Andrew Chafin
Andrew Chafin
28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Chafin was among the unheralded bullpen options who stepped up to provide the D-backs with quality innings in 2017. He was used in a variety of roles, logging 51.1 innings in 71 appearances, a workload considerably heavier than that of a LOOGY. Chafin missed bats at a good clip (27.6 percent) and managed to trim his walk rate from 11.2 to 9.5 percent, churning out an ERA (3.51) that was more in line with his FIP (3.39) than the 6.75 mark he pitched to in 32 appearances in 2016. Holding lefties to a .217/.281/.284 line, Chafin needs to continue improving against righties (.261/.354/.439) in order to take another step forward. Working frequently with a sinker and slider combo, Chafin continues to get a lot of outs on the ground (56.3 percent). If he can do that, more high-leverage opportunities may be on tap, but Chafin is unlikely to close with Brad Boxberger and Archie Bradley ahead of him in the pecking order for saves in the Arizona bullpen. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $1.19 million contract with the Diamondbacks in January of 2018 to avoid arbitration.
Struggling to find strike zone
PArizona Diamondbacks
September 13, 2018
Chafin walked the lone batter he faced on five pitches during Wednesday's 5-4 loss to the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
Chafin has been the Diamondbacks' top choice for lefty-on-lefty matchups for the bulk of the season, but his recent struggles may have resulted in Jake Diekman surpassing him in the bullpen hierarchy. The 28-year-old has walked five of the past seven batters he has faced, eliminating any utility he offers in his situational role. Manager Torey Lovullo may want Chafin to iron out his control problems in lower-leverage spots before turning to him again late in close games.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-36%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .234 246 65 26 50 7 1 1
Since 2016vs Right .247 284 77 31 61 17 1 5
2018vs Left .258 108 27 13 24 3 1 0
2018vs Right .193 103 26 12 17 8 0 0
2017vs Left .222 90 23 6 18 2 0 1
2017vs Right .263 131 38 15 30 6 1 4
2016vs Left .200 48 15 7 8 2 0 0
2016vs Right .311 50 13 4 14 3 0 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-91%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.65 1.23 66.2 1 3 0 9.5 3.6 0.5
Since 2016Away 4.29 1.52 56.2 1 4 0 11.4 4.8 0.3
2018Home 4.56 1.29 25.2 0 3 0 9.1 3.5 0.0
2018Away 1.52 1.39 23.2 1 3 0 10.3 5.7 0.0
2017Home 3.95 1.32 27.1 1 0 0 10.2 3.6 1.3
2017Away 3.00 1.38 24.0 0 0 0 11.3 3.8 0.4
2016Home 1.32 0.95 13.2 0 0 0 8.6 4.0 0.0
2016Away 15.00 2.22 9.0 0 1 0 15.0 5.0 1.0
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Stat Review
How does Andrew Chafin compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.12
 
K/9
9.7
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
93.5 mph
 
ERA
3.10
 
WHIP
1.34
 
BABIP
.323
 
GB/FB
2.32
 
Strand %
74.2%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
After a stellar 2015, Chafin endured a disappointing 2016. The lefty was slowed by shoulder and groin injuries, and he ended up only pitching 22.2 innings at the big league level. A year earlier, Chafin led Arizona relievers by appearing in 66 games and tossing 75 innings. That year, he posted a 2.76 ERA to go along with a 1.15 WHIP. Those numbers ballooned last year. There were some encouraging signs, however. Chafin bumped his K/9 rate to 11.1 -- a significant jump from the 7.0 figure he posted in 2015. And Chafin's 2.89 FIP last season indicates that he was the victim of some bad luck. If he can keep his strikeout rate up, Chafin should post good numbers as one of Arizona's top left-handed relievers. Look for Chafin to gobble up some more holds after he recorded six last season and 16 in 2015.
Chafin was a key contributor to the Arizona bullpen in 2015, leading the unit in games and innings. In his age-25 season the lefty posted a 2.76 ERA across 75 innings, while striking out 58. He was particularly tough on left-handed hitters, holding them to a .182 batting average (righties hit .225 off Chafin). Now entering his second full season with the Diamondbacks, Chafin is poised to once again be a big part of the bullpen. Brad Ziegler figures to return as the closer, meaning Chafin, who had 16 holds a season ago, could be the main setup guy, though his effectiveness against lefties might lead to him pitching earlier in games depending on matchups. Any ineffectiveness on Ziegler’s part could lead to a change at the back end of the Arizona bullpen, although Daniel Hudson is probably a more likely replacement option than Chafin.
Chafin enjoyed a measure of prospect status coming up with the Diamondbacks as a former first-round pick, but his stuff leveled out a bit in the high minors, giving him more of a back-end projection as opposed to someone who could be an impact starter. His command and control faltered at Triple-A, but he still earned three late-season starts that contained limited success. Chafin’s best-case scenario is to become a Patrick Corbin-lite by tightening up his command to curb the free passes and long balls. There is no room at the inn with the Diamondbacks' rotation right now so Chafin will likely have to hone his skills in Triple-A, which can be tricky given the PCL hitting environment. While the best-case scenario involves a rotation spot, the most likely scenario puts Chafin in the bullpen though not necessarily as just a lefty-killer.
The left-handed Chafin had a very good year at High-A and Double-A in 2013, showing improved control after the promotion while seeing his strikeout rate fall. He sports three very effective pitches, mixing a fastball, slider and changeup in his arsenal. Chafin will likely open the season at Triple-A Reno alongside Archie Bradley, and he sits in the same boat as many of the Diamondbacks' young pitching prospects: an injury, trade, or letdown away from a chance at a few starts in Phoenix.
More Fantasy News
Claims 13th hold
PArizona Diamondbacks
August 27, 2018
Chafin was credited with his 13th hold of the season after retiring the lone batter he faced in Sunday's 5-2 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Back from paternity leave
PArizona Diamondbacks
August 3, 2018
Chafin was reinstated from the paternity list Friday.
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Lands on paternity list
PArizona Diamondbacks
Personal
July 31, 2018
Chafin was placed on the paternity list Tuesday.
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Lowers ERA to 1.51
PArizona Diamondbacks
July 22, 2018
Chafin retired two of the three batters he faced in Sunday's 6-1 win over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Notches pair of strikeouts
PArizona Diamondbacks
July 9, 2018
Chafin struck out both of the hitters he faced in Sunday's 4-3 loss to the Padres in 16 innings.
ANALYSIS
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