J.D. Martinez
J.D. Martinez
33-Year-Old DHDH
Boston Red Sox
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Major League Baseball implemented a policy against in-tunnel video in 2020 and Martinez hated the policy, blaming it in large part for his struggles. He complained about it early and often, and never really seemed to get over it. He looked surprisingly awful at the plate for most of the season, particularly against fastballs. Martinez hit .318 and slugged .574 off fastballs in 2019, but those numbers fell to .186 and .372 last season. He put up the 2019 numbers even while dealing with a balky back, but he just looked completely overmatched at the plate more often than not in 2020. Even his well-documented domination of lefties suffered as the career .310/.382/.568 hitter against southpaws had a 2020 finish of .214/.286/.393. Expect a rebound in 2021 because he has had an offseason to adjust his preparation, but a full recovery to 2015-2019 is unlikely. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#92
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $110 million contract with the Red Sox in February of 2018. Contract includes $23.75 million player option for 2019, $23.75 million player option ($2.5 million buyout) for 2020, $19.38 million player option for 2021 and $19.38 million player option for 2022.
Mashes 14th homer
DHBoston Red Sox
June 19, 2021
Martinez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Saturday's 7-1 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
His fifth-inning blast off Brad Keller capped a four-run rally by the Red Sox that put them in the lead for good. Martinez extended his hitting streak to nine games with the long ball, and on the season he's batting .307 with 14 homers and 44 RBI through 65 contests.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
44
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+74%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left 1.068 325 61 23 58 2 .335 .406 .662
Since 2019vs Right .810 848 106 33 116 1 .270 .343 .467
2021vs Left .797 92 15 2 10 0 .299 .326 .471
2021vs Right .976 193 33 12 34 0 .314 .383 .593
2020vs Left .679 63 8 2 8 1 .214 .286 .393
2020vs Right .669 169 13 4 17 0 .213 .296 .373
2019vs Left 1.381 170 38 19 40 1 .404 .494 .887
2019vs Right .793 486 60 17 65 1 .272 .344 .449
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+53%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .897 586 84 28 86 1 .292 .357 .541
Since 2019Away .865 588 83 28 88 2 .283 .366 .499
2021Home .967 153 26 6 27 0 .353 .399 .568
2021Away .864 133 22 8 17 0 .258 .331 .533
2020Home .807 118 13 4 16 1 .262 .331 .477
2020Away .527 114 8 2 9 0 .162 .254 .273
2019Home .898 315 45 18 43 0 .274 .346 .552
2019Away .978 341 53 18 62 2 .333 .416 .561
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Stat Review
How does J.D. Martinez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.38
 
