College Football Best Bets: Finding The Edge, Week 3

College Football Best Bets: Finding The Edge, Week 3

This article is part of our College Football Best Bets series.

Thanks for joining me as I continue my quest to end the season well in the black by betting every available college football contest!

Week 2 was a perfect example of how sheer volume can help your bottom line. I have no issue with taking five picks and placing your roll there. If you have the means, taking on the whole slate can reap some serious dividends.

Week 2 Results: 47-27-0

Win Pct: 63.51%

ROI (w/rake) 21.59%

Total Results thru Week 2: 91-66-2

Win Pct: 57.96%

ROI (w/rake): 9,89%

It was a lovely night for underdogs, but we were successful in capturing a couple of them while losing with the field on games like ORE/OSU and the abysmal STAN/USC debacle that cost Clay Helton his job. Let's get rolling with all the picks for Week 3.

SIMULATED PICKS

UCF -6.5, MD -7, CIN -4, CC -14, VT+3, UNM+10, MICH -27.5, OKLA -22.5, MSU +6.5, ND -7.5, IOWA -23, TT +42, PITT -14.5, SEMIZZ +35, KU -31, CONN +34.5, TEM +14, SYR -25, COL +2, KENT +1.5, EMU -22, ALA -14.5, APPST -35, MOH -35, TUL +24.5, IDA +25, SMU -11.5, CLEM +28, KAN+18, USC -8, WAKE +4, NW -3, DEL/RUT N/A, BRY/AKR N/A, SACAL -25, WYO-7, TOL -14, ARK -23.5, MSST -3, WASH -17.5, MURR -1, MAR -10, LIB-27, UTSA -13, FAU -32, GRAM +39.5, TROY-10, UTAH -8.5, CHAR +4, FIU +20. SCAR +31.5, FL/USF -21.5, TEXST -9.5, UTST -9 , UAb -13, NCST -29, VIR +7.5, ORE -42, AUB +5.5,  SCST/NMST  ALCST/USA -19.5, /ULM -15, TEX -26, STAN -12, TUL +14, OKST +3, , AZ -23, AZST -3.5, IOWAST -31.5, UCLA -10.5, HAW +6.5, ULL -18.5, NM +30, CMU+19.5

REAL-MONEY PICKS

Week 2 Results: 4-1 

Win Pct: 80.0%

Results Though Week 2: 7-3

Win Pct: 70.0%

The only one we missed badly was Notre Dame, but Toledo was easily the biggest surprise of the slate from a betting perspective. We'll keep the ball rolling with these selections.

ALABAMA (-14.5) @  Florida

This interstate battle has the face value of a barnburner, but it isn't going to be close. The biggest question is who Florida will start at QB, and it seems the new logical choice is Anthony Richardson if the fans get their way. Alabama is a bit banged up on defense, but they should be able to hold Florida's offense down.  The Gators' only chance in the Swamp is preventing big plays from Bryce Young and his offense, but that won't happen enough to make a difference. The sharp money seems to be favoring Florida with this spread, but I don't buy it.

STANFORD (-12.5) @ Vanderbilt

The Cardinal are better than initially advertised. While USC completely collapsed against them, you have to have at least some momentum coming into this contest. Any doubts about their QB situation seem to have subsided, and Vandy's nasty loss to ETSU should be a note of caution about taking the points. 

CINCINNATI (-3.5) @ Indiana

The Bearcats are one of the hottest teams in college football right now, and this has to be one of the more puzzling lines on the slate. Indiana could only put up six points against Iowa, and I think Cincy is the better team from top to bottom. 

PITTSBURGH (-14) vs. Western Michigan

I'm going back to Pitt after they beat the spread last week. Their wins have been convincing, and WMU doesn't have the offensive pop to overcome Pitt's defense. A massive loss to Michigan is a blemish on Western Michigan's resume.

"UPSET" Game: NOTRE DAME (-7) vs. Purdue

Notre Dame is favored, and after last week, the public is all over Purdue, and while I see the point, the Irish are on notice to improve, and I think they'll plug the holes as they progress through the schedule. Their offensive line is a big problem, but the Boilermakers haven't faced a formidable opponent yet, so I think we'll get a better showing against their defensive front. I call this an upset game because no one seems to be giving Notre Dame enough credit to win this game, and I'm on the other side.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
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