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Dane Dunning

Dane Dunning

30-Year-Old PitcherRP
Texas Rangers AAA
2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
5.40
WHIP
2.00
K
5
SV
1
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Dunning began the 2024 season in the rotation, but was 4-6 with a 4.73 ERA after 12 starts and was pushed to the bullpen for the remainder of the season. Dunning got his strikeouts as a starter (26.7 percent rate) but a 15.1 percent K-BB percentage and a 1.7 HR/9 did him in. He also had a .206 average against and a 1.25 WHIP in that time, but struggled mightily to keep runners from scoring due to the homers. The move to the pen did not improve anything, as the homers continued, but his strikeouts declined and the league hit .331 against him out of the pen. Dunning, like Chris Bassitt, hasn't met a pitch he doesn't like to throw, as he threw seven different offerings last season in an effort to find something that worked. The problem is nothing worked too well long-term, and the league pounced on the mistakes. As bad as 2024 was, he still had a good 2023, but Dunning's true talent level is as a back-end starter, and for 2023 to happen again, everything has to go his way. That is simply asking too much of someone with his below-average stuff. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#362
ADP
League AAA
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'4"
Weight 225
DOB 12/20/1994
Born Orange Park, FL
College Florida
Drafted 1st Rd 2016 WSH
Signed a one-year, $2.66 million contract with the Rangers in November of 2024. Contract includes $50,000 bonuses for 30, 40, 50 and 60 innings, $75,000 bonuses for 70, 80 and 90 innings, and $80,000 bonuses for 100, 105, 110, 120, 130, 140 and 150 innings.
Sent back to Triple-A
PTexas Rangers  AAA
June 27, 2025
The Rangers optioned Dunning to Triple-A Round Rock on Friday.
Analysis
Dunning's demotion makes room on the 26-man roster for Nathan Eovaldi (triceps), who was reinstated from the 15-day injured list ahead of his start against the Mariners on Friday. Dunning worked out of the Rangers' bullpen against the Orioles on Monday, allowing one run on two hits and two walks while striking out two batters across two innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
45
Last 10 Games
45
Last 5 Games
45
How many pitches does Dane Dunning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dane Dunning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-45%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .267 556 108 59 129 23 3 21
Since 2023vs Right .245 612 128 40 137 24 1 18
2025vs Left .222 12 3 3 2 0 0 0
2025vs Right .400 13 2 1 4 1 0 1
2024vs Left .263 203 44 23 46 11 1 10
2024vs Right .258 218 47 17 51 8 0 8
2023vs Left .270 341 61 33 81 12 2 11
2023vs Right .233 381 79 22 82 15 1 9
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-25%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-30%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.74 1.28 125.1 9 6 1 7.4 2.6 1.9
Since 2023Away 3.91 1.38 147.1 8 8 0 8.1 3.8 0.7
2025Home 6.00 2.00 3.0 0 0 1 9.0 6.0 3.0
2025Away 4.50 2.00 2.0 0 0 0 9.0 9.0 0.0
2024Home 5.16 1.39 45.1 2 4 0 9.7 3.2 2.2
2024Away 5.44 1.49 49.2 3 3 0 7.6 4.3 1.3
2023Home 4.44 1.19 77.0 7 2 0 6.0 2.1 1.8
2023Away 3.10 1.32 95.2 5 5 0 8.4 3.5 0.5
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
 
 
-43%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-35%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-62%
BAA vs RHP
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .303 128 24 15 33 5 3 4
Since 2023vs Right .172 142 43 9 22 8 0 3
2025vs Left .291 94 18 11 23 2 3 4
2025vs Right .188 107 31 7 18 7 0 2
2024vs Left .333 34 6 4 10 3 0 0
2024vs Right .125 35 12 2 4 1 0 1
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stat Review
How does Dane Dunning compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.25
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
7.2
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
90.2 mph
 
