College Football DFS: Saturday Week 11 Picks and Strategy for FanDuel Main Slate

Unlock your best Week 11 FanDuel DFS picks: breakdowns of high-over games, defensive mismatches, player value & injury insights. Will Julian Sayin keep his Heisman hype rolling against Purdue?
College Football DFS: Saturday Week 11 Picks and Strategy for FanDuel Main Slate
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CFB FanDuel DFS Breakdown for Week 11

Shootout Potential (games featuring high implied totals on both sides)

All defensive unit ranks from PFF

Iowa State (25.5) at TCU (32.0) - 57.5 Total

Iowa State's defense grades out 114th overall and struggles in essentially all areas. This makes the pool of interesting players wide in this one, making it tougher to pinpoint the right selections in an offense that frequently highlights different players. 

TCU grades out among the elite run defense options but struggles to rush the passer (118th nationally). A combination of that and the expected game script means passing attack for Cyclones should be in play.

Kansas (26.0) at Arizona (31.5) - 57.5 Total

The Jayhawks grade out pretty well against the pass and rushing the passer, so this is a unit where we want to look into the opposing backfield for production, though that has been a moving target throughout the season.

The Wildcats grade out sixth as a coverage unit and 41st against the run, showcasing a pretty well-rounded defense. However, they do struggle to rush the passer, so we could see Jalon Daniels finding time to move around and possibly take off if there is nobody open.

Georgia (33.5) at Mississippi State (24.0) - 56.5 Total

Georgia's pass defense doesn't grade out particularly well, and the Dawgs ' ability to generate a consistent pass rush is also lacking. 

Mississippi State also struggles to rush the passer but does much better in coverage. The run defense ranks 56th nationally.

Florida State (27.5) at Clemson (29.0) - 56.5 Total

The 'Noles are another team that can shut down opposing rushing attacks, but they rank 94th in pass rush and 75th as a coverage unit, leaving holes for the Clemson passing attack to exploit.

The Tigers sit right beside them at 76th nationally in coverage but rank better in pass rush (43rd) and worse against the run (33rd).

Blowout Potential (Spreads 14.5-plus points)

Ohio State (39.0) at Purdue (9.5)

It's a bit of a pick your poison against a Purdue defense that checks in 121st overall and doesn't grade out well in any particular area. It's tough to pinpoint the right player to target in this Buckeyes offense.

Indiana (32.5) at Penn State (18.0)

The Nittany Lions grade out 46th versus the run, 38th in coverage, and 34th rushing the passer, so we're really just looking for potential value plays in the Hoosiers' offense at any position.

Syracuse (9.0) at Miami (37.5)

Syracuse grades out 133rd against the run, 119th in pass rush, and 79th in coverage, so this is another spot where any position could be in play, with a possible slight lean to the backfield, especially with game script on the side of a healthy ground approach in the second half.

Other Noteworthy Implied Totals

BYU (21.0) at Texas Tech (31.5)

The BYU offense here should be able to make a game of it, but we're looking for spots to pick from the Red Raiders' side of things. In this instance, the Cougars grade out 67th against the run, 76th at tackling, and 70th on the pass rush, but the coverage unit does grade out 26th overall. Slight run game lean with talented backs to turn to.

LSU (20.0) at Alabama (29.5)

LSU ranks 26th in coverage but just 90th in pass rush, so there may be some concerns getting to the QB. Rush defense grades out 74th nationally, so everything should be in play here.

College Football DFS Weather (winds 15+ MPH, precip. chance 50-plus percent and hot/cold temps noted)

Oregon at Iowa: Rain potential early in the contest

College Football Injuries Week 11 FanDuel Main Slate

QB

Beau Pribula, Missouri - Out for extended period due to ankle injury

RB

 Mark Fletcher, Miami - Won't play Saturday after getting hurt late last week

 Le'Veon Moss, Texas A&M - Remains without timetable for return

 Abu Sama, Iowa State - Listed probable for Saturday

 Jayden Limar, Oregon - Out with foot injury

 Ja'Kobi Jackson, Florida - Won't suit up this week

 Sione Moa, BYU - Not close to returning

 Roydell Williams, Florida State - Probable to play

WR

 Elijah Sarratt, Indiana - Day-to-day after suffering a hamstring injury last week

 Ryan Williams, Alabama - Probable to suit up again this week

 CJ Daniels, Miami - Sidelined again with lower leg injury

 Chris Barnes, Wake Forest - Probable to suit up

 Eugene Wilson, Florida - Out with leg injury

 Reggie Virgil, Texas Tech - Probable to suit up

 Vernell Brown, Florida - Probable to return from shoulder injury, could be limited

 Evan Stewart, Oregon - Could return at some point in November, unclear when

 Micah Mays, Wake Forest - Questionable for Saturday

 Tony Johnson, Miami - Ruled out for Saturday

 Ed Small, TCU - won't play Saturday

TE

 Eni Falayi, Wake Forest - Probable to play

 Benjamin Brahmer, Iowa State - Listed questionable for Saturday after being carted off last week

 Brett Norfleet, Missouri - Questionable with shoulder injury

College Football DFS Tools

Week 11 CFB DFS Plays on FanDuel

Quarterback

Julian Sayin, Ohio State ($11,400) at Purdue

While the game script here indicates the potential for backups to see the field in the second half of the contest, this game also serves as a spot for Sayin -- the Heisman frontrunner -- to pad his season stats. He's got two All-American-level wideouts at his disposal, not to mention a talented tight end and wideouts behind the pair, and Purdue allows a slate-worst 8.8 yards per pass attempt. Don't overthink it: Sayin should get his before the Buckeyes potentially pull the starters in this one.

