Josh Allen

25-Year-Old QuarterbackQB

Buffalo Bills

2021 Pass/Rush Stats

YDS

4407

INT

YDS

763

2022 Pass/Rush Projections

YDS

INT

YDS

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2022 Fantasy Outlook

Allen’s efficiency regressed last season, but passing volume and rushing production were more than enough to make him the first QB since Daunte Culpepper (2003-04) to lead the position in fantasy scoring in back-to-back years. After taking a huge leap in accuracy in 2020, Allen’s on-target rate fell by five percentage points and his completion rate by six points last season, contributing to a decline of more than yard in YPA (6.8, 24th). He ranked fourth in pass attempts, though, which helped him top 4,000 passing yards and 35 TDs for the second year in a row, one of just four QBs to do so. And with triple-digit rushes (for the third consecutive year), a league-high 6.3 yards per carry and six rushing touchdowns, Allen easily separated himself from the QB pack. Coach Sean McDermott said in March that Allen might run less frequently this season, but 48 of Allen’s 122 rushes last year were scrambles (3rd), so even if the Bills limit designed runs, Allen still likely will find plenty of opportunities to use his legs. The Bills return their main playmakers, including wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis, and added Jamison Crowder to replace slot receiver Cole Beasley, giving Allen one of the league’s best WR trios. In the red zone, 6-4 TE Dawson Knox is an effective target. Allen’s combination of arm and legs has few peers, giving him a shot to become the first QB since Brett Favre (1995-97) to lead the position in fantasy scoring for a third consecutive year. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#40.68

ADP

Overall

Quarterback

Bye Week 7

Height 6'5"

Weight 237

DOB 5/21/1996

College Wyoming

Drafted 1st Rd 2018 #7 Overall

Late heroics not enough

QBBuffalo Bills

January 23, 2022

Allen completed 27 of 37 passes for 329 yards and four touchdowns in Sunday's 42-36 overtime loss to the Chiefs. He added 68 yards on 11 rushing attempts and threw a two-point conversion.

ANALYSIS
Allen did most of his damage throwing the ball to Gabriel Davis, who finished with 201 receiving yards and caught all four of Allen's touchdown passes. After scoring connections of 18 and 75 yards over the first three quarters, Allen found Davis for a 27-yard touchdown with 1:54 remaining in the fourth. A two-point conversion to the otherwise quiet Stefon Diggs gave the Bills a 29-26 lead, kicking off a wild sequence that saw the two teams combine for 25 points in the final 1:54 of regulation. Allen added a 19-yard touchdown toss to Davis during that sequence, but the Chiefs kicked a game-tying field goal as time expired. It felt like whichever team got the ball first in overtime would win, and that's exactly what happened, as the Chiefs marched it down the field for a game-winning touchdown after winning the toss, ending Allen's season with a loss in Kansas City for the second consecutive season. Allen has cemented himself in the league's top tier of quarterbacks, and his rushing prowess makes him just as valuable to fantasy managers as he is to the Bills.

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NFL Stats

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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats

See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.

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Advanced NFL Stats

How do Josh Allen's 2021 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?

This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.

Bad Pass %

20.0%

Avg Target Depth

8.6 Yds

Sack Rate

3.9%

Avg Receiver YAC

4.5 Yds

Receiver Drop %

5.6%

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2021

2020

2019

2018

2021 NFL Game Log

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Scoring

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PPR

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2020 NFL Game Log

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2019 NFL Game Log

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2018 NFL Game Log

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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart

Snap Counts

Snap %

Bills 2021 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts

J.Josh Allen

M.Mitch Trubisky

D.Davis Webb

#% of Team Snaps

121991%

363%

40%

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#1 QB

Bills

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2021 Josh Allen Split Stats

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Measurables Review View College Player Page

How do Josh Allen's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?

This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.

Height

6' 5"