ERA
5.40
 
WHIP
2.00
 
BABIP
.355
 
GB/FB
0.71
 
Left On Base
81.4%
 
Exit Velocity
76.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.3%
 
Spin Rate
2155 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.1%
 
Swinging Strike
9.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Rangers Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2019
2018
2017
Dunning pushed his way into the Texas rotation early last year when Jacob deGrom was shut down in April because of an elbow injury that ultimately required Tommy John surgery. Dunning pitched well enough to continue filling deGrom's shoes in the first half of 2024, with the Rangers also needing coverage for Max Scherzer (back) and Tyler Mahle (elbow) -- both on similar recovery timelines as deGrom. A heavy sinker-slider pitcher who relies more on inducing soft contact than strikeouts, Dunning doesn't have the highest fantasy ceiling at age 29. He should be a nice source of wins, though, as he reprises a regular rotation role with the reigning World Series champions, and he could offer ERA and WHIP help in favorable matchups. Draft him late in deeper mixed leagues. Put him on a streaming watch list in shallower formats.
Dunning had a bit of a Kruger effect in 2022 attempting to be more than his stuff really is. In a perfect world, he is a back-end starter for single league formats, but the only redeeming value he offered in fantasy leagues last season was 137 strikeouts in 153.1 innings of work. Those strikeouts came with significant ratio damage and just 4 wins in 29 starts. His slider remains a very plus pitch for him, but his other offerings lag behind the slider and none of them show any sign of improvement. He did tweak his utilization a bit last season, but there was little change to his overall results. He is not a mixed league option with only one pitch functioning at even an average level. Texas has reshaped its rotation with the additions of Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney and Nathan Eovalid, likely leaving Dunning to compete with Jake Odorizzi for a potential No. 6 spot and spot starts. Dunning may now begin the campaign as a long reliever.
Dunning throws a collection of pitches, none of which are above average. His modus operandi is keeping opposing hitters off balance and trusting his defense. His favorite weapon of choice is his sinker, so an improved infield defense behind him should help matters somewhat this season. Looking at the fact he also has 30% or greater whiff rates on his slider, changeup and curveball makes us wonder whether he could find more success adjusting his pitch utilization. Like many young pitchers, Dunning leaned on his fastball when behind in the count and the league hit a healthy .351 while slugging .544 off the fastball in those counts. The pieces are here for him to take a step forward with some adjustments, but the overall lack of pure stuff limits how high he can climb.
Dunning missed the entire 2019 campaign while recovering from Tommy John surgery but was thought of highly enough within the White Sox organization to earn a big-league callup last season despite having never pitched beyond Double-A. The vote of confidence paid off as Dunning enjoyed a fine rookie campaign, posting a 3.97 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over seven starts (34 innings). The numbers mostly hold up; the right-hander's 4.16 xFIP closely trailed his ERA and his 24.6 K% was in line with his minor-league rate. Though Dunning doesn't possess a dominant fastball, he mixes up four pitches well, which helped him generate a satisfactory 11.4 SwStr% last season. His 9.2 BB% needs to come down and the .239 BABIP is unsustainable, but Dunning's feel for pitching provides him a moderate floor. He should fill a mid-rotation spot for Texas, who parted with Lance Lynn to land Dunning in an offseason trade.
Dunning was shut down in late June with a right elbow strain, but was back for instructional league, so he appears to have avoided Tommy John surgery, for now. Prior to the injury, he was cruising in his first taste of Double-A, with a 2.40 FIP, 26.3 K% and a groundball rate just a hair under 50%. That success oversells his stuff to some degree. He has a legitimate four-pitch mix, but lacks a the type of electric arsenal we would typically associate with a pitcher who has struck out more than 10 batters per nine at every full-season stop (which he has done). His low-90s sinker is effective, and his slider can flash plus, but with just fringe-average command, it's the type of repertoire typically found in a No. 4 starter. Already 24 years old and without a significantly high ceiling, Dunning does not need to be universally rostered in dynasty leagues, particularly with last year's elbow injury portending the eventual need for some sort of procedure.
The third returning piece for Chicago in the Adam Eaton trade, Dunning was unproven heading into 2017, but he quickly established himself as a future rotation piece. He has a solid four-pitch mix, and could end up with anywhere from three to zero plus pitches. His ability to sequence and locate his offerings allowed him to dominate hitters at High-A. Dunning ranked third in the Carolina League in strikeout rate (26.4 percent) and K-BB (19.4 percent). Double-A should present a valuable challenge, as his repertoire may not lead to the same gaudy strikeout totals against more advanced hitters. Entering his age-23 season, there won't be much margin for error in the minds of dynasty-league owners, as most of his contemporaries are already at Triple-A or knocking on the door of the big leagues. If he continues to command his mid-90s sinking fastball and his slider and curveball continue to miss bats, a future No. 3 starter could quickly come into focus.
On a loaded pitching staff at the University of Florida last season, Dunning got somewhat overlooked, but he showed enough upside for the Nationals to nab him with the 29th overall pick in the draft. A 6-foot-4 right-hander, his success on the mound comes more from the deception inherent in his mechanics and killer changeup than it does from an overpowering fastball, but that arsenal allowed him to make a solid pro debut between the GCL and short-season Low-A. Whether he's able to become a reliable starting pitcher in the majors depends on the development of his breaking pitch, a slurvy offering which at this point lags well behind his low 90s fastball and change, but his college experience out of the bullpen will serve him well if that ends up being his ultimate role. Traded to the White Sox in the Adam Eaton deal, the 21-year-old is still a few years away from being a factor for Chicago, so he's get plenty of time and plenty of chances to work on that breaking pitch before his role is finalized.
More Fantasy News
Summoned from Triple-A
PTexas Rangers  AAA
June 23, 2025
The Rangers selected Dunning's contract from Triple-A Round Rock on Monday.
Analysis
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Outrighted to Triple-A
PTexas Rangers  AAA
May 3, 2025
Dunning cleared waivers Saturday and was sent outright to Triple-A Round Rock.
Analysis
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Designated for assignment
PTexas Rangers  AAA
April 30, 2025
The Rangers designated Dunning for assignment Wednesday, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Analysis
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Back in big leagues
PTexas Rangers  AAA
April 28, 2025
The Rangers selected Dunning's contract from Triple-A Round Rock on Monday, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Analysis
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Outrighted to Triple-A
PTexas Rangers  AAA
March 25, 2025
The Rangers outrighted Dunning to Triple-A Round Rock on Tuesday, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Done in Texas?
PTexas Rangers  AAA
October 12, 2024
According to Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News, Dunning could be "out of the Rangers' plans" after posting a 5.31 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 91:40 K:BB across 95 innings during 2024.
Analysis
The right-hander started in 15 of his 26 appearances and took a major step back after he finished 2023 with a 3.70 ERA while making 26 starts. Dunning otherwise hasn't looked like a viable major-league starter since joining the Rangers in 2021, and the organization may not view him as an option for the rotation going forward.
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