EuroLeague Primer: Tuesday Makeup Games

EuroLeague Primer: Tuesday Makeup Games

This article is part of our EuroLeague Primer series.

PREGAME UPDATES

STATS AND INFO.

THE SLATE

AS Monaco at LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne

Status Check: Donta Hall (ASM), Leo Westermann (ASM), David Lighty (ASV), William Howard (ASV), Raymar Morgan (ASV), Victor Wembanyama (ASV)

Best Bets for Success: The first of the games rescheduled due to COVID-19 outbreaks will go off Tuesday, and the opener will be a rematch between the two French teams in the EuroLeague, and also the two that produced the most thrilling finish of the season back in Round 12. After Monaco took a two-point lead with two seconds to play, Howard turned a sure-turnover into a half-court buzzer beater and a one-point win for ASVEL. It's unlikely Howard will be available Tuesday, which means Elie Okobo and Chris Jones will be counted on to handle the bulk of the scoring for the home team. Both have both been a bit inconsistent in that department of late, but Okobo remains third among all players in points per game and Jones sits 12th. Plenty of points are expected in this one, and both will be in position to hit double digits like they did in the first meeting despite shooting a combined 7-of-22 from the field. One player who has had no issues with consistency is Mike James, who leads the league in assists and topped the 40-point mark on DraftKings four times over the last six games in which he handled his regular role. Monaco's top guard is easily the priciest player on the DraftKings board and will not have an easy matchup against an ASVEL team that ranks top-5 against opposing guards in five of the six counting stats. However, over his last five appearances James returned a whopping 3.5x value at his current rate, and ASVEL was just lit up by CSKA's backcourt in its Round 21 loss.

DFS Darlings: While the star guards figure to be busy, there will be a number of value plays to consider in this one, particularly with the over/under sitting seven points higher than the total in the second game. We'll start with Monaco's forwards, as ASVEL ranks bottom-2 against players at that position in all of points and field goal attempts per game as well as field goal percentage. Dwayne Bacon seems like the player most likely to capitalize, and Will Thomas will be worth a look on DraftKings at $6,400. After James, Donatas Motiejunas was Monaco's steadiest producer over the last three Rounds, giving him some appeal at $7,400 even with two of his fellow big men back from injuries and ASVEL faring pretty well against centers. Westermann is unlikely to go Tuesday, which could be reason enough to throw a dart at Danilo Andjusic at $4,800. Another member of ASVEL's backcourt has picked up the pace, and that is Marcos Knight, who even at a season-high $7,900 deserves consideration in what should be a high-scoring affair. No team has allowed centers to get more involved on the offensive end than Monaco, which bodes well for both James Gist and Youssoupha Fall. Gist has been better of late, but Fall is a worthy fallback option, checking in $1,000 cheaper and averaging 10.4 points and 7.8 rebounds in games in which he plays 15 minutes.

ALBA Berlin at AX Armani Exchange Milan

Status Check: Johannes Thiemann (BER), Tim Schneider (BER), Malte Delow (BER), Jonas Mattisseck (BER), Shavon Shields (AXM), Konstantinos Mitoglou (AXM), Troy Daniels (AXM), Trey Kell (ASM), Riccardo Moraschini (AXM)

Best Bets for Success: The second game on the slate features two squads that also played a close match last time they met, one which was ultimately won by ALBA. The German team will be at a disadvantage, as due to a COVID-19 outbreak they have not played a game of any sort in over two weeks, and the oddsmakers have taken note, installing Milan as a double-digit favorite on their home court. If ALBA hopes to keep the game competitive, they will likely need to lean on their frontcourt, as the Italian team ranks top-2 against guards in four of the six counting stats and field goal percentage. Luke Sikma should be up to the task, especially when you consider he flirted with a triple-double last time he faced Milan. Sikma is down to a meager $9,100 on DraftKings, and at that price he is averaging over 3x value – far more than anyone else on the slate over the course of the season. Milan's players are accustomed to sharing the wealth, and seven of them put up at least 9.8 DraftKings points in their last contest. With Shields out and a lopsided result anticipated, no one on the Milan side particularly stands out Tuesday. However, the matchups indicate their top producer will be a guard, so we will again go with Sergio Rodriguez, who put up at least 22.8 DraftKings points in six of his last seven EuroLeague appearances. Rodriguez scored just eight points when these teams squared off in Round 13 but he did make multiple marks in five separate categories.

DFS Darlings: The over/under on this game trails the total in the first game by a touchdown, but this contest too is expected to be pretty high-scoring. The main concern is playing time, as the spread suggests the minutes could be divided pretty evenly on both sides, and ALBA reported on its official Twitter account that the players returning after positive COVID-19 tests – it's not clear who those are – "will probably not come to their usual times due to their training deficit." It may be best to avoid the German team's backcourt, but they do have a couple intriguing frontcourt options, particularly if Thiemann sits. Ben Lammers put up a season-high 27.3 DraftKings points out, giving him appeal at $7,000. Oscar da Silva has gotten back on track a bit, and he is returning some of the most average value on the board. Given everything mentioned and the return of Luigi Datome, there is not much value to be had in Milan's frontcourt. Kyle Hines could be the best option, though, having made multiple tallies in five categories against ALBA in Round 13. In the backcourt, Malcolm Delaney is interesting at an affordable $8,300, and Jerian Grant remains worthy of a dart throw at just $4,600.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Kevin O'Brien plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: kevob100, DraftKings: kevob100.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kevin O'Brien
Kevin mans the Packers and Brewers beats and moonlights as RotoWire's Director of Operations.
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