New York Jets vs. 
Miami Dolphins: Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 4
The New York Jets (0-3) travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins (0-3) in an AFC East matchup on Monday Night Football. The Jets are coming off a tough road loss against the Bucs, while the Dolphins had a road loss to the Bills.
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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds
Jets +2.5 (BetMGM +100) / Dolphins -2.5 (BetRivers -114)
Jets ML (FanDuel +132) / Dolphins ML (BetRivers -143)
Total OVER 44.5 (ESPN Bet -105) / UNDER 44.5 (Caesars -108)
Jets total points: Over 21.5 (BetRivers -103) / Under 21.5 (ESPN Bet -110)
Dolphins total points: Over 23.5 (BetRivers -108) / Under 23.5 (Hard Rock -100)
First-half spread: Jets +1.5 (BetMGM -115) / Dolphins -0.5 (DraftKings -115)
First-half money line: Jets +120 (Bet365) / Dolphins -134 (BetRivers)
First-half team total: Jets O 9.5 (Caesars -118) / U 11.5 (BetRivers -150) Dolphins O 10.5 (Caesars +105) / U 10.5 (BetRivers -115)
The Dolphins opened as 5.5 point home favorites, and it moved to -2.5 on 9/16, -2.5 and has bounced back and forth between -2.5 and -3.0. Both teams are 0-3, but the Jets have played two very closely contested games where the Dolphins have not looked good at all in any of their games.
The total opened 44.5 and took a dip to 43.5 on 9/21, it peaked at 45.0, and has settled in at 44.5 on 9/9. With both teams being 3-0 and so little line movment on both the side and the total, that should tell you about the lack of confidence bettors have on this game.
The majority of the bets (55%) have come in on the Dolphins, and the handle (55%) is on also on Miami.
The total sees money on the Under at 69% of total bets, and 60% of the handle which does means some of the sharper money is coming in on the OVER. The moneyline shows who has taken a position on the game, and the Dolphins have received 73% of the bets and have 67% of the handle.
Key Injuries
Jets - LB Marcelino McCrary-Ball, LB Quincy Williams, DE Jermaine Johnson
Dolphins - DB Jason Marshall, DB Storm Duck, OL Liam Eichenberg, OL James Daniels, OL Austin Jackson
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Jets vs. Dolphins Betting Picks
- The Jets are 4-14 in their last 18 against the Dolphins including 0-9 in Miami
- Tua Tagovailoa is 27-9 at home and 13-18 on the road in his career
- He has recorded a career-high passer rating of 102.2 in home games with 8,521 yards, 56 touchdowns, and 19 interceptions in 36 home games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Jets' last 10 games.
- NY Jets is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games against Miami.
- Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games against NY Jets
Jets vs. Dolphins Best Bet: Dolphins -2.5 (DraftKings -110)
Secondary Bet: OVER 44.5 (FanDuel -110)
Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction
When you look at the body of work for both teams so far through three games, I would side with the Dolphins slightly. But the huge edge that we see in home/road splits for Tua and the Dolphins is what I will lean in the first game for the Monday Night Football double header.
Dolphins 27, Jets 23
