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According to the Data: Why You Should Wait on Quarterbacks

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News,, and NBC.

Evidence for a Late-Quarterback Draft Strategy in 2013

I was wrong. Very, very wrong. At this time last season, I was advocating an early-quarterback draft strategy. You see, I had done a lot of research on position consistency, and quarterbacks came out on top. Quarterback is still the most consistent position in fantasy football, especially among the top-tier guys. There's a reason we see Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady & Co. among the league-leaders in fantasy points each season. And there's value in that consistency, especially when you're spending early-round draft picks.

That consistency alone wasn't enough to catapult elite quarterbacks near the top of my board, though. The reason I was all over Rodgers and Cam Newton in 2012 was I mistakenly believed elite quarterbacks - true top-tier guys - were scarce. As is the case in any market, scarce commodities are valuable. If the top quarterbacks were as scarce as I had believed, the decision to take

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