Weight

237 lbs

40-Yard Dash

4.75 sec

Shuttle Time

4.40 sec

Cone Drill

6.90 sec

Vertical Jump

33.5 in

Broad Jump

119 in

Hand Length

10.13 in

Arm Length

33.25 in

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2021

2020

2019

2018

Allen played himself into the MVP conversation last season, which perhaps shouldn't be surprising, considering better accuracy was seemingly the only thing keeping him from being a top-5 fantasy QB. The extent to which his accuracy improved, however, was surprising. Allen improved his completion percentage by nearly 11 points to 69.2 percent, vaulting from last in the league in 2019 to fourth last season. And he went from 29th in bad-pass percentage (22.1) to 12th (18.2), sandwiched between Patrick Mahomes and Ryan Tannehill as he set franchise records for completions, passing yards and TDs. Part of Allen's turnaround was thanks to shorter passes — his average target depth dropped from 9.5 to 8.9 — but the most notable improvement came on downfield passing where his percentage of on-target throws jumped from 41.4 (24th) to 47.8 (15th), improving his completion percentage on attempts of 20-plus yards from 25.7 (28th) to 43.3 (8th). Allen's improvement wasn't a fluke — he entered training camp with re-worked mechanics, footwork and balance aimed specifically at improving accuracy. The addition of Stefon Diggs also helped (20 of his 62 completions of 20-plus yards (4th) went to the speedster). Even if Allen's accuracy dips modestly this season, he still has his legs to boost his fantasy value. Allen's 25 career rushing TDs (8 last season) already rank 20th all-time among QBs. He has one of the strongest arms in the league and plays in an offense that offers a heathy number of attempts, and he has an excellent supporting cast in Diggs, Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis and newcomer Emmanuel Sanders. Allen has as much fantasy upside in 2021 as any quarterback.

If the Bills are to win the AFC East and a playoff game for the first time in a quarter century, Allen needs to take an even bigger step than he did last season — yes, his accuracy improved, but that's not saying much. His completion percentage increased by six points, but at 58.8 percent still ranked last in the NFL, and while his bad-pass percentage was no longer the league's lowest, it merely improved to bottom 10 at 22.1 percent. At 6-5, 237, Allen has a cannon arm, but he is among the league's least effective deep passers. He attempted 63 throws longer than 20 yards last season, completing just 15 as only Kyle Allen (23.1) and Mason Rudolph (23.6) had lower downfield completion percentages than Allen's ugly 23.8. That's partly why his average depth of target ranked seventh at 9.5 yards while his YPA ranked 25th at 6.7. Allen's decision-making improved, though. After throwing seven interceptions in the first five games, he threw just two more the rest of the way. But he continued to fumble at a high rate, fortunate to lose only five of 14. Allen is too quick to take off in the face of pressure, but the rushing stats elevate his fantasy upside — among quarterbacks since 1970, only Cam Newton had more rushing touchdowns (22) in his first two years than Allen's 17. The Bills acquired wide receiver Stefon Diggs to help with Allen's deep passing, and he still has speedster John Brown, effective slot man Cole Beasley and a promising young tight end in Dawson Knox. Given his rushing numbers, if Allen gets the passing game going, he could jump into the top 5 of fantasy quarterbacks.

The knock on Allen entering his rookie season was accuracy, and he did nothing to prove critics wrong. He finished last in the league among 33 qualified quarterbacks with a completion rate of 52.8 percent. While his 11.3-yard average depth of target tied for the league lead (Jameis Winston), Allen completed just 23.7 percent of his attempts longer than 20 yards (29th), and his 11.9 INT percentage was the highest among those with at least 35 downfield attempts. He did better with shorter throws, but his 64.8 completion percentage on attempts of 0-10 yards was still much lower than the league average of 69.7 percent. Allen, who earned the starting job Week 2 and missed four games midseason with an elbow injury, finished 32nd with a 6.5 YPA, besting only fellow rookie Josh Rosen (5.8). Allen used his legs to salvage some fantasy value, rushing for 631 yards - second to Lamar Jackson (695) among QBs - with a position-leading eight touchdowns. His running ability creates some fantasy optimism entering 2019, especially with expected gains in the passing game in Year 2. The Bills added talent and depth with the additions of John Brown, Cole Beasley, Tyler Kroft and Frank Gore, and Allen's elbow is healthy entering offseason workouts. Even if the passing improvement is modest and the rushing isn't quite as efficient as it was last season, Allen has the makings of a decent sleeper candidate with an improved roster around him.

The seventh overall pick in the draft, Allen is expected to sit to at least start the year in Buffalo. Coach Sean McDermott said Allen will compete in training camp with AJ McCarron and Nathan Peterman for the starting job, but scouts question whether Allen's game is ready for the NFL. At 6-5, 237, Allen has perfect size for a quarterback, and he has one of the league's strongest arms. But he struggled mightily with accuracy in college at Wyoming, and the need to work on his decision-making and timing likely means he's destined for the backup job behind McCarron. Allen can make all the throws - downfield, outside the numbers, on the run, what have you - but playing behind a shaky offensive line (it lost three starters) with few receiving threats besides Kelvin Benjamin is a tough proposition for any rookie. Nevertheless, McCarron, the four-year backup in Cincinnati, is unproven as well, and whoever emerges with the job is likely to spend more time in a game-manager role than anything, with LeSean McCoy remaining the offensive centerpiece.

More Fantasy News

Five TD passes in wild-card win

QBBuffalo Bills

January 15, 2022

Allen completed 21 of 25 passes for 308 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions during the Bills' 47-17 win over the Patriots in an AFC wild-card matchup Saturday night. He also rushed six times for 66 yards.