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Staff Picks: Week 5 Edition

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Erickson won the week at 9-5-1, while Stopa seems to think four wins is ugly "on a 15-game slate". I'd venture to say the aesthetic quality of four wins transcends slate size.

Mercifully, there's only one consensus pick this week, but you'll be dismayed to learn it is again the Jaguars. Fade it if you like, but then you're laying double-digit points with the Rams at your own risk. I'm on an island the most often with the Saints, Eagles and Broncos.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Bills +4 at Browns Browns Bills Browns Bills Bills
Chiefs -3 at Titans Chiefs Titans Titans Titans Chiefs
Ravens +3 at Dolphins Ravens Ravens Ravens Dolphins Ravens
Jaguars +11.5 at Rams Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars
Patriots +1.5 at Bengals Bengals Bengals Patriots Bengals Patriots
Seahawks -3 at Colts Colts Colts Colts Seahawks Colts
Lions +7 at Packers Lions Packers Lions Packers Packers
Saints pick'em at Bears Bears Bears Saints Bears Bears
Eagles +2.5 at Giants Giants Giants Eagles Giants Giants
Panthers -2 at Cardinals Cardinals Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers
Broncos -7 at Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Broncos Cowboys Cowboys
Texans +6.5 at 49ers 49ers Texans Texans Texans Texans
Chargers -4.5 at Raiders Raiders Raiders Chargers Chargers Raiders
Jets +9 at Falcons Falcons Jets Falcons Jets Jets
Best Bet Cardinals Giants Broncos Texans Giants
Last Week's Record 9-5-1 8-6-1 7-7-1 4-10-1 7-7-1
2013 Record 31-28-4 25-34-4 25-34-4 28-31-4 33-26-4
Best Bet Record 2-2 2-2 1-3 2-2 0-4
2013 Consensus Pick Record 4-9-2
2012 Record 110-140-6 124-126-6 121-129-6 143-107-6 123-127-6
2011 Record 121-128-7 134-115-7 124-125-7 123-126-7 127-122-7
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

Last week we went 0-2 on consensus picks to drop our record on the year to 4-9-2. This week we have one consensus pick - the Jaguars.


EricksonCrap, there I go picking the Jaguars again. But it's against another crappy team, so either way I'm stuck taking a bad team. To paraphrase The Wire - the Jags are bad, but I don't think that they're "special bad." Their defense is actually reasonably strong, and they get Justin Blackmon back this week, which should at least draw some coverage away from Cecil Shorts. ... As far as the Cardinals-Panthers, I think the Cards have a pretty good defense, and they've had just one home game, where they beat a pretty good Lions team. I'm not sure why they're getting points, but I'll take them... I don't like the KC/TEN game, because at some point the Chiefs are going to get their comeuppance, but I also think Fitzpatrick will commit the first Titans turnover of the year - that's what he was put on this earth to do.
PianowskiLove seeing the Giants giving less than the standard three; Philly has just as many problems. And while I don't have much hope for Big Blue, schedule and timing have played significantly into the poor start.
LissI went against the grain on a few of these picks (ATL, DEN, NO) and am on an island three times as a result. This is also known as going with the grain as far as most bettors are concerned, but not in this contrarian group. Put differently, I'm such a contrarian, I'm a contrarian to the contrarians, making me Mr. Conventional Wisdom.
StopaI wasn't as close to a doughnut in Week 4 as I first thought, but four wins on a 15 game slate is ugly, so it's back to the drawing board. I've gotten away from some of the things that have worked in the past - fading the public, prediction models like Massey Peabody, so I'm incorporating more of that going forward. But really, you don't want to hear anything else from me until I get back on track.
Del Don Not the easiest week, to say the least... I rarely like to switch picks, but I did so with the Packers here... As someone who's winless with my best bets, it seems fitting to back the Giants this week.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010, 2012 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.