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The best MMA bets, top DFS picks across multiple sites, and predictions for this weekend's UFC Vegas 101 card are live on RotoWire before Saturday's international event.
The top UFC betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC 311 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.
UFC 311 takes place Saturday, so it's time to break down the top fights, plus make DFS picks and predictions for the key matchups on the card.
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Booked for UFC 311
Dawson will fight Carlos Diego Ferreira at UFC 311 on Jan. 18, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Since suffering his first UFC loss in October 2023, Dawson has bounced back with two consecutive wins over Joe Solecki and Rafa Garcia. Ferreira has also won his last two bouts, though he's only fought once in the past 17 months.
Since suffering his first UFC loss in October 2023, Dawson has bounced back with two consecutive wins over Joe Solecki and Rafa Garcia. Ferreira has also won his last two bouts, though he's only fought once in the past 17 months.
Dominates as hefty favorite
Dawson defeated Rafa Garcia via TKO (strikes) at 1:42 of Round 2 at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
In a fight which lasted 6:42, Dawson was credited with 5:09 worth of control time. He landed 2-of-4 takedown attempts and closed with a 44-5 edge in terms of significant strikes landed. It was a dominating, suffocating performance from start to finish. Dawson would absolutely be getting title-implicating fights at 155 pounds had he not been knocked out by Bobby Green in 33 seconds almost exactly a year ago. As is, he's 10-1 (1NC) in a dozen fights with the company. He needs a step up in competition his next time out. He's earned it.
In a fight which lasted 6:42, Dawson was credited with 5:09 worth of control time. He landed 2-of-4 takedown attempts and closed with a 44-5 edge in terms of significant strikes landed. It was a dominating, suffocating performance from start to finish. Dawson would absolutely be getting title-implicating fights at 155 pounds had he not been knocked out by Bobby Green in 33 seconds almost exactly a year ago. As is, he's 10-1 (1NC) in a dozen fights with the company. He needs a step up in competition his next time out. He's earned it.
Books next fight for October
Dawson will match up against Rafa Garcia at a UFC event on Oct. 12, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
The American lightweight is coming off a dominating win over Joe Solecki via unanimous decision, and will look to start a new winning streak as his original streak was broken back in October from a knockout at the hands of Bobby Green. Dawson will take on Garcia, who hasn't fought since April of 2023.
The American lightweight is coming off a dominating win over Joe Solecki via unanimous decision, and will look to start a new winning streak as his original streak was broken back in October from a knockout at the hands of Bobby Green. Dawson will take on Garcia, who hasn't fought since April of 2023.
Puts on suffocating performance
Dawson defeated Joe Solecki via unanimous decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27) at UFC 302 on Saturday in Newark.
ANALYSIS
When it was all said and done, Dawson blanketed and beat up Solecki for every bit of the 15-minute fight. Dawson has faced criticism since he arrived in the organization for being more of a control grappler than anything else, and while he was credited with 46 significant strikes, this seemed on paper like a matchup where he could finally showcase some striking. For all the nitpicking, Dawson only has one loss in his UFC career, but there was nothing in this victory that demonstrated any growth after he was knocked out by Bobby Green in October. "KGD" improves to 21-2-1 in professional MMA due to the victory.
When it was all said and done, Dawson blanketed and beat up Solecki for every bit of the 15-minute fight. Dawson has faced criticism since he arrived in the organization for being more of a control grappler than anything else, and while he was credited with 46 significant strikes, this seemed on paper like a matchup where he could finally showcase some striking. For all the nitpicking, Dawson only has one loss in his UFC career, but there was nothing in this victory that demonstrated any growth after he was knocked out by Bobby Green in October. "KGD" improves to 21-2-1 in professional MMA due to the victory.
Booked for UFC 302
Dawson is slated to take on Joe Solecki at UFC 302 on June 1, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Dawson is looking to bounce back from his first loss with the company, which saw his record fall to 8-1-1. The loss came to Bobby Green via ground and pound in Round 1. His opponent, Solecki, is 5-2 and also looking to bounce back from a loss.
Dawson is looking to bounce back from his first loss with the company, which saw his record fall to 8-1-1. The loss came to Bobby Green via ground and pound in Round 1. His opponent, Solecki, is 5-2 and also looking to bounce back from a loss.