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NCAA Tournament Preview: Player Rankings

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NCAA Tournament player rankings are based on scoring average and possible games played. But because balancing those two factors can be tricky -- a player with a lower scoring average who is certain to play multiple games is a better pick than a higher-scoring player who is likely to play fewer games -- possible games are based on seeds to eliminate guesswork from the equation.

Seeds 1-4 have the potential to play six games; seeds 5-7 likely won't advance to the Final Four, but could play four games; seeds 8-9 likely will only play two games because the top seeds are waiting in the second round; seeds 10-13 might be able to advance to the Sweet 16, but probably no farther (three games); and seeds 14-16 aren't likely to get out of the first round. No. 1 seeds also were given slightly greater weight atop the list, with No. 16 seeds given slightly lesser weight at the bottom. Teams in the play-in games were not considered for an extra game.

Of course, if you think, for example, Syracuse is going to win the championship (and thus play six games), you'll want to give greater weight to Syracuse players in your personal rankings. This list is a starting point.

1. Deshaun Thomas, Ohio State, F19.62
2. Russ Smith, Louisville, G18.11
3. Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga, F17.51
4. Mason Plumlee, Duke, F17.22
5. Seth Curry, Duke, G17.02
6. Cody Zeller, Indiana, F16.91
7. Trey Burke, Michigan, G19.24
8. Ben McLemore, Kansas, G16.41
9. Otto Porter, Georgetown, F16.32
10. Rodney McGruder, Kansas State, G15.74
11. Doug McDermott, Creighton, F23.17
12. Elias Harris, Gonzaga, F14.91
13. Victor Oladipo, Indiana, G13.61
14. Jeff Withey, Kansas, C13.61
15. Tim Hardaway Jr., Michigan, G14.84
16. C.J. Fair, Syracuse, F14.44
17. Ryan Kelly, Duke, F14.32
18. Vander Blue, Marquette, G14.33
19. Shane Larkin, Miami (Fla.), G14.22
20. James Southerland, Syracuse, F13.94
21. Brandon Triche, Syracuse, G13.84
22. Keith Appling, Michigan State, G13.63
23. Dwayne Evans, Saint Louis, F13.64
24. Kenny Kadji, Miami (Fla.), F-C13.52
25. Kendall Williams, New Mexico, G13.53
26. Durand Scott, Miami (Fla.), G13.42
27. Gary Harris, Michigan State, G12.93
28. Erik Murphy, Florida, F-C12.73
29. Tony Snell, New Mexico, G12.63
30. Christian Watford, Indiana, F12.51
31. Markel Starks, Georgetown, G12.52
32. Quinn Cook, Duke, G12.42
33. Kenny Boynton, Florida, G12.33
34. Mike Rosario, Florida, G12.33
35. Michael Carter-Williams , Syracuse, G12.04
36. Alex Kirk, New Mexico , F-C11.93
37. Shabazz Muhammad, UCLA, G-F17.86
38. Angel Rodriguez, Kansas State, G11.74
39. Kevin Pangos, Gonzaga, G11.51
40. Travis Releford, Kansas , G11.51
41. Rasheed Sulaimon, Duke, G11.52
42. Davante Gardneer, Marquette, F11.53
43. Nik Stauskas, Michigan , G11.54
44. Nate Wolters, South Dakota State, G22.713
45. Rotnei Clarke, Butler, G16.76
46. Jamaal Franklin, San Diego State, G16.77
47. Brandon Paul, Illinois, G16.67
48. Anthony Bennett, UNLV, F16.15
49. Glen Robinson III, Michign , F10.74
50. Adreian Payne, Michigan State, C10.43
51. Kwamain Mitchell, Saint Louis, G10.44
52. Patric Young, Florida, C10.33
53. Cody Ellis, Saint Louis, F10.34
54. Marcus Smart, Oklahoma State, G15.45
55. Treveon Graham, VCU, G15.45
56. Markel Brown, Oklahoma State, G15.35
57. Jordan Hulls, Indiana, G10.11
58. Elijah Johnson, Kansas , G10.11
59. Gorgui Deng, Louisville, C10.01
60. Peyton Siva, Louisville, G10.01
61. Chane Behanan , Louisville, F9.91
62. Marshall Henderson, Mississippi, G20.012
63. Aaron Craft, Ohio State, G9.92
64. Mark Lyons, Arizona, G14.86
65. Juvonte Reddic, VCU, F14.45
66. Lenzelle Smith, Ohio State, G9.52
67. Mike Muscala, Bucknell, F-C19.011
68. Le'Bryan Nash, Oklahoma State, G-F14.15
69. Allen Crabbe, California, G18.712
70. Joe Jackson, Memphis, G13.66
71. Ian Clark, Belmont, G18.111
72. Chase Tapley, San Diego State, G13.57
73. Solomon Hill, Arizona, F13.46
74. Jerian Grant, Notre Dame, G13.47
75. Jack Cooley, Notre Dame, F13.17
76. Anthony Drmic, Boise State, G-F17.313
77. Ramon Galloway, La Salle, G17.013
78. Sean Kilpatrick, Cincinnati, G-F16.910