 Cade Klubnik, Clemson ($10,800) vs. Florida State

I struggled between a number of players to find a No. 2 quarterback here in salary behind Sayin but ultimately settled on Klubnik. The downside is that he'll be without Bryant Wesco for the remainder of the year, but he still has plenty of talent to turn to in the wideout corps.

Based on his recent performances, Klubnik may not be the best GPP play, but I feel there is some potential for that line to tick up beyond where it's been the last handful of weeks. As mentioned, the 'Noles grade out as one of the best run defenses in the nation, but they grade out poorly both rushing the passer, so I anticipate Klubnik utilizing his arms and legs a lot in this one, and possibly scampering in for a touchdown or two.

 Blake Shapen, Mississippi State ($7,900) vs. Georgia

Shapen's implied team total doesn't quite measure up to the other two on this list, but it doesn't have to when you only require $7,900 to insert him in your lineup. Similar to Florida State, the Dawgs grade out well against the run, but they haven't fared well as a pass-rushing and coverage unit. The Bulldogs from Starkville remain nearly 10-point underdogs in this contest, so I think we'll see a lot of Shapen throwing the ball around in this one.

Another to consider: Jalon Daniels, Kansas ($9,700) at Arizona

Running Back

The Top Dogs

 J'Mari Taylor, Virginia ($10,000) vs. Wake Forest

Taylor has etched his name at the top of the depth chart for the Cavs this year in a backfield that has seen too many seasons with a committee. He's coming off one of his better showings to date last week against Cal, when he racked up 21 carries for 105 yards and a pair of rushing scores, and he'll get another favorable matchup this week versus a Demon Deacons defense that yields 133.9 rushing yards and 1.5 rushing scores per game. Running back rooms have found significant success of late as well, with each of the last three groups topping 21. FD points against the Demond Deacons. Wake also grades out well as a pass defense, so I expect to see a healthy dose of ground game in this one.

 Cameron Dickey, Texas Tech ($9,300) vs. BYU

Dickey and J'Koby Williams can be a frustrating pair to work out who will be productive each week, but I'll state my case for Dickey this week. First, the output difference in favor of Williams last week has nearly evened up the salaries (Williams is at $9,000), so it's a negligible difference. Williams also tends to make a lot of hay with big gains as a receiver, compiling three games with at least 60 yards receiving and notching two-plus catches in six of nine games. Dicey, however, typically wins the race for volume on the ground, boasting 134 carries to Williams' 91. BYU has allowed just 22 catches for 91 yards to opposing backs this year, but it's also allowed 789 rushing yards on 157 carries (5.0 YPC), and the Red Raiders are one of the few teams that should be able to incorporate the ground game throughout Saturday's tilt.

Mid-Tier Targets

 Kedrick Reescano, Arizona ($7,100) vs. Kansas

Reescano is a bit of a shaky play at this salary, but there should be plenty of upside for him against a rough Jayhawks defensive front that has yielded 30-plus FD points to opposing running back rooms on four different occasions already this year, and they have allowed 4.7 yards per carry plus 1.8 rushing scores per game. Reescano missed three games due to injury, but his volume returned in Week 7 against BYU and continued against Houston the following week. If ther's a back i'd hitch my wagon to for this Wildcats unit Saturday, Reescano has the safest volume and has scored in three straight, and you can get him at an affordable rate with a good matchup.

 Kaelon Black, Indiana ($6,900) at Penn State

Balck is another one that falls into the risky category, as volume is always a bit of a question mark. Indiana distributes its carries, and Roman Hemby ($8,800) is likely still atop the peicking order, handling 35 carries over the last two games. However, Black impressed with his 14 totes last week, racking up 110 yards and a touchdown, and that is following a 10-carry, 70-yard effort the week prior versus UCLA. Penn State is a good coverage unit, and with Sarratt banged up, I'll try my hand with a discounted option in the backfield where value could emerge.

