A.J. Pollock
A.J. Pollock
30-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Pollock dealt with a groin strain again in 2017, which not only cut into his volume of games played, but may have also led him to be less aggressive as a base stealer as the season progressed. After swiping 13 bags in 15 attempts in the first half over 43 games, Pollock went 7-for-11 in the second half in 69 games. Fortunately, as the speed waned, his power increased, as he swatted 11 homers in the second half after hitting three in the first half. Later in the year, Pollock was hitting second in the order against lefties, but dropped to sixth against righties. If that arrangement holds up in 2018, alter the projected balance of runs and RBI expected accordingly, and knock off some power to account for the new humidor in Arizona. At the very least, Pollock still has a balanced skill set and a good supporting cast around him. If he can get close to his previous career high in games played (157) with better health in 2018, Pollock should be a highly valuable fantasy asset. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $7.75 million contract with the Diamondbacks in January of 2018 to avoid arbitration.
Heads to bench
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 29, 2018
Pollock is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Pollock sits for just the second time in the last 23 games, hitting .256 with five homers over that stretch. Jon Jay will start in center field Saturday.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+85%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .787 317 45 16 46 10 .246 .303 .484
Since 2016vs Right .801 655 98 21 72 27 .268 .333 .468
2018vs Left .742 155 16 9 26 5 .221 .277 .464
2018vs Right .830 305 45 12 39 8 .275 .336 .495
2017vs Left .854 152 28 7 20 5 .277 .329 .525
2017vs Right .775 314 45 7 29 15 .261 .331 .444
2016vs Left .425 10 1 0 0 0 .125 .300 .125
2016vs Right .788 36 8 2 4 4 .273 .333 .455
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+100%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .841 488 76 20 70 21 .278 .333 .508
Since 2016Away .752 484 67 17 48 16 .243 .314 .438
2018Home .859 238 32 11 36 8 .278 .342 .517
2018Away .739 222 29 10 29 5 .235 .288 .451
2017Home .849 236 42 9 33 11 .282 .331 .518
2017Away .750 230 31 5 16 9 .249 .330 .420
2016Home .429 14 2 0 1 2 .214 .214 .214
2016Away .856 32 7 2 3 2 .259 .375 .481
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Stat Review
How does A.J. Pollock compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.31
 
