Dane Dunning
24-Year-Old PitcherRP
Chicago White Sox AA
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Dunning was shut down in late June with a right elbow strain, but was back for instructional league, so he appears to have avoided Tommy John surgery, for now. Prior to the injury, he was cruising in his first taste of Double-A, with a 2.40 FIP, 26.3 K% and a groundball rate just a hair under 50%. That success oversells his stuff to some degree. He has a legitimate four-pitch mix, but lacks a the type of electric arsenal we would typically associate with a pitcher who has struck out more than 10 batters per nine at every full-season stop (which he has done). His low-90s sinker is effective, and his slider can flash plus, but with just fringe-average command, it's the type of repertoire typically found in a No. 4 starter. Already 24 years old and without a significantly high ceiling, Dunning does not need to be universally rostered in dynasty leagues, particularly with last year's elbow injury portending the eventual need for some sort of procedure. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Nationals in June of 2016 that includes a $2 million signing bonus. Traded to the White Sox in December of 2016.
Throwing pain-free
PChicago White Sox  AA
Elbow
October 2, 2018
Dunning (elbow) is throwing pain-free, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Dunning's season ended in June thanks to an elbow sprain, but he's back to throwing side sessions with no pain after a lengthy period of rest and rehab. The young right-hander, who posted a 2.71 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.4 K/9 across 86.1 innings (15 starts) in the minors prior to getting hurt, should be ready to go by the start of spring training barring any setbacks.
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In his final column of the season, Brad Johnson supplies his list of up and coming talent. Featured on this list is Cardinals’ Alex Reyes, who exhibited serious skills in 2016 before an injury cost him all of 2017.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
The third returning piece for Chicago in the Adam Eaton trade, Dunning was unproven heading into 2017, but he quickly established himself as a future rotation piece. He has a solid four-pitch mix, and could end up with anywhere from three to zero plus pitches. His ability to sequence and locate his offerings allowed him to dominate hitters at High-A. Dunning ranked third in the Carolina League in strikeout rate (26.4 percent) and K-BB (19.4 percent). Double-A should present a valuable challenge, as his repertoire may not lead to the same gaudy strikeout totals against more advanced hitters. Entering his age-23 season, there won't be much margin for error in the minds of dynasty-league owners, as most of his contemporaries are already at Triple-A or knocking on the door of the big leagues. If he continues to command his mid-90s sinking fastball and his slider and curveball continue to miss bats, a future No. 3 starter could quickly come into focus.
On a loaded pitching staff at the University of Florida last season, Dunning got somewhat overlooked, but he showed enough upside for the Nationals to nab him with the 29th overall pick in the draft. A 6-foot-4 right-hander, his success on the mound comes more from the deception inherent in his mechanics and killer changeup than it does from an overpowering fastball, but that arsenal allowed him to make a solid pro debut between the GCL and short-season Low-A. Whether he's able to become a reliable starting pitcher in the majors depends on the development of his breaking pitch, a slurvy offering which at this point lags well behind his low 90s fastball and change, but his college experience out of the bullpen will serve him well if that ends up being his ultimate role. Traded to the White Sox in the Adam Eaton deal, the 21-year-old is still a few years away from being a factor for Chicago, so he's get plenty of time and plenty of chances to work on that breaking pitch before his role is finalized.
More Fantasy News
Diagnosed with elbow sprain
PChicago White Sox  AA
Elbow
June 27, 2018
Dunning suffered a moderate elbow sprain during Saturday's start with Double-A Birmingham and will be placed on the minor-league disabled list.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves start with elbow soreness
PChicago White Sox  AA
Elbow
June 24, 2018
Dunning left his start for Double-A Birmingham on Saturday with right elbow soreness, James Fegan of The Athletic Chicago reports.
ANALYSIS
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Promoted to Double-A
PChicago White Sox  AA
April 26, 2018
Dunning was promoted to Double-A Birmingham on Thursday, James Fegan of The Athletic Chicago reports.
ANALYSIS
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Two dominant starts at High-A
PChicago White Sox  AA
April 11, 2018
Dunning allowed two hits and struck out eight over 6.1 innings for High-A Winston-Salem on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Sent to minor-league camp
PChicago White Sox  AA
March 16, 2018
The White Sox reassigned Dunning to minor-league camp Friday.
ANALYSIS
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