DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks

DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

PITCHER

Felix Hernandez, SEA vs. MIL, ($11,500): The pairing of a strikeout artist like King Felix with a Brewers squad that whiffs a league-worst 25.4 percent of the time against right-handers is a perfect storm for fantasy production. Milwaukee also has the fourth-lowest wOBA in the majors over the last seven days (.300), along with the sixth-lowest road wOBA in the majors this season (.300). Hernandez is averaging 19.6 fantasy points per game at home this season and has scored between 22.4 and 25.6 fantasy points over his last three starts, with double-digit strikeouts in two of those games.

Brandon Finnegan, CIN vs. LAD ($5,600): Finnegan can admittedly be a bit of a dice roll to roster, but he comes at a significant savings Saturday and draws a deceptively good matchup. The Dodgers' bats are a lot less potent when facing southpaws, against whom they've generated a paltry .293 wOBA that is the third-lowest in the majors. Finnegan also shut down this same squad in his previous meeting against them this season, scoring 17.1 fantasy points on the strength of an eight-inning, five-hit, one-earned run performance back on May 23.

CATCHER

Jett Bandy, LAA vs. NY ($3,300): Bandy continues to be one of the better sources of cost-effective fantasy production out of the catcher position, with 14 and 19 fantasy points in two of his prior three games heading into Friday night's action. He draws a nice matchup in Yankees rookie righty Luis Cessa, who's given up a .395 wOBA, 6.05 xFIP and 38.2 percent hard contact rate to righty bats in his young career. Bandy has five of his eight homers on the season against right-handed pitching, with three of those coming at home. He also boasts a .346 wOBA over his last 13 games despite a decidedly hard-luck .172 BABIP during that same span that's bound to improve.

FIRST BASE

Edwin Encarnacion, TOR at CLE ($4,700) Encarnacion brings a robust ceiling north of 20 fantasy points, as evidenced by the three times he's eclipsed that mark in the last 10 games alone. As customary, he's decimated right-handed pitching this season, with a .382 wOBA, .283 ISO, 22.8 percent HR/FB rate and 35.8 percent hard contact rate. Indians starter Josh Tomlin continues to give up plenty of home runs and has been surprisingly vulnerable at home, yielding a bloated .381 wOBA to right-handed hitters there, along with a 35.8 percent hard contact rate. He's also been getting hit increasingly hard over his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs on 24 hits over 16.1 innings, along with a mammoth 49.2 percent hard contact rate.

SECOND BASE

Jace Peterson, ATL vs. WAS ($2,400): Peterson is strictly a tournament play against Nationals ace Max Scherzer, but he comes at minimal risk and is certain to be low-owned in tournaments. The numbers actually line up in his favor, as Peterson has an impressive .340 wOBA against right-handed pitching at Turner Field, while Scherzer has actually struggled against lefty bats on the road, giving up a .342 wOBA and 11 homers to them outside of Nationals Park.

THIRD BASE

Jorge Polanco, MIN at KC ($2,900): The switch-hitting Polanco has been a steady offensive force, hitting safely in eight of his last 10 games. He's also been outstanding against right-handed pitching on the road, generating a .404 wOBA when facing that handedness away of Target Field. Royals starter Ian Kennedy has been excellent over his last four starts, but three of those have come on the road. He's been flirting with disaster at Kauffmann Stadium, particularly with lefty bats, which have touched him up for a 49.3 percent hard contact rate at home this season.

SHORTSTOP

Manny Machado, BAL vs. HOU ($4,800): Machado is certainly a prime candidate to take advantage of Astros starter Mike Fiers' considerable struggles against right-handed hitters. Fiers has yielded a .370 wOBA to righty bats that rises to .412 when facing them away from Minute Maid Park. He's also given up 14 of his 22 homers on the season to righty hitters, while Machado has decimated right-handed pitching to the tune of a .383 wOBA and .264 ISO, with those figures rising to .402 and .298, respectively, when facing them at Camden Yards, along with a 38.8 percent hard contact rate. With a virtually limitless ceiling and a sub-$5K price, Machado offers the potential for a nice return.

OUTFIELD

Mookie Betts, BOS at DET ($5,300): Betts continues to tear the cover off the ball and has eye-popping fantasy-point totals of 34 and 57 in his last five games alone. He has a .353 wOBA, .267 ISO and 35.2 percent hard contact rate, while Tigers starter Daniel Norris has surrendered a .364 wOBA and 5.10 xFIP to right-handed hitters. Incidentally, Red Sox lefty bats David Ortiz and Jackie Bradley, Jr. may make for a nice three-man stack with Betts, as Norris has had considerable trouble with left-handed hitters as well, especially at Comerica Park.

Mark Trumbo, BAL vs. HOU ($4,800): Trumbo is another highly appealing righty bat to attack Astros starter Mike Fiers with, given the latter's difficulties against that handedness, especially on the road. Trumbo boasts an impressive .377 wOBA and .274 ISO against righty arms, with those figures jumping up to .414 and .315, respectively, when facing them at Camden Yards. His 40.7 percent hard contact rate and 15 homers against right-handers at home only serve to sweeten the pot.

Nelson Cruz, SEA vs. MIL ($4,700): Cruz could do some serious damage against Brewers starter Wily Peralta, who despite a pair of impressive starts since being recalled from the minors has still given up a .424 wOBA and .592 slugging percentage to right-handed hitters on the road, along with a 35.1 percent hard contact rate. While Cruz is a renowned lefty masher, he has tallied a .370 wOBA, 17 homers and 33.8 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching, a .383 wOBA against that handedness at home, and a .382 wOBA, .292 ISO and five homers in 17 games this month.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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