Clayton Kershaw
Clayton Kershaw
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Even Kershaw wasn’t immune from the 2017 home run barrage as he recorded a HR/9 north of 1.0 for the first time, allowing 23 long balls, by far a career high. He also averaged just 6.5 innings per start, his first season below 7.0 since 2012. The lefty also missed over a month due to injury for the third time in the last four seasons. Still, Kershaw remains the top fantasy starting pitcher, though durability likely precludes him from top overall player consideration. He’s as dominant as ever, though his 2017 walk rate (1.5 BB/9) regressed back to career norms after his ultra-stingy 2016 campaign. While it’s tempting to overlook the issue as Kershaw’s health appears fine, back woes often hibernate; they rarely go away. Injury risk puts him atop a tier with fellow aces Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber and Chris Sale. The days of tossing 230-plus innings are likely over anyway, even if he stays healthy all year. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Agreed to a seven-year, $215 million contract extension with the Dodgers in January of 2014.
Allows one earned in no-decision
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 19, 2018
Kershaw allowed two runs (one earned) on three hits and five walks while striking out three over seven innings in a no-decision against the Rockies on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
The five walks were a bit out of character, but Kershaw still fired a decent percentage of his pitches for strikes (60 of 97). The lefty got into trouble in the third inning after a pair of walks and an error, then later allowed a solo home run to Charlie Blackmon, but he was otherwise able to stifle the Colorado lineup without much trouble. He's now thrown 14 straight quality starts and sports a 2.45 ERA and 145:28 K:BB across 150.1 innings on the season. Next up is Monday's start at Arizona.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .209 413 121 12 83 11 2 13
Since 2016vs Right .206 1413 398 57 275 53 2 34
2018vs Left .246 132 33 5 31 5 0 6
2018vs Right .213 471 112 23 94 21 1 10
2017vs Left .248 140 36 5 33 3 2 7
2017vs Right .203 539 166 25 103 17 0 16
2016vs Left .138 141 52 2 19 3 0 0
2016vs Right .201 403 120 9 78 15 1 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-21%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-53%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.13 0.85 249.1 20 6 0 10.1 1.4 0.9
Since 2016Away 2.20 0.96 224.0 18 7 0 9.5 1.2 0.9
2018Home 2.58 1.02 83.2 3 3 0 8.8 2.2 1.0
2018Away 2.30 1.02 66.2 5 2 0 8.5 1.1 0.9
2017Home 2.58 0.92 90.2 9 2 0 11.2 1.5 1.4
2017Away 2.03 0.98 84.1 9 2 0 9.5 1.6 1.0
2016Home 1.08 0.57 75.0 8 1 0 10.3 0.5 0.1
2016Away 2.31 0.88 74.0 4 3 0 10.5 0.9 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Clayton Kershaw compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
5.18
 
