the season, this was the result of a strict innings limit, not an injury. That said, it will be critical for him to build up his workload in the coming seasons. The Braves have been aggressive with top pitching prospects, but Anderson isn't as polished as Mike Soroka and Kolby Allard were last season, so look for him to get a standard one-level bump to High-A.
The Braves selected Anderson with the third overall pick in the 2016 draft because they knew he would sign for $2.5 million less than the slot value, allowing them to go over slot with their next five picks. That's not to say Anderson isn't an impressive young hurler. Only six players in the class received more than the $4 million he signed for and he was widely considered a top-15 talent heading into the draft. The 6-foot-3, 170-pound righty already boasts a low-90s fastball and his age and body type suggest he could add velocity in the coming years. He utilizes quality secondaries in his slider and changeup while also showing advanced command/control for his age. Anderson shut out the Gulf Coast League over 18 innings before heading to the more advanced Appalachian League, where he continued to look the part of a top-10 pick. He should spend most of 2017 with Low-A Rome and has all the tools to develop into a mid-rotation arm.
More Fantasy News
Registers six strikeouts
PAtlanta Braves
April 10, 2021
Anderson hurled 5.1 innings against the Phillies on Saturday, allowing four runs on five hits and one walk while striking out six. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven against Phillies
PAtlanta Braves
April 4, 2021
Anderson gave up one run on four hits and two walks while fanning seven across five innings Sunday against the Phillies. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Continues racking up K's
PAtlanta Braves
March 20, 2021
Anderson struck out nine over 4.2 innings during Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant spring outing Saturday
PAtlanta Braves
March 14, 2021
Anderson struck out seven with only one walk over 3.1 innings during Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Red Sox, Gabriel Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up first postseason runs
PAtlanta Braves
October 19, 2020
Anderson threw just three innings in Game 7 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Sunday, allowing two runs on five hits while walking two and striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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