Also Consider: Chauncey Bowens, Georgia ($6,700) at Mississippi State

Bargain Options

 CharMar Brown ($6,500) and Jordan Lyle ($5,500), Miami vs. Syracuse

This one is pretty simple: Mark Fletcher is out, leaving Brown and Lyle as the top two options in the Hurricanes' backfield. While I'm not certain which one will ultimately take the cake here, there's certainly some slices to be had against a brutal Orange defense that grades out poorly across the board. Since Lyle's return from injury, the pair have an essentially equal spilt in terms of carries -- 25 for Brown, 24 for Lyle -- so I'd probably side a bit more with Lyle in this one, though Brown may see more totes near the goal-line at 5-foot-11, 215 pounds compared to Lyle at 6-foot, 190 pounds. Either is in play here.

 Kevorian Barnes, TCU ($6,400) vs. Iowa State

Barnes simply seems to be a case of mispricing here. He missed a portion of the last game due to injury, resulting in Trent Battle handling the bulk of the work, but Barnes has been atop the Horned Frogs' backfield depth chart all season, and I expect him to take that lead role back again Saturday. The game prior, Barnes totaled a season-high 25 carries for 106 yards and a pair of scores, and it's not out of the realm of possibility that he puts up another big showing Saturday versus an underwhelming Cyclones defense.

Wide Receiver/Tight End

The Top Dog

 Carnell Tate, Ohio State ($10,200) at Purdue

I know this is the week I recommend Tate over Jeremiah Smith and Smith will have a monster game as a result. I think defense had been rolling coverage to keep Smith under wraps all season, but the emergence of Tate has shifted that scheming to help Smith reemerge last week with six grabs for 123 yards and a pair of scores. That said, Tate was again no slouch in the contest, gathering in five passes for 124 yards and a touchdown, and he's topped 20 FD points in three of the last four games. He has similar upside to Smith and is a bit cheaper, so Tate may be the pairing of choice at WR. 

 Antonio Williams, Clemson ($9,200) vs. Florida State

Because I'm going to double-dip at Clemson WR, I'm including a third wideout here, but Williams saw a significant growth in targets last week to the tune of a season-best 12, which comes on the back of Bryant Wesco being ruled out for the season. The Seminoles also struggle in pass coverage, so this could be another week we see a healthy target share for Williams and the rest of the wideout crop, but Williams should see consistent looks the rest of the way. He was the team's leading wideout a year ago, accruing 88 targets across 12 regular-season contests.

 Malachi Toney, Miami ($8,900) vs. Syracuse

Another case here where the injury bug increased usage last week, though the results didn't show it to a full extent. Toney finished with a season-best output, notching nine catches, but his targets also sat at a season-high 13. CJ Daniels remains out this week after missing his first contest of the season last week, so there's again room for Toney to post a sizable target share. We're hoping he can find pay dirt in this one against a putrid Orange defense to fully pay off the salary investment, but a healthy target share should do wonders.

Mid-Tier Targets

 Duce Robinson, Florida State ($8,200) at Clemson

Robinson actually checks in second on the 'Noles in salary this week, behind Mciahi Danzi, but I'm not sure I'm buying into that. Sure, Danzy amassed 67 receiving yards last week, but that came on only two targets as opposed to Robinson's eight. Sure, Danzy might be a bit more explosive, but I'll take the volume here against the Tigers in a matchup that shouldn't scare people off opposing wideouts any longer. Cooper Barkate amassed six grabs for 127 yards and a score just last week against this crew.

 Anthony Evans, Mississippi State ($7,700) vs. Georgia

I was initially going to run with Brenen Thompson ($9,000), and he's certainly still an option, but I just don't feel the gap between the Starkville wideouts has closed enough to justify switching my position. Last week, I recommended Evans at just $7,100, while Thompson sat at $8,800. While Evans' big performance jumped him up $600, we also saw Thompson climb another $200, so there's still a gap, and you can get a highly affordable pairing with Shapen if you want to risk it against the Georgia pass defense to spend up elsewhere.

Bargain Options

 Vernell Brown, Florida ($6,400) vs. Kentucky

Brown is probable for Saturday's contest, but there's a notable risk he could be limited. I'm still willing to buy into it, as he's the most talented wideout the Gators have available to them with both Dallas Wilson (out for the season) and Tre Wilson (out this week) sidelined. Kentucky boasts a top-25 run defense, but its coverage unit checks in 96th in the nation, and the Wildcats certainly know how banged up the wideout room is, so I expect them to gear up to stop the run and force the Gators to throw the ball.

 Tristan Smith, Clemson ($6,100) vs. Florida State

As promised, here is my double dip in the wideout room for the Tigers. Smith has moved into a starting role with Wesco out the rest of the year, and he's made a noteworthy impact in each of the last two tilts, amassing a combined nine catches for 130 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. Eight of those 12 targets came last week, which bodes well, albeit in a game that featured a significant pass volume. Given Florida State's acumen to stop the run, I'm expecting a healthy pass volume this week as well, and Smith should get his fair share of looks. his salary tag hasn't risen yet, but it could if he puts up a big showing this week.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Benzine plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Crispy272001, DraftKings: Crispy27.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris is the college football editor and the Kansas City Chiefs beat writer. He's a graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
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