K/9
8.7
 
BB/9
1.7
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
90.9 mph
 
ERA
2.45
 
WHIP
1.02
 
BABIP
.281
 
GB/FB
1.90
 
Strand %
81.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Dodgers Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Despite missing two months with a back injury -- specifically, a herniated disc -- Kershaw finished as the No. 6 pitcher last season in terms of earned 5x5 fantasy value. He was more dominant than ever when on the mound, posting an otherworldly 172:11 K:BB in 149 innings (65:2 K:BB in May). His 15.3 percent swinging-strike rate would have tied Max Scherzer as the best among qualifiers had he logged enough innings to qualify, and Kershaw's command and control reached unprecedented levels as he shaved his walk rate to just two percent. There were no noticeable lingering effects from the back injury upon his return in September (0.86 ERA) and he looked plenty strong into late October as he carried the Dodgers on said back to the NLCS. Entering his age-29 season, Kershaw still looks very much in his prime and remains worthy of a first-round pick, if not top-five overall.
It had been 13 years since we had seen a pitcher strike out 300 or more in a season (Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling in 2002), but Kershaw finished with 301 punchouts en route to winning 16 games with a 2.13 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. After posting sub-2.00 ERA seasons in 2013 and 2014, it's amazing to think some view 2015 as a disappointment for Kershaw, but that's what happens when expectations are sky-high. Kershaw's 11.6 K/9 was easily the best mark of his distinguished career, and as usual his control was excellent with a 1.6 BB/9. It's fair to wonder whether we have seen him peak, but Kershaw is only headed into his age-28 season, so he's firmly in his prime. Like all pitchers, there is always the possibility of a massive drop-off or some sort of arm injury, but few would give any other pitcher the title of "best in the game," making him a sure-fire 2016 first-round pick, particularly given the strikeout ability.
What could Kershaw possibly do to improve upon his three straight ERA and WHIP titles with a pair of Cy Youngs and a second-place finish in between? Surely, he can’t get better, so even though you can expect greatness, it’ll likely be regressed from 2013. Well, not exactly. Left with the seemingly impossible task of one-upping himself, Kershaw somehow did just that and then some, winning titles in the aforementioned categories, including career-bests in each, as well as his third Cy Young and his first NL MVP. And all of that despite missing April and failing to reach the 200-inning mark. At this point, it would be foolish to suggest he can’t possibly best himself yet again. How about a 1.00 ERA? He is the unquestioned best pitcher in the game and a surefire first-rounder regardless of league size and format.
Kershaw took home his second NL Cy Young award in three years, recording the lowest ERA (1.82) since Pedro Martinez posted a 1.74 mark in the 2000 season. Kershaw also led the league in strikeouts (232) and WHIP (0.92) while tossing a career-high 236 innings. Basically, he's the best pitcher in "real life" and in fantasy. Amazingly, he'll pitch all of 2014 as a 26-year-old, and the 2.0 BB/9 that Kershaw carried last season was actually the best result he's ever returned in that department.
Kershaw finished second in the NL Cy Young voting to R.A. Dickey, but it was another solid season for the left-hander. Kershaw led the league in ERA (2.53) for the second straight season while finishing with 229 strikeouts, second in the league behind Dickey's 230. Kershaw had a 2.10 ERA after the All-Star break, while continuing to average 93 mph with his fastball with excellent control (2.5 BB/9). It's amazing to think that he's only entering his age-25 season, so another Cy Young caliber performance seems likely barring an injury. He should be one of the first three pitchers off all draft boards this spring.
Kershaw was named the National League Cy Young winner after winning the NL's pitching triple crown with 21 wins, a 2.28 ERA and 248 strikeouts. The key to his success was a marked improvement in his control, as his BB/9IP trend over the past three years looks like this: 4.8, 3.6 and 2.1. It's pretty much impossible for Kershaw to markedly improve upon his 2011 season, but considering he's just 24, he should be very good for the next several years.
Kershaw took a big step towards ace status in 2010, finishing as one of only four NL starters with at least 200 strikeouts (212) and an ERA under 3.00 (2.91). A big key to his success was in dropping his walk rate from 4.8 BB/9IP in 2009 to 3.6 last year (and 3.0 after the All-Star break). Kershaw will look to build on that in 2011 as a 23-year-old with 483 big league innings already under his belt. The sky is certainly the limit.
Kershaw played all of 2009 as a 21-year-old in his first full season, and the results were impressive, even though the 8-8 win-loss record was not. Among National League pitchers, Kershaw's 2.79 ERA ranked fifth and his 185 strikeouts were 11th. The big problem? His 93 walks ranked third. Seemingly the only thing preventing the former seventh overall pick from annual NL Cy Young contention is that wavering command, and encouragingly, Kershaw made some adjustments in the season's second half that resulted in a 4.0 BB/9IP rate versus a 5.3 mark before the All-Star break. He's already a top-30 fantasy pitcher, with the potential for far more as early as 2010.
Kershaw acquitted himself well in his first taste of major league action, going 5-5 with a 4.26 ERA and 100:52 K:BB in 107.2 innings for the Dodgers. Kershaw's command wavered from time to time, though he finished with a 60:24 K:BB in his final two months after starting with a 40:28 mark. He will be counted on as the team's No. 5 starter and could approach 200 strikeouts once given 180 innings of work (to limit the strain on his golden arm). Kershaw is projected as a true ace, though that day may not come for a couple years.
Kershaw skipped High-A ball this year, jumping straight to Double-A in August at the ripe old age of 19. It was Kershaw's first full season as a professional after being drafted seventh overall out of high school in 2006. Between Low-A and Double-A, Kershaw had a 2.95 ERA and 163:67 K:BB in 122 innings. He'll return to Double-A to open 2008, but if Kershaw can improve his overall command and show improvement in his changeup, he could be a huge factor for the Dodgers down the stretch in 2008. He's probably baseball's top pitching prospect yet to debut in the big leagues.
The team's No. 1 pick (seventh overall) in the 2006 draft, Kershaw, despite his youth, is already one of baseball's top pitching prospects. Unlike other young Dodger pitchers, the control bug has yet to bite the young left-hander. In 37 innings for the GCL Dodgers, Kershaw posted an impressive 54:5 K:BB ratio featuring a fastball that already touches 96 mph, a plus curve and an advanced change. He'll make his full-season debut in 2007 (likely for the organization's new affiliate in the Low-A Midwest League), and while he won't be major league ready until sometime in 2009, long-term keeper leaguers should have Kershaw on their radars.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out eight
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 13, 2018
Kershaw (8-5) allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out eight across six innings to earn the win Thursday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Start bumped to Thursday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 9, 2018
Kershaw will make his next scheduled start Thursday at St. Louis, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Strikes out seven in win
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 8, 2018
Kershaw (7-5) struck out seven and walked one in six innings Friday against the Rockies, allowing two runs on six hits en route to a win.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Allows two earned runs
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 2, 2018
Kershaw allowed two earned runs on four hits and no walks while striking out three across seven innings Saturday against the Diamondbacks. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Next start pushed to Saturday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 29, 2018
Kershaw's next outing will come against Arizona on Saturday, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.