BB Rate
6.7%
 
K Rate
21.7%
 
BABIP
.284
 
ISO
.228
 
AVG
.257
 
OBP
.316
 
SLG
.484
 
OPS
.800
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
After a breakout 2015 season in which he registered a handful of MVP votes, Pollock's 2016 was derailed by injury. A fractured elbow sustained toward the end of spring training kept Pollock out until late August. He returned and played in 12 games, but a groin strain shut him down for good. The combination of power and speed, along with the run-scoring that comes with hitting in front of Paul Goldschmidt, made Pollock the source of a lot of fantasy league titles in 2015. Given the natural discounting that follows when a player has been absent for almost a full year, he has the potential to do the same this season. The only real concern is his injury history, considering 2016 and a 2014 season in which he missed significant time due to a broken hand. That risk should be properly cooked into the price, and he could offer first-round value in his age-29 season with a third-round price tag.
Healthy for the entire season after missing significant time in 2014 with a broken hand, Pollock erupted in 2015. He batted .315, belted 20 home runs, scored 111 runs (second in the National League) and drove in 76 more across 157 games. Pollock also finished with 39 doubles and 39 steals, and if he had one more of each, he would have been the only player in the league with 20 homers, 40 doubles and 40 steals. The 27-year-old’s breakout performance earned him his first All-Star trip, and he seems primed to return to the mid-summer classic in 2016. The big debate this offseason is whether Pollock is a first-round pick this year. Given the lack of stolen bases in today’s game, his all-around package is unique in fantasy, so it seems completely justifiable to take Pollock at the end of the first round, preferably paired with a power bat early in the second round.
Pollock appeared to be in the midst of a breakout when a broken hand, suffered in June, knocked him out of the lineup until rosters expanded in September. The biggest surprise in Pollock's first-half numbers was a level of power that he had never displayed before. Through the first two months of the season, Pollock was hitting .316/.366/.554 with six home runs in 51 games (192 plate appearances). Upon returning in September, Pollock hit .273/.326/.386 with one home run, but he managed to go 6-for-8 in stolen-base opportunities. The power outage after the hand injury is hardly surprising, but it remains to be seen if the spike in April and May is something he will be able to provide again in 2015. Even without an increase in pop, Pollock should play nearly every day as the Diamondbacks' regular center fielder, offering good defense, the ability to mash left-handed pitching (career: .280/.331/.505), and the speed necessary to contribute 25-30 steals if new manager Chip Hale proves to be aggressive on the basepaths.
In his first full major league season, Pollock was solid. He hit .269 with eight home runs and 12 stolen bases, but is another player whose real-life value is mainly in his glove. Pollock is better positioned to start in center field following the trade of Adam Eaton to the White Sox. Depending on the health of Cody Ross, Pollock is a candidate to fall into a platoon after he hit .283/.332/.480 with a .351 wOBA against southpaws last season. If Ross recovers from hip surgery and can produce in a corner spot, Pollock will be forced to compete with Gerardo Parra for playing time, while the duo could form an ideal platoon given Parra's career splits against right-handed pitching.
Although he didn't hit well in his limited chances with the D-Backs, Pollock is a former first-round pick with a combination of speed and on-base skills that should eventually make him a candidate for the team's leadoff role. With the departure of Chris Young, he'll likely enter the mix for an Opening Day roster spot, but it's believed that Pollock will slot into the picture as a reserve option initially with Adam Eaton expected to take over in center field. There's still some debate as to whether Pollock will develop into more than a fourth outfielder in the long run, but he makes contact regularly and runs well enough to steal bases when he gets on, making him an intriguing endgame option in NL-only formats if the path to at-bats becomes clearer.
Pollock tends to be overlooked in most circles because many scouts believe that he lacks a standout tool. Fortunately, he does everything well, and is praised for unquantifiable traits including his work ethic and instincts on the field. Although he's not a speed demon, Pollock is efficient on the basepaths as evidenced by his 36-for-43 stolen-base mark at Mobile last season. Keep in mind that he missed a year of development in 2010 after fracturing a growth plate in his elbow during spring training, but Pollock showed little rust while skipping High-A in 2011. Just 24, the D-Backs will probably give him most of 2012 to finish his minor league development at Triple-A Reno, but his ability to draw walks and drive the ball into the gaps should make him a viable leadoff man and everyday center fielder as early as 2013.
Pollock fractured a growth plate in his right elbow during spring training and actually lost all of the 2010 season before getting back into game action during the Arizona Fall League. In a hitter-friendly environment, Pollock delivered a .313/.389/.406 line while converting all seven of his stolen base attempts. Long term, he projects as an eventual replacement for Chris Young in center field, but the skill set here is one of a gap hitter with good speed and plenty of defensive ability rather than a five-tool talent. Look for him to start 2011 at Double-A Mobile, while the D-Backs have no need to rush him out of the gates following Young's resurgence last season.
Pollock was the second of the D-Backs' two first-round selections in June, on the heels of a very successful collegiate career at Notre Dame. He was quickly signed and assigned to Low-A South Bend, where he put together a .271/.319/.376 line in 255 at-bats during his first taste of professional pitching. He'll either return to the Midwest League to begin the 2010 season there, or possibly move up to High-A Visalia. Given Chris Young's struggles and the organization's willingness to aggressively promote its prospects, Pollock could enter the center field picture in Arizona during the 2011 campaign if his adjustment to wood bats goes smoothly. Long term, he projects as a line-drive hitter with modest power (10-12 homers), but good instincts on the basepaths (20-25 steals) and above average speed.
More Fantasy News
Homers, drives in three
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 27, 2018
Pollock went 2-for-4 with a home run, a triple, three RBI and two runs scored in Wednesday's win over the Dodgers.
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Ties career high in homers
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 25, 2018
Pollock went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk Monday in the Diamondbacks' 7-4 loss to the Dodgers.
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Solo blast Saturday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 22, 2018
Pollock went 1-for-3 with a solo home run Saturday against the Rockies.
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Out Wednesday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 19, 2018
Pollock is not in Wednesday's lineup versus the Cubs.
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Delivers solo shot in loss
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 18, 2018
Pollock went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in the Diamondbacks' 5-1 loss to the Cubs on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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