79. Troy Daniels, VCU, G12.55
80. D.J. Richardson, Illinois, G12.47
81. Derrick Marks, Boise State, G16.313
82. Adonis Thomas, Memphis, G-F11.96
83. Romero Osby, Oklahoma, F15.810
84. Matthew Dellavedova, St. Mary's, G15.811
85. Nick Johnson, Arizona, G11.76
86. Spencer Dinwiddie, Colorado, G15.610
87. Justin Cobbs, California, G15.512
88. Eric Atkins, Notre Dame, G11.47
89. Will Clyburn, Iowa State, G15.010
90. Tyreek Duren, La Salle, G15.013
91. Ben Brust, Wisconsin, G11.25
92. Travis Wear, UCLA, F11.26
93. Jared Berggren, Wisconsin, F-C11.15
94. Andrew Smith, Butler, C11.16
95. Desi Washington, St. Peter's, G14.611
96. Kareem Jamar, Montana, G-F14.513
97. Murphy Holloway, Mississippi, F14.412
98. Chris Crawford, Memphis, G10.76
99. Anthony Marshall, UNLV, 10.55
100. Geron Johnson, Memphis, G10.56
101. Daniel Mullings, New Mexico State, G14.013
102. Andre Hollins, Minnesota, G13.911
103. Will Cherry, Montana, G13.913
104. Phil Forte, Oklahoma State, G10.45
105. Rob Brandenberg, VCU, G10.45
106. Kerron Johnson, Belmont, G13.711
107. Ryan Evans, Wisconsin, G-F10.25
108. Bryce Dejean-Jones, UNLV, 10.15
109. Katin Reinhardt, UNLV, 10.15
110. Roosevelt Jones, Butler, F10.16
111. Khalif Wyatt, Temple, G19.89
112. Tyrus McGee, Iowa State, G13.210
113. Zeke Marshall, Akron, C13.012
114. Tyrone Garland, La Salle, G12.913
115. Cashmere Wright, Cincinnati, G12.610
116. Trevor Noack, Belmont, F12.511
117. Cameron Ayers, Bucknell, G12.511
118. Marcos Knight, MTSU, G12.511
119. Jordan Dykstra, South Dakota State, F12.513
120. Askia Booker, Colorado, G12.410
121. Georges Niang, Iowa State, F12.010
122. Steve Pledger, Oklahoma , G11.810
123. Bandja Sy, New Mexico State, F11.713
124. E.J. Singler, Oregon, F11.612
125. Demetrius Treadwell, Akron, F11.412
126. JaQuon Parker, Cincinnati, G11.310
127. Melvin Ejim, Iowa State, F11.210
128. Bryson Johnson, Bucknell, G11.111
129. Carlos Emory, Oregon, F11.012
130. C.J. Leslie, North Carolina State, F14.98
131. Colton Iverson, Colorado State, F-C14.78
132. James Michael McAdoo, North Carolina, F14.58
133. Laurence Bowers, Missouri, F14.49
134. P.J. Hairston, North Carolina, G14.38
135. Reggie Bullock, North Carolina, G14.28
136. Jabari Brown, Missouri, G13.79
137. Cleanthony Early, Wichita State, F13.69
138. JayVaughn Pinkston, Villanova, F13.19
139. Dorian Green, Colorado State, G12.88
140. Carl Hall, Wichita State, F12.89
141. Wes Eikmeier, Colorado State, G12.78
142. Richard Howell, North Carolina State, F12.78
143. Scott Wood, North Carolina State, F12.78
144. T.J. Warren, North Carolina State, F12.48
145. Lorenzo Brown, North Carolina State, G12.18
146. Ryan Arcidiacono, Villanova, G12.09
147. Tray Woodall, Pittsburgh, G11.88
148. Scootie Randall, Temple, G-F11.89
149. Phil Pressey, Missouri, 11.69
150. Lamont Jones, Iona, G23.015
151. Darrun Hilliard, Villanova, G11.29
152. Greg Smith, Colorado State, F11.18
153. Keion Bell, Missouri, 11.19
154. Alex Oriakhi, Missouri, 11.19
155. Sean Armand, Iona, G16.615
156. Wesley Saunders, Harvard, G-F16.514
157. Ryan Broekhoff, Valparaiso, F15.914
158. Jamal Olasewere, LIU-Brooklyn, F18.916
159. Sherwood Brown, FGCU, G15.315
160. Mike Black, Albany, G14.915
161. Jake Cohen, Davidson, F14.814
162. DeQuan Hicks, Northwestern State, F14.114
163. Bernard Thompson, FGCU, G14.015
164. C.J. Garner, LIU-Brooklyn, G16.116
165. De'Mon Brooks, Davidson, F13.814
166. David Laury, Iona, G13.115
167. Derick Beltran, Southern, G15.916
168. Siyani Chambers, Harvard, G12.914
169. Kevin Van Wijk, Valparaiso, F12.714
170. Shamir Davis, Northwestern State, G12.514
171. Malcolm Miller, Southern, F15.816
172. T.J. Price, Western Kentucky, G15.316
173. Chase Fieler, FGCU, F12.215
174. James Hulbin, Northwestern State, F12.114
175. Jacob Iati, Albany, G12.115
176. Lorenzo McCloud, Pacific, G11.415
177. John Caleb Sanders, Liberty, G14.216
178. Davon Marshall, Liberty, G13.416
179. Tavares Speaks, Liberty, G13.116
180. George Fant, Western Kentucky, F12.916
181. Rayshawn Goins, James Madison, F12.716
182. Adrian Powell, NC A&T, F12.516
183. Lamont Middleton, NC A&T, G12.416
184. A.J. Davis, James Madison, G12.116

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