J.D. Martinez
J.D. Martinez
31-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Despite missing six weeks at the start of the season due to a foot injury, Martinez finished third in the majors with 45 home runs. He produced at an otherworldly rate after being traded from Detroit to Arizona, hitting 29 homers and driving in 65 runs in just 62 games with the Diamondbacks. He was great against both handedness of pitcher, but Martinez absolutely destroyed lefties to the tune of a .376/.464/.892 batting line. Overall, Martinez's barrel rate of 12.3 Brls/PA trailed only Aaron Judge's mark, according to Statcast. He's now hit over .300 in three of the last four seasons, and Martinez is still just 30, so it should be a while before any significant age-related skills regression sets in. He landed with the Red Sox in free agency, giving him added appeal as a late-first/early-second rounder with a combination of elite power and batting average. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $110 million contract with the Red Sox in February of 2018. Contract includes $23.75 million player option for 2019, $23.75 million player option ($2.5 million buyout) for 2020, $19.38 million player option for 2021 and $19.38 million player option for 2022.
Out of lineup Sunday
OFBoston Red Sox
September 16, 2018
Martinez will be on the bench for Sunday's contest against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
Martinez will sit for the second time in September. Steve Pearce will be the designated hitter in his absence.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+38%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left 1.024 378 64 23 75 4 .337 .394 .630
Since 2016vs Right .993 1242 196 85 220 6 .306 .380 .613
2018vs Left .931 136 22 6 25 1 .339 .382 .548
2018vs Right 1.056 478 84 35 98 4 .325 .402 .654
2017vs Left 1.356 110 26 12 29 2 .376 .464 .892
2017vs Right .985 379 59 33 75 2 .283 .351 .634
2016vs Left .861 132 16 5 21 1 .306 .348 .512
2016vs Right .925 385 53 17 47 0 .307 .382 .543
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+45%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home 1.122 814 149 64 175 7 .348 .415 .706
Since 2016Away .880 806 111 44 120 3 .279 .351 .529
2018Home 1.078 313 62 24 71 3 .332 .403 .675
2018Away .975 301 44 17 52 2 .323 .392 .583
2017Home 1.259 253 52 27 61 3 .355 .439 .820
2017Away .867 236 33 18 43 1 .251 .309 .558
2016Home 1.041 248 35 13 43 1 .362 .407 .634
2016Away .783 269 34 9 25 0 .254 .342 .441
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Stat Review
How does J.D. Martinez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.47
 
BB Rate
10.5%
 
K Rate
22.5%
 
BABIP
.374
 
ISO
.297
 
AVG
.330
 
OBP
.401
 
SLG
.627
 
OPS
1.028
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
It would be wrong to say Martinez struggled through the first two months of 2016, but his .820 OPS was a level below the upper-.800 range he had shown over the previous the two seasons. When he hit at a 1.076 OPS clip for the first two weeks in June, it looked like everything was back on track until he ran into a wall in foul territory during a game in Kansas City and fractured his left elbow, forcing him to miss nearly two months. There were some concerns about his power upon return, but a dramatic eighth-inning home run against Chris Sale in his first at-bat back stomped that fear down. He got hits in each of his first five games back and 19 of 20 afterward. The bottom line was another 517 plate appearances that further solidify him as one of the game's premier power bats. He flirted with 40 homers back in 2015 before the power surge swept the league, and he remains a candidate to eclipse that mark in a full season.
Martinez proved his breakout of 2014 was real with elite production in 2015. He delivered 38 home runs and 102 RBI, with an .879 OPS; all three of those stats were top-10 in the American League. His OBP (.344) was still solid despite whiffing 178 times. The Tigers and his fantasy owners can live with those strikeouts if Martinez can continue to deliver as one of MLB's best power hitters. Draft him as a top-10 outfielder, but watch for a drop-off in performance after the All-Star break. Martinez has been a better first-half performer the last two seasons and seems to tire a bit in the second half.
Martinez was easily one of the biggest fantasy surprises of 2014. After being released by the Astros during spring training, Martinez was quickly signed to a minor league contract by the Tigers, who assigned him to Triple-A Toledo to begin the season. He was able to force the Tigers’ hand after just 17 games with the Mud Hens and his success carried over to the majors, as Martinez quickly took over as Detroit’s everyday left fielder. While it’s hard to argue with the strong numbers he posted, Martinez’s production was buoyed by an unsustainable .397 BABIP. He also struggled with his plate discipline, posting a 71 percent contact rate and 0.24 BB/K ratio. The odds are stacked against Martinez repeating his magical 2014 campaign, but he is a former top prospect with solid power, and it certainly won’t hurt his cause hitting behind superstars Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez. Owners will want to make sure they don’t pay for his 2014 production, but there’s still plenty of value to be had here if the price tag is right.
Martinez began the season hitting third for the Astros, but imploded the second time through the division, earning himself a demotion in early August. Still, we can not call 2012 a total failure. Martinez proved that he can hit well in the clutch (as evidenced in part by his team-leading RBI total), though few would argue that he has below-average speed and is stiff on the basepaths. The Astros' move to the American League will afford Martinez some added opportunities in the DH spot, but that role may be shared with Brett Wallace thanks to the addition of Carlos Pena at first base.
The Hunter Pence trade coupled with a hot start at the plate allowed Martinez to parlay a late July callup into an opportunity to remain a regular in the Astros lineup for most of the remainder of the season. He can hit for a decent average and has developing power, though the questions persist about his ultimate upside. The Astros have a lot of outfield options, so there's a chance Martinez could be moved to right from left. He figures to get regular at-bats, wherever he winds up playing.
More Fantasy News
Homers in victory
OFBoston Red Sox
September 13, 2018
Martinez went 2-for-4 with a single and a solo home run in Thursday's victory over the Blue Jays.
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Smacks 40th home run
OFBoston Red Sox
September 9, 2018
Martinez went 1-for-4 with a home run and four RBI on Sunday against the Astros.
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Not in Wednesday's lineup
OFBoston Red Sox
September 5, 2018
Martinez is out of the lineup versus the Braves on Wednesday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
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Rest days upcoming
OFBoston Red Sox
September 2, 2018
Martinez will receive one or two days off during Boston's upcoming three-game series at Atlanta, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
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Smacks 39th home run
OFBoston Red Sox
August 30, 2018
Martinez went 1-for-5 with a three-run home run Thursday against the White Sox.
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