Handicapping the NBA: Game 6 Picks

Handicapping the NBA: Game 6 Picks

This article is part of our Handicapping the NBA series.

Alex Barutha

Either team to win by 8 points or less (-110) – FanDuel (1:13 PM CT)

This is somewhat of a protest pick, as I feel too attached as a Bucks fan to objectively pick a winner for this game, and even player props are tough to analyze. However, I do think this will be a nail-biter regardless of who wins. Laying the standard -110 on this unconventional bet doesn't feel like amazing value, but it also doesn't feel like I'm being ripped off. Ultimately, I'm just hoping for an all-time Finals game, and I'm hopeful for a Bucks victory.

Nick Whalen

Suns at Bucks UNDER 222.0 total points (-115) – DraftKings (11:53 AM CT)

Game 5 went way over this total (by 20 points, to be exact), but it was a historic shooting night for both teams that is wildly unlikely to be replicated. At one point, Milwaukee and Phoenix combined to score on 13 consecutive possessions, with difficult, contested jumpers accounting for several of those buckets. Both teams shot at least 50 percent from three and both shot well over 50 percent from the field. Meanwhile, the pace came in at just 91.5 – a very low number for a game with 242 combined points. I expect this game to feel like a Game 7 with both teams slowing things down and maximizing each possession. 

Khris Middleton OVER 4.5 assists (-150) vs. Phoenix Suns – DraftKings

You're not getting a ton of value here, but this is an appealing number for a player who's gone over this number in 12 of his last 15 games. Middleton has at least four assists in every game in that span, and with the Suns likely keying on him in the halfcourt, he should have plenty of opportunities to pass out of double teams to open shooters or Giannis Antetokounmpo/Brook Lopez inside.

Jae Crowder OVER 2.5 three-pointers (-125) at Milwaukee Bucks – DraftKings

It feels like Crowder either goes 0-for-8 or 6-for-8 from three in every game, but as a Bucks sympathizer, it's hard not to imagine him hitting a few backbreaking threes throughout the night. In the two games in Milwaukee so far, he's a combined 9-of-16 from beyond the arc.

Ken Crites

Devin Booker OVER 30.5 points (-125) – BetMGM (11:10am ET) 

The Suns aren't going down without a fight, especially at home. A gunslinger like Booker isn't going to leave bullets in the chamber. He's scored 40 and 42 points in the last two games of these Finals. It's not like the Suns will turn to Jevon Carter to save them.

Jacob Lebowitz

Suns moneyline at MIL (+170) – BetMGM (12:17 PM CT)

Although the Bucks have looked dominant during their three-game winning streak, the last two games came down to the final possessions. Chris Paul and Devin Booker both turned the ball over late in Games 4 and 5, which ended up sealing the games for the Bucks. I think this game will be close yet again, but I don't think the Suns are going to make another critical mistake that costs them their season. This could also be Paul's last deep playoff run, so I expect him to be at his best along with Booker, who has dropped 40+ in the last two games. 

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Tweet @KenCrites or e-mail at ken@rotowire.com. Ken won the FSWA 2014 Humor Article Of The Year award. He's also the 2016 Champion of the prestigious RW NBA Keeper League and the 2019 Champion of the RW NFL Ottonue Keeper League. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Jacob Lebowitz
Jacob writes about fantasy sports and sports betting for RotoWire. He's always doing something sports-related whether that's playing NBA 2K, watching a football game or playing a game of pickup basketball.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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