Yahoo DFS Basketball: Friday Picks

Yahoo DFS Basketball: Friday Picks

This article is part of our Yahoo DFS Basketball series.

We are in the last weeks of the regular season, so short-term trends are often more predictive than season-long ones because teams are changing the way they play, and/or new players are taking over positions that were previously held by others. There are several examples of that listed below, both for the recommended and the players to avoid. Young players are moving up and veterans moving down on lottery teams, while teams still fighting for playoff positioning are doing the opposite.

GUARDS

Ish Smith, DET at MIL ($16): Smith has been the starting point guard with no challenge from Reggie Jackson (knee) for the last few games, and he has responded with three games between 29.6 and 39.2 fantasy points. On Friday, he faces a Bucks defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to point guards over the last 10 games.

Buddy Hield, SAC at NO ($16): Hield has played two straight games against elite defenses (Jazz and Grizzlies) and combined for only 25.7 fantasy points. However, in the four games before that he scored between 29.9 and 45.1 fantasy points in each. He now faces off against his former team, which has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to shooting guards over the last 10 games.

Guard to Avoid

Bradley Beal, WAS at UTA ($50): Beal has scored between 20 and 29 fantasy points in five of his last eight games. He's a great player, so he also has two games in the 30s and one over 50 fantasy points in that stretch, but he has been below par in the majority of his recent games, which is unacceptable in a player with a price this high. Additionally, he faces an elite Jazz defense, which has allowed the fewest fantasy points allowed to shooting guards this season, including the seventh-fewest over the last five.

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FORWARDS

Terrence Ross, ORL at BOS ($16): Ross continues the theme of $16 value-play recommendations. Like Smith and Hield, Ross isn't a world-beater by himself, but he's another who has been productive for his price. In his last five games, he has scored between 25.0 and 32.3 fantasy points. On Friday, he faces a Celtics defense that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to small forwards in the last 10 games.

Zach Randolph, MEM vs DAL ($20): Randolph has started at center the last three games in place of Marc Gasol (foot), and he has scored between 27.7 and 39.0 fantasy points. Grizzlies coach David Fizdale says he believes that Gasol feels a little better, but he's still no guarantee to play. If he sits, Randolph makes for another solid play.

Forward to Avoid

Carmelo Anthony, NY at MIA ($35): Anthony's minutes and usage rate have been trending down, with the Knicks mathematically eliminated from the playoffs and wanting to see what they have in their younger players. Anthony said he is "at peace" with playing a reduced role, but it's obviously not good for his fantasy value.

CENTERS

Rudy Gobert, UTA vs WAS ($35): Gobert has played as well or better than any center going Friday, scoring between 34.0 and 60.1 fantasy points in eight straight games, including five with at least 44.0. However, he is the fourth-most expensive center, $15 less than DeMarcus Cousins (he also makes a good play in a revenge game against his former team). Gobert has a great chance to produce against a Wizards defense that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to centers over the last 10 games.

Al Horford, BOS vs ORL ($27): Horford has scored between 29.7 and 51.1 fantasy points in nine straight games, as he's playing some of his best basketball of the season. On Friday, he faces a Magic defense that has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to centers over the last 10 games.

Center to Avoid

Marcin Gortat, WAS at UTA ($17): Gortat has not scored more than 26.2 fantasy points in the 10 games, failing to reach even 20.0 eight times. He now faces an elite Jazz defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to centers over the last 10 games.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andre' Snellings
Andre' Snellings is a Neural Engineer by day, and RotoWire's senior basketball columnist by night. He's a two-time winner of the Fantasy Basketball Writer of the Year award from the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.
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