Survivor: Surviving Week 1
Survivor: Surviving Week 1

This article is part of our Survivor series.

Surviving Week 1

This is always a tough column - not Survivor per se - but Week 1 Survivor because you can lose your entire investment before the season really gets started. I know this because last year I was on the Patriots, and they lost the opening Thursday night game. I was bounced on literally the first of the 256 regular-season games to be played.

But the truth about this contest is it doesn't matter when you lose - only that you don't lose - at least until you're close enough to chop some of the pot with fellow survivors in the end game. Accordingly, the goal is not merely to survive, but to do so while others perish. In order to achieve this aim, it's often necessary to take on added short-term risk. For a full rundown of the underlying principles of Survivor play (and also the rules) you can click here and here.

Before you go further, please click those links. I'll be drawing on concepts like "pot odds" and "pool equity" throughout the season, and they'll make more sense if you grasp the underlying framework.

Okay, without further ado, let's take a look at the Week 1 slate:

TeamOpponent%Taken*Vegas ML**Vegas OddsExpected Loss
SAINTSBuccaneers31.50%417.580.686.09
RAVENSBills21.30%29074.365.46
PACKERSBears14.60%33076.743.40
LIONSJets10.80%267.572.792.94
VIKINGS49ers5.60%23069.701.70
SteelersBROWNS4.40%20066.671.47
PATRIOTSTexans
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Liss
Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.
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