BB Rate
8.4%
 
K Rate
22.4%
 
BABIP
.361
 
ISO
.243
 
AVG
.309
 
OBP
.367
 
SLG
.552
 
OPS
.919
 
wOBA
.394
 
Exit Velocity
85.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring J.D. Martinez
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
Yesterday
Chris Morgan is going with a few Boston bats against Mike Minor and the Royals.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
3 days ago
Chris Bennett turns in his Friday FanDuel recommendations, plugging in a Blue Jays stack at Baltimore.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
9 days ago
Chris Bennett expects Ronald Acuna to continue to play well against the Marlins, against whom he’s 9-of-20 and is overdue a home run.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
10 days ago
Mike Barner is targeting Cincinnati's Nick Castellanos against Kyle Freeland, who allowed five runs across five innings in his last start.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets
12 days ago
Kevin Payne breaks down the Wednesday FanDuel MLB slate as Gleyber Torres looks like a good value play.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
For a player with this kind of power -- among the most prolific in the game -- 36 home runs in a record-setting HR season qualify as a slight disappointment. While Martinez didn't finish north of 40 as he did in 2017 and 2018, he did clear the .300 BA threshold. He also cleared triple digits in RBI for the fourth time in five seasons and surpassed 200 runs-plus-RBI for the second consecutive year. The fact is, he's so much more than "Just Dingers." Martinez has chipped away at his K%, lowering it to 21%, and he walks more than 10% of the time. While certainly not a good defender, Martinez still qualifies as an OF-eligible player, one who has the luxury of playing most of his games at DH. If a 21st ranked finish among hitters is what we can expect in a "down" year from Martinez, then consider us very much in at a second-round cost. He's still going to be only 32 years old for most of the 2020 season.
Martinez was unsigned deep into last winter, but the wait was worth it after he found the perfect landing spot in Boston. While mainly serving as the club's DH, Martinez avoided the health issues that plagued him as an everyday outfielder the prior two seasons, playing in 150 games and setting career highs in AVG (.330), OBP (.402), RBI (130), runs (111) and extra-base hits (82). As has held true since his 2014 breakout, Martinez remains a Statcast darling, with his elite hard-hit and barrel rates yielding elevated BABIPs for a player with limited speed. The stellar batted-ball metrics bolster Martinez's odds of finishing near the top of the home-run and average leaderboards again in 2019, while his spot in a lineup that includes a bevy of young stars sets him up for ample run-producing and run-scoring chances. Martinez retains outfield eligibility after logging 57 starts in 2018, mitigating any concern about his worthiness of a first-round selection.
Despite missing six weeks at the start of the season due to a foot injury, Martinez finished third in the majors with 45 home runs. He produced at an otherworldly rate after being traded from Detroit to Arizona, hitting 29 homers and driving in 65 runs in just 62 games with the Diamondbacks. He was great against both handedness of pitcher, but Martinez absolutely destroyed lefties to the tune of a .376/.464/.892 batting line. Overall, Martinez's barrel rate of 12.3 Brls/PA trailed only Aaron Judge's mark, according to Statcast. He's now hit over .300 in three of the last four seasons, and Martinez is still just 30, so it should be a while before any significant age-related skills regression sets in. He landed with the Red Sox in free agency, giving him added appeal as a late-first/early-second rounder with a combination of elite power and batting average.
It would be wrong to say Martinez struggled through the first two months of 2016, but his .820 OPS was a level below the upper-.800 range he had shown over the previous the two seasons. When he hit at a 1.076 OPS clip for the first two weeks in June, it looked like everything was back on track until he ran into a wall in foul territory during a game in Kansas City and fractured his left elbow, forcing him to miss nearly two months. There were some concerns about his power upon return, but a dramatic eighth-inning home run against Chris Sale in his first at-bat back stomped that fear down. He got hits in each of his first five games back and 19 of 20 afterward. The bottom line was another 517 plate appearances that further solidify him as one of the game's premier power bats. He flirted with 40 homers back in 2015 before the power surge swept the league, and he remains a candidate to eclipse that mark in a full season.
Martinez proved his breakout of 2014 was real with elite production in 2015. He delivered 38 home runs and 102 RBI, with an .879 OPS; all three of those stats were top-10 in the American League. His OBP (.344) was still solid despite whiffing 178 times. The Tigers and his fantasy owners can live with those strikeouts if Martinez can continue to deliver as one of MLB's best power hitters. Draft him as a top-10 outfielder, but watch for a drop-off in performance after the All-Star break. Martinez has been a better first-half performer the last two seasons and seems to tire a bit in the second half.
Martinez was easily one of the biggest fantasy surprises of 2014. After being released by the Astros during spring training, Martinez was quickly signed to a minor league contract by the Tigers, who assigned him to Triple-A Toledo to begin the season. He was able to force the Tigers’ hand after just 17 games with the Mud Hens and his success carried over to the majors, as Martinez quickly took over as Detroit’s everyday left fielder. While it’s hard to argue with the strong numbers he posted, Martinez’s production was buoyed by an unsustainable .397 BABIP. He also struggled with his plate discipline, posting a 71 percent contact rate and 0.24 BB/K ratio. The odds are stacked against Martinez repeating his magical 2014 campaign, but he is a former top prospect with solid power, and it certainly won’t hurt his cause hitting behind superstars Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez. Owners will want to make sure they don’t pay for his 2014 production, but there’s still plenty of value to be had here if the price tag is right.
Martinez began the season hitting third for the Astros, but imploded the second time through the division, earning himself a demotion in early August. Still, we can not call 2012 a total failure. Martinez proved that he can hit well in the clutch (as evidenced in part by his team-leading RBI total), though few would argue that he has below-average speed and is stiff on the basepaths. The Astros' move to the American League will afford Martinez some added opportunities in the DH spot, but that role may be shared with Brett Wallace thanks to the addition of Carlos Pena at first base.
The Hunter Pence trade coupled with a hot start at the plate allowed Martinez to parlay a late July callup into an opportunity to remain a regular in the Astros lineup for most of the remainder of the season. He can hit for a decent average and has developing power, though the questions persist about his ultimate upside. The Astros have a lot of outfield options, so there's a chance Martinez could be moved to right from left. He figures to get regular at-bats, wherever he winds up playing.
More Fantasy News
Blasts 13th homer
DHBoston Red Sox
June 10, 2021
Martinez went 1-for-4 with a home run, two RBI and two runs scored in Thursday's 12-8 win over Houston.
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Singles in return
DHBoston Red Sox
June 9, 2021
Martinez (wrist) went 1-for-4 with a single in Tuesday's 7-1 loss to the Astros.
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Back in starting nine
DHBoston Red Sox
June 8, 2021
Martinez (wrist) will bat cleanup and serve as the designated hitter Tuesday against the Astros, Christopher Smith of The Springfield Republican reports.
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Remains sidelined
DHBoston Red Sox
Wrist
June 7, 2021
Martinez (wrist) will sit for the third straight game Monday against the Marlins, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
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IL stint unlikely
DHBoston Red Sox
Wrist
June 6, 2021
Manager Alex Cora said Sunday that he doesn't anticipate Martinez (wrist) requiring a stint on the 10-day injured list, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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