This article is part of our College Capper series.
I've hit rock bottom; for the second consecutive week. Fade accordingly, and I apologize in advance if I picked your team and jinxed them.
Florida Atlantic -5.5 vs. Marshall (Friday)
Lane Kiffin's bunch appear to have turned the corner after early season drubbings at the hands of Ohio State and UCF. The Owls have won four consecutive, scoring at least 41 points in three, while allowing just 19.5 points per game. Marshall is coming off of an uninspiring win over ODU, but are 1-5 ATS and in its three outright losses it's scored a combined 34 points. The teams have one common opponent, Middle Tennessee State, which beat Marshall by 11 and lost to FAU by 15. I don't find the Owls 26 points better, but think they are at least 10.
Wisconsin -31 at Illinois
This is probably a trap I should avoid, but the temptation is too great, even after the line moved this high after a -25 opening. In three Big Ten games, Illinois has averaged 324.3 yards allowed on the ground and given up eight rushing touchdowns. The Badgers are averaging 5.3 yards per carry and have an obscene 23 rushing scores through six games. They've also earned four shutouts to date. I worry about a look-ahead to Ohio State next week leading to a flat performance, but with Illinois not a threat to score much, the Badgers can hand the ball off, roll up points, and move on.
Cincinnati -17 vs. Tulsa