Josh Allen
Josh Allen
24-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Buffalo Bills
2020 Fantasy Outlook
If the Bills are to win the AFC East and a playoff game for the first time in a quarter century, Allen needs to take an even bigger step than he did last season — yes, his accuracy improved, but that's not saying much. His completion percentage increased by six points, but at 58.8 percent still ranked last in the NFL, and while his bad-pass percentage was no longer the league's lowest, it merely improved to bottom 10 at 22.1 percent. At 6-5, 237, Allen has a cannon arm, but he is among the league's least effective deep passers. He attempted 63 throws longer than 20 yards last season, completing just 15 as only Kyle Allen (23.1) and Mason Rudolph (23.6) had lower downfield completion percentages than Allen's ugly 23.8. That's partly why his average depth of target ranked seventh at 9.5 yards while his YPA ranked 25th at 6.7. Allen's decision-making improved, though. After throwing seven interceptions in the first five games, he threw just two more the rest of the way. But he continued to fumble at a high rate, fortunate to lose only five of 14. Allen is too quick to take off in the face of pressure, but the rushing stats elevate his fantasy upside — among quarterbacks since 1970, only Cam Newton had more rushing touchdowns (22) in his first two years than Allen's 17. The Bills acquired wide receiver Stefon Diggs to help with Allen's deep passing, and he still has speedster John Brown, effective slot man Cole Beasley and a promising young tight end in Dawson Knox. Given his rushing numbers, if Allen gets the passing game going, he could jump into the top 5 of fantasy quarterbacks. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#75.1
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $21.18 million contract with the Bills in July of 2018.
Beefed up for 2020
QBBuffalo Bills
June 27, 2020
Allen has looked noticeably bigger and stronger in the upper body in recent videos posted by his quarterbacks coach, Jordan Palmer, The Buffalo News reports. Said Palmer, " "It's muscle. He's in crazy shape and spinning it great."
ANALYSIS
Allen has always been a physical specimen, which has helped make up for some of his longstanding accuracy issues, but the reports show he looks even more chiseled even though the quarterback says he's only gained three pounds this offseason. The Bills have actually gone on record saying they'd prefer their franchise QB runs less going forward, but the bottom line is he's a handful to bring down and you'll get a bonus in rushing yards and even goal-line carries if you use him. Allen is not without his flaws and there's a pretty good debate as to whether he stacks up with other top young starters around the league, but if you're on the "pro" side of the argument, this is probably a good season to get ahead of the curve. He posted a 20:9 TD:INT ratio last season, perhaps not great, but when you add in his 510 rushing yards and nine TDs on the ground to go with a six percent increase in completion percentage (59 vs. 53 in his rookie season), it's easy to see that things are starting to click. Add in familiarity with Brian Daboll's offense and the addition of Stefon Diggs, and there's a chance Allen posts a big fantasy season, even if he does come with more risk than others.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Josh Allen's 2019 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
22.1%
 
Avg Target Depth
9.5 Yds
 
Sack Rate
7.6%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.1 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
5.9%
 
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2019
2018
2019 NFL Game Log
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Scoring
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PPR
Half PPR
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2018 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Buffalo BillsBills 2019 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this
J.Josh Allen
% of Team Snaps

1101
0
81
0
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2019 Josh Allen Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Josh Allen's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 5"
 
Weight
237 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.75 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.40 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.90 sec
 
Vertical Jump
33.5 in
 
Broad Jump
119 in
 
Hand Length
10.13 in
 
Arm Length
33.25 in
 
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IDP Analysis: Values at Defensive Line
20 days ago
Jim Coventry analyzes undervalued defensive linemen, including Washington's Montez Sweat, who could be on the brink of stardom.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
The knock on Allen entering his rookie season was accuracy, and he did nothing to prove critics wrong. He finished last in the league among 33 qualified quarterbacks with a completion rate of 52.8 percent. While his 11.3-yard average depth of target tied for the league lead (Jameis Winston), Allen completed just 23.7 percent of his attempts longer than 20 yards (29th), and his 11.9 INT percentage was the highest among those with at least 35 downfield attempts. He did better with shorter throws, but his 64.8 completion percentage on attempts of 0-10 yards was still much lower than the league average of 69.7 percent. Allen, who earned the starting job Week 2 and missed four games midseason with an elbow injury, finished 32nd with a 6.5 YPA, besting only fellow rookie Josh Rosen (5.8). Allen used his legs to salvage some fantasy value, rushing for 631 yards - second to Lamar Jackson (695) among QBs - with a position-leading eight touchdowns. His running ability creates some fantasy optimism entering 2019, especially with expected gains in the passing game in Year 2. The Bills added talent and depth with the additions of John Brown, Cole Beasley, Tyler Kroft and Frank Gore, and Allen's elbow is healthy entering offseason workouts. Even if the passing improvement is modest and the rushing isn't quite as efficient as it was last season, Allen has the makings of a decent sleeper candidate with an improved roster around him.
The seventh overall pick in the draft, Allen is expected to sit to at least start the year in Buffalo. Coach Sean McDermott said Allen will compete in training camp with AJ McCarron and Nathan Peterman for the starting job, but scouts question whether Allen's game is ready for the NFL. At 6-5, 237, Allen has perfect size for a quarterback, and he has one of the league's strongest arms. But he struggled mightily with accuracy in college at Wyoming, and the need to work on his decision-making and timing likely means he's destined for the backup job behind McCarron. Allen can make all the throws - downfield, outside the numbers, on the run, what have you - but playing behind a shaky offensive line (it lost three starters) with few receiving threats besides Kelvin Benjamin is a tough proposition for any rookie. Nevertheless, McCarron, the four-year backup in Cincinnati, is unproven as well, and whoever emerges with the job is likely to spend more time in a game-manager role than anything, with LeSean McCoy remaining the offensive centerpiece.
More Fantasy News
New weapon joins fray
QBBuffalo Bills
March 16, 2020
Allen picked up a dangerous new target Monday when the Bills acquired Stefon Diggs from the Vikings.
ANALYSIS
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Falters late, falls to HOU
QBBuffalo Bills
January 4, 2020
Allen completed 24 of 46 pass attempts for 264 yards, adding 92 rushing yards on nine attempts and catching one pass for 16 yards and a touchdown in Saturday's AFC wild-card loss to the Texans.
ANALYSIS
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Plays two drives in playoff tune-up
QBBuffalo Bills
December 29, 2019
Allen completed three of five passes for five yards before being replaced by Matt Barkley in Sunday's 13-6 loss to the Jets.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to play Week 17
QBBuffalo Bills
December 24, 2019
Coach Sean McDermott expects "a majority" of the Bills starters, including Allen, to play Week 17 against the Jets, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws for pair of touchdowns
QBBuffalo Bills
December 21, 2019
Allen completed 13 of his 26 pass attempts for 208 yards and two touchdowns in the team's Week 16 loss to the Patriots. He also added seven carries for 43 yards.
ANALYSIS
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