28-Year-Old Safety – Minnesota Vikings
2017 Fantasy Football Outlook
Whereas the previously listed players have both high ceilings and floors, Smith's entry marks the part of the list where the floors get lower. Smith is an excellent player who provides upside in all r...
Harrison Smith Contract Information:
Signed a five-year, $51.25 million contract extension with the Vikings in June of 2016
Smith had an interception, 1.5 sacks and five total tackles in Sunday's 23-10 win over Green Bay.
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|Tackles||Defensive Stats||Fumbles||Kick Ret||Punt Ret|
|2017 Proj||28||MIN||Subscribe now to see our 2017 projections for Harrison Smith|
Age is determined on September 1st of each season.
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A blank stat line is used above whenever a player was not on the field for any plays in the game that week.
Harrison Smith: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Smith has become one of the top safeties in the league and would be among the top few IDP selections except for occasional durability troubles. Smith has 314 tackles and 12 interceptions (as well as four touchdowns) in 53 career contests, which projects to about 95 tackles and four picks per 16-game stretch. The catch is that he's played 16 games only twice in his four seasons, missing eight outings in 2013 and three more in 2015. He's worth the risk, though. His talent can't be doubted, and the Minnesota defense is on the way up. There will be playmaking opportunities.
Smith is arguably the league's top playmaker at safety, with triple-digit tackle potential as well as the potential to rank among the league's interception leaders. Prorated over 16 games, Smith's three-year per-game production equals about 100 tackles, four interceptions and 1.5 sacks. Smith also has three career touchdowns. Playing in a Mike Zimmer defense that should apply heavy pressure this season, Smith will once again be in position to ball hawk. His only concern is durability. He had a nagging ankle injury last year and needed two finger surgeries this offseason in addition to a turf toe injury that cost him eight games two years ago.
Smith has been one of the league's top defensive back IDPs since the Vikings selected him 129th overall in the 2012 draft, carrying over the triple-digit tackle potential he showed at Notre Dame into the NFL by posting 156 tackles (117 solo) in 24 games, which projects to roughly 104 tackles (78 solo) per 16-game season. With good speed, excellent quickness and a big wingspan for a safety, Smith can cover ground better than most players at his position, and he should receive more playmaking opportunities now that Minnesota's defense will be run by coach Mike Zimmer, who generated a lot of pressure in Cincinnati. Considering Smith has five interceptions and two touchdowns in his first 24 games, any increase in turnover production would be icing on the cake. He has one of the highest ceilings among the top tier of IDP defensive backs. The only slight concern with Smith is his health, after he suffered a turf toe injury in 2013, but the fact that he returned from the injury in Week 15 would seem to imply that it's a thing of the past.
The first-round pick out of Notre Dame had an enormous IDP season as a rookie last year, just missing the triple-digit tackle mark with 98 stops. Smith also made an impact as a playmaker, posting one sack and intercepting three passes, two of which he took back for touchdowns. There's little reason to think Smith won't keep making plays in 2013 because Minnesota figures to have a powerful pass rush with Jared Allen, Everson Griffen, Kevin Williams, Sharrif Floyd and Brian Robison chasing quarterbacks.
Smith is a lock to start from Week 1 after the Vikings traded up to select him near the end of the first round of the 2012 draft, and his college production gives reason to expect good IDP numbers right away. He posted 181 tackles (109 solo) and seven interceptions in his final 26 college games, which projects to roughly 111 tackles (67 solo) and four interceptions in a 16-game season. Considering he'll be chasing a lot of bombs thrown by Aaron Rodgers and Matt Stafford – and a struggling Vikings offense should leave the Minnesota defense on the field for a high snap count – Smith should get more than his fair share of chances to make tackles in the secondary. Like Mark Barron in Tampa Bay, Smith is an elite target in dynasty leagues.