EuroLeague Primer: Round 18 - Friday

EuroLeague Primer: Round 18 - Friday

This article is part of our EuroLeague Primer series.

PREGAME UPDATES

THE SLATE

Khimki Moscow Region at Zalgiris Kaunas

Key Injuries: Jonas Jerebko (KHI), Janis Timma (KHI), Greg Monroe (KHI), Sergei Monia (KHI), Patricio Garino (ZAL), Steve Vasturia (ZAL)

Best Bets for Success: Alexey Shved is by far the top producer on the board, and he's been on a big run lately, averaging 40.5 points on DraftKings over his last seven appearances. Zalgiris has done a decent job against opposing guards, but Shved has a history of success in this matchup, scoring 24.7 ppg over his last three games against the Lithuanian squad. He's also still providing some of the most average value on the board despite his lofty price tag. Marius Grigonis has been on a nice run of his own, averaging 27.8 DraftKings points over his last five Rounds. He will have a prime opportunity to keep that run going Friday, as Khimki is allowing the most points, assists and three-pointers to opposing guards.

DFS Darlings: This game features by far the highest over/under on the slate, and Khimki is down a number of key players, so there will be plenty of value in this one. Given how Khimki has fared against backcourt players, all of Zalgiris' guards will have some degree of appeal. None of them besides Grigonis has been particularly productive of late, but someone like Rokas Jokubaitis or Arturas Milaknis can round out a lineup. Khimki has been friendly to frontcourt players as well, so Joffrey Lauvergne and Augustine Rubit are also worth considering. With Khimki's frontcourt thinned out, Jordan Mickey, Egor Vialtsev and Sergey Karasev should all spend more time on the court than they usually do. Mickey is a bit pricey for this section, but he presents some of the best upper-end value on the board. The other two have not been consistent by any means, but each hit the 25-point mark on DraftKings over the last four Rounds and scored in double figures in Khimki's last domestic league game. 

FC Bayern Munich at Olympiacos Piraeus

Key Injuries: Vladimir Lucic (MUN), Zan Sisko (MUN), Shaq McKissic (OLY), Kostas Papanikolaou (OLY)

Best Bets for Success: Both Jalen Reynolds and Wade Baldwin have picked up the pace since Lucic went down, and they will both have plenty appeal Friday even if Lucic plays, as he will need to get back up to speed. Baldwin is coming off the best scoring day of his career and should have some extra juice in his first visit to Piraeus since jumping from Olympiacos to Bayern last summer. Reynolds has returned some of the most average value since Lucic went down and put up 16.0 points and 8.0 rebounds over the last five Rounds. Kostas Sloukas has been rolling of late, with Olympiacos' point guard averaging over 30 points on DraftKings since Dec. 8. Sloukas did not do much against Bayern in Round 5, but he was still trying to get acclimated with his new team at that point.

DFS Darlings: Nick Weiler-Babb easily outperformed his price the last two Rounds, and at just $7,200 on DraftKings he will be worth targeting if none of Bayern's injured players return. Aaron Harrison has gotten back up to speed for Olympiacos, scoring in double figures in back-to-back Rounds. He will be appealing at just $6,500, and even more so if McKissic is unable to go.

Anadolu Efes Istanbul at LDLC ASVEL

Key Injuries: Krunoslav Simon (IST), Tibor Pleiss (IST), Moustapha Fall (ASV), Guerschon Yabusele (ASV)

Best Bets for Success: Both Shane Larkin and Vasilije Micic had big days last time these two teams squared off, with the two combining for 40 points. Micic has been the more consistent of the two, but Larkin still has more upside, as evidenced by the 48.3 points he put up on DraftKings in Round 16. There's a lot of uncertainty on the French side in this one, as both Fall and Yabusele remain questionable and Derrick Walton joins the fold. Yabusele will be the team's top option if he plays, having averaged 33.1 points on DraftKings over his last two appearances. If he does not, David Lighty will claim the spot, having averaged 12.6 ppg since the start of December. Neither will have the matchup in his favor, though, as Efes is allowing some of the fewest points to opposing forwards.

DFS Darlings: It's not clear what role Walton will step into, but he could be worth a dart throw on DraftKings at just $4,800. If ASVEL remains thin in the frontcourt, you could take a look at Kevarrius Hayes, as Efes is allowing opposing centers to block plenty of shots. With Efes' guards stacking up stats and ASVEL allowing the fewest threes in the league, there isn't much to look at beyond the top options. Adrien Moerman and Rodrigue Beaubois could both have some extra motivation playing in their home country though.

AX Armani Exchange Milan at Real Madrid

Key Injuries: Shavon Shields (MIL), Vladimir Micov (MIL), Anthony Randolph (MAD), Sergio Llull (MAD), Gabriel Deck (MAD), Rudy Fernandez (MAD)

Best Bets for Success: Walter Tavares was kept in check a bit his last time out, but don't forget he recorded four straight double-doubles before that. He will be in position to bounce back Friday against a Milan team that does not have much size and is allowing opposing centers to grab more rebounds than any other team. The Italian team has gotten pretty steady production from a number of players, but they will be down one of them Friday in Shields. With Milan's frontcourt players having to contend with Tavares and Madrid not allowing guards to rack up many assists or threes, we'll go with the team's top scoring option in Kevin Punter. Over his last 20 EuroLeague appearances, Punter scored in double figures in all but one contest.

DFS Darlings: Like Walton in the last game, it's unclear what type of role Alex Tyus will play in his Madrid debut. However, he could be worth gambling on at just $3,600, as Madrid has been looking for someone to take some minutes off Tavares' hands. Fabien Causeur has been coming on for the Spanish squad, averaging double figures over his last five EuroLeague/domestic appearances and occupying a starting spot in the last four. He will be a nice fit in DraftKings lineups at just $4,900. Milan will be down two forwards, which makes Luigi Datome particularly appealing on DraftKings at just $5,500.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Kevin O'Brien plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: kevob100, DraftKings: kevob100.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kevin O'Brien
Kevin mans the Packers and Brewers beats and moonlights as RotoWire's Director of Operations.
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