FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

This article is part of our FantasyDraft MLB series.

PITCHERS:

Jacob deGrom, NYM vs. SF ($20,800):- Following a blanking Sunday, the Giants now sport an NL-low .277 wOBA and are also last in the majors by a large margin with only 19 homers. They're also last in the NL against right-handed pitching (.272 wOBA) and hard contact rate (25.8 percent). Meanwhile, deGrom has a 2.31 ERA and has allowed just a .287 wOBA in 11.2 home innings, while already having scored over 30 fantasy points in two previous starts this season.

Brandon McCarthy, LAD at PIT ($16,200):- McCarthy owns a 1.38 ERA, .209 BAA and .258 wOBA in 13.0 road innings, with just one extra-base hit allowed. The Pirates are sporting a .299 wOBA and 20.2 percent strikeout rate in May, and a .301 wOBA against righties overall. McCarthy also checks in with an extra day of rest after his scheduled start versus the Padres was rained out Sunday, and he's scored between 18.45 and 24.15 fantasy points in four of his five starts this season.

INFIELD

Manny Machado, BAL vs. WAS ($9,900):-Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez has undeniably been very effective, but the vulnerabilities he has shown have been against righty bats. The four homers he's yielded have been to right-handed hitters, along with a below-average 4.23 xFIP that hints at some potential regression. He's also been tagged by that handedness for a 33.3 percent hard contact rate on the road, while Machado owns a .429 wOBA, .382 ISO and massive 58.1 percent hard contact rate against southpaws, along with a .400 average over 13 career plate appearances versus Gonzalez.

Wil Myers, SD vs. TEX ($8,400):- Rangers starter Nick Martinez has had a rough go of it on the road in a limited sample, surrendering a .526 wOBA, including a .568 figure to right-handed hitters. Myers continues to mash righties, compiling a .327 average, six homers, a .404 wOBA, 30.0 percent line drive rate and 43.7 percent hard contact rate. He also draws a great matchup against the Rangers bullpen, which has surrendered a .345 wOBA and 21 extra-base hits (14 doubles, seven homers) to righty bats.

Ryon Healy, OAK vs. LAA ($6,400):- Naturally, Healy's teammate Yonder Alonso, ($5,600) will rightfully be a popular choice, and he makes for a great addition if you choose to go with an A's mini-stack. However, while he's been a bit overshadowed given Alonso's recent power surge, Healy has been rising in his own right after a slow start. He's hit homers in three straight games, scoring between 17.00 and 25.00 fantasy points in those contests, has a 50.0 percent hard contact rate in May (22 plate appearances) and draws a matchup against a pitcher that at less than 100 percent in Ricky Nolasco, who's battling a calf injury that could certainly affect his delivery. Healy has struggled against righties on the road but battered them at home, posting a .381 wOBA, .323 ISO and 40.9 percent hard contact rate. Meanwhile, Nolasco has been victimized by righties, especially on the road, allowing a .458 wOBA, four homers and a 44.0 percent hard contact rate, and he's also been tagged by Healy for a .417 average, a double, a homer and two RBI over 12 career encounters.

OUTFIELD

Aaron Judge, NYY at CIN ($8,800):-Judge may be one of the few Yankees who isn't running on fumes Monday following Sunday's 18-inning marathon, as he exited after seven innings. He'll take his hacks against the aptly named Rookie Davis, who's given up a .415 wOBA, 5.79 xFIP (including 8.08 at home), 24.1 percent line drive rate and 33.3 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters. Judge had been tearing up virtually any pitcher put in front of him, and he's blasted righties for a .309 average, 10 homers, .460 wOBA, .432 ISO and 46.4 percent hard contact.

Cody Bellinger, LAD vs. PIT ($7,200):- Over in the National League, Bellinger has been generating almost as much buzz as Judge, and with good reason. Following a five-RBI night Saturday highlighted by a grand slam, Bellinger has now racked up nine RBI over his last two games, eclipsed 30 fantasy points in both contests and owns a 55.6 percent hard contact rate over his last 22 plate appearances. He's already tagged right-handed pitching for a .367 average, all five of his homers, a .533 wOBA and 50.0 percent hard contact. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Trevor Williams has been much more vulnerable to right-handed hitters in the early going but probably a bit on the lucky side against lefty bats, as his 5.20 xFIP and .211 BABIP against that handedness belies the .240 wOBA he's allowed. Additionally, the Pirates bullpen has been generous to left-handed hitters, giving up a .338 wOBA, six homers and a 4.93 xFIP over 39.1 innings.

Kevin Pillar, TOR vs. CLE ($6,400):- Pillar has racked up a .435 wOBA, .265 ISO, 25.0 percent line drive rate and 40.0 percent hard contact rate at Rogers Centre, while Indians starter Trevor Bauer has yielded a .375 wOBA and 38.5 percent hard contact (40.9 percent on the road) to right-handed hitters. He's also struggled with his control, as evidenced by 4.50 BB/9 on the road (including 4.15 against righty bats), while Pillar has shown a willingness to take off when on base against righties, notching four steals on eight overall attempts against that handedness.

UTILITY:

Justin Turner, LAD vs. PIT ($7,200):-Pirates starter Trevor Williams' numbers against right-handed hitters include a .450 wOBA, 6.91 xFIP, 25.0 percent line drive rate and 31.3 percent hard contact rate, while Turner continues to terrorize righties. He's posted a .418 average and .451 wOBA against that handedness overall, with those figures rising to .500 and .544, respectively, when facing them at home. He also is eighth in the majors with a stellar 58.3 percent hard contact rate in May (23 plate appearances)

Adam Duvall, CIN vs. NYY ($7,600):- Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka has had his share of issues versus right-handed hitters, yielding a .397 wOBA and 35.6 percent hard contact rate to them, along with a 5.68 xFIP when facing them on the road. Duvall has been crushing all comers lately, but especially southpaws, against which he boasts a .350 average (including .400 at home), .575 wOBA (despite a .200 BABIP) and 36.8 percent hard contact rate (including 42.9 percent at home). He's also likely to see a fatigued Yankees bullpen later in the game, considering New York's 18-inning marathon against the Cubs on Sunday.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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