J.D. Martinez
J.D. Martinez
32-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Martinez was unsigned deep into last winter, but the wait was worth it after he found the perfect landing spot in Boston. While mainly serving as the club's DH, Martinez avoided the health issues that plagued him as an everyday outfielder the prior two seasons, playing in 150 games and setting career highs in AVG (.330), OBP (.402), RBI (130), runs (111) and extra-base hits (82). As has held true since his 2014 breakout, Martinez remains a Statcast darling, with his elite hard-hit and barrel rates yielding elevated BABIPs for a player with limited speed. The stellar batted-ball metrics bolster Martinez's odds of finishing near the top of the home-run and average leaderboards again in 2019, while his spot in a lineup that includes a bevy of young stars sets him up for ample run-producing and run-scoring chances. Martinez retains outfield eligibility after logging 57 starts in 2018, mitigating any concern about his worthiness of a first-round selection. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $110 million contract with the Red Sox in February of 2018. Contract includes $23.75 million player option for 2019, $23.75 million player option ($2.5 million buyout) for 2020, $19.38 million player option for 2021 and $19.38 million player option for 2022.
Not opting out
OFBoston Red Sox
November 4, 2019
Martinez will not exercise the opt-out in his contract, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Martinez evidently didn't feel as though he could make more than the $62.5 million he's due over the next three seasons on the open market. He remains an excellent hitter, but there's understandably some uncertainty about the market for a 32-year-old designated hitter. He has opt-outs remaining after each of the next two seasons, so there's still no guarantee he remains in Boston through the end of the 2022 season.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
67
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
14
34
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+74%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+38%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left 1.227 425 88 39 100 4 .373 .449 .778
Since 2017vs Right .940 1369 206 85 239 8 .296 .369 .571
2019vs Left 1.381 170 38 19 40 1 .404 .494 .887
2019vs Right .793 486 60 17 65 1 .272 .344 .449
2018vs Left .966 145 24 8 31 1 .336 .386 .580
2018vs Right 1.051 504 87 35 99 5 .329 .407 .644
2017vs Left 1.356 110 26 12 29 2 .376 .464 .892
2017vs Right .985 379 59 33 75 2 .283 .351 .634
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+45%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home 1.068 899 164 71 181 6 .319 .394 .674
Since 2017Away .947 895 130 53 158 6 .308 .382 .565
2019Home .898 315 45 18 43 0 .274 .346 .552
2019Away .978 341 53 18 62 2 .333 .416 .561
2018Home 1.088 331 67 26 77 3 .334 .405 .683
2018Away .973 318 44 17 53 3 .326 .399 .573
2017Home 1.259 253 52 27 61 3 .355 .439 .820
2017Away .867 236 33 18 43 1 .251 .309 .558
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Stat Review
How does J.D. Martinez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.52
 
BB Rate
11.0%
 
K Rate
21.0%
 
BABIP
.342
 
ISO
.252
 
AVG
.304
 
OBP
.383
 
SLG
.557
 
OPS
.939
 
wOBA
.401
 
Exit Velocity
91.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
45.8%
 
Barrels/PA
7.5%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
Despite missing six weeks at the start of the season due to a foot injury, Martinez finished third in the majors with 45 home runs. He produced at an otherworldly rate after being traded from Detroit to Arizona, hitting 29 homers and driving in 65 runs in just 62 games with the Diamondbacks. He was great against both handedness of pitcher, but Martinez absolutely destroyed lefties to the tune of a .376/.464/.892 batting line. Overall, Martinez's barrel rate of 12.3 Brls/PA trailed only Aaron Judge's mark, according to Statcast. He's now hit over .300 in three of the last four seasons, and Martinez is still just 30, so it should be a while before any significant age-related skills regression sets in. He landed with the Red Sox in free agency, giving him added appeal as a late-first/early-second rounder with a combination of elite power and batting average.
It would be wrong to say Martinez struggled through the first two months of 2016, but his .820 OPS was a level below the upper-.800 range he had shown over the previous the two seasons. When he hit at a 1.076 OPS clip for the first two weeks in June, it looked like everything was back on track until he ran into a wall in foul territory during a game in Kansas City and fractured his left elbow, forcing him to miss nearly two months. There were some concerns about his power upon return, but a dramatic eighth-inning home run against Chris Sale in his first at-bat back stomped that fear down. He got hits in each of his first five games back and 19 of 20 afterward. The bottom line was another 517 plate appearances that further solidify him as one of the game's premier power bats. He flirted with 40 homers back in 2015 before the power surge swept the league, and he remains a candidate to eclipse that mark in a full season.
Martinez proved his breakout of 2014 was real with elite production in 2015. He delivered 38 home runs and 102 RBI, with an .879 OPS; all three of those stats were top-10 in the American League. His OBP (.344) was still solid despite whiffing 178 times. The Tigers and his fantasy owners can live with those strikeouts if Martinez can continue to deliver as one of MLB's best power hitters. Draft him as a top-10 outfielder, but watch for a drop-off in performance after the All-Star break. Martinez has been a better first-half performer the last two seasons and seems to tire a bit in the second half.
Martinez was easily one of the biggest fantasy surprises of 2014. After being released by the Astros during spring training, Martinez was quickly signed to a minor league contract by the Tigers, who assigned him to Triple-A Toledo to begin the season. He was able to force the Tigers’ hand after just 17 games with the Mud Hens and his success carried over to the majors, as Martinez quickly took over as Detroit’s everyday left fielder. While it’s hard to argue with the strong numbers he posted, Martinez’s production was buoyed by an unsustainable .397 BABIP. He also struggled with his plate discipline, posting a 71 percent contact rate and 0.24 BB/K ratio. The odds are stacked against Martinez repeating his magical 2014 campaign, but he is a former top prospect with solid power, and it certainly won’t hurt his cause hitting behind superstars Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez. Owners will want to make sure they don’t pay for his 2014 production, but there’s still plenty of value to be had here if the price tag is right.
Martinez began the season hitting third for the Astros, but imploded the second time through the division, earning himself a demotion in early August. Still, we can not call 2012 a total failure. Martinez proved that he can hit well in the clutch (as evidenced in part by his team-leading RBI total), though few would argue that he has below-average speed and is stiff on the basepaths. The Astros' move to the American League will afford Martinez some added opportunities in the DH spot, but that role may be shared with Brett Wallace thanks to the addition of Carlos Pena at first base.
The Hunter Pence trade coupled with a hot start at the plate allowed Martinez to parlay a late July callup into an opportunity to remain a regular in the Astros lineup for most of the remainder of the season. He can hit for a decent average and has developing power, though the questions persist about his ultimate upside. The Astros have a lot of outfield options, so there's a chance Martinez could be moved to right from left. He figures to get regular at-bats, wherever he winds up playing.
More Fantasy News
Homers in loss
OFBoston Red Sox
September 28, 2019
Martinez went 1-for-4 with a walk and a solo homer in Saturday's loss to Baltimore.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Friday
OFBoston Red Sox
September 27, 2019
Martinez is not in the lineup Friday against Baltimore, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Delivers three RBI in win
OFBoston Red Sox
September 25, 2019
Martinez went 2-for-5 with three RBI and one run scored in Tuesday's 12-10 win over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Bangs out three hits
OFBoston Red Sox
September 23, 2019
Martinez went 3-for-4 with a walk, two RBI and two runs Sunday in the Red Sox's 7-4 win over the Rays.
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In lineup, as expected
OFBoston Red Sox
September 21, 2019
Martinez (groin) will serve as the designated hitter and bat cleanup Saturday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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