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According to the Data: Breakout Players For 2013

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News,, and NBC.

Potential Breakout Players for 2013

One of the reasons I suggest fantasy owners create their own projections and rankings is I believe the process to be more beneficial than the end result.
Even if two owners have the exact same set of rankings, the one who formulated the projections and rankings himself will be better off.

One of the components inherent to "the process" is understanding predictors of success. It might be useful to recognize that a player is in a contract year, for example, but what if contract-year players didn't actually perform better than those who just received a new contract? They don't, by the way, but the point is that your progression as a fantasy owner is characterized by uncovering information on your own, ultimately making subjective decisions based on an objective framework.

For the last few months, I've been running the numbers in an attempt to discover the best predictors of success at each position. Does he

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