Andrew Chafin

Andrew Chafin

33-Year-Old PitcherRP
Detroit Tigers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Chafin has pitched for six different teams over the last four seasons, as there's always a market for steady left-handed relievers. After inking a 1-year deal with Arizona last February, the 33-year-old was one of the D'Backs most trusted relievers early on. He even got some run as the team's closer, tallying eight saves over the first two months. Chafin continued to find success with his slider (.111 BA), which had the 6th-highest whiff percentage (55.8%) in the league for that pitch type. Unfortunately, the southpaw couldn't sustain his early-season success and was traded to Milwaukee at the deadline. He closed out 2023 with a 5.82 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 14:10 K:BB over his final 17 innings and had his $7.25 million club option for 2024 declined. Chafin should still find work this season based on his experience and handedness, but he may be entering the downswing of his career. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#600
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the Tigers in December of 2023. Contract includes $6.5 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2025. Contract includes annual incentives of $125,000 for 50 appearances, $250,000 for 55 and 60 appearances, $300,000 for 65 appearances and $325,000 for 70 appearances.
Struggles in first loss
PDetroit Tigers
May 11, 2024
Chafin (2-1) allowed three runs on two hits and a walk without recording an out to take the loss Friday against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
Chafin came on in the eighth inning with Detroit up 2-1 but he couldn't hold Houston in check and got saddled with his first loss of the season. The lefty has now allowed runs in consecutive appearances, which has pushed his ERA from 1.35 to 3.86. That's closer to the 4.73 ERA Chafin posted with Arizona and Milwaukee last year, though he was better in his last stint with the Tigers back in 2022, when he posted a 2.83 ERA.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
14
Last 10 Games
13
Last 5 Games
11
How many pitches does Andrew Chafin generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Andrew Chafin generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-58%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .234 214 58 24 43 11 1 2
Since 2022vs Right .229 325 89 30 67 7 3 11
2024vs Left .136 25 8 3 3 1 0 0
2024vs Right .326 47 9 4 14 0 0 2
2023vs Left .264 84 20 11 19 6 1 0
2023vs Right .211 140 43 17 26 5 2 6
2022vs Left .233 105 30 10 21 4 0 2
2022vs Right .214 138 37 9 27 2 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-79%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.60 1.44 62.2 4 5 5 11.6 3.9 0.6
Since 2022Away 3.03 1.19 62.1 3 3 6 9.5 3.9 1.3
2024Home 8.53 2.21 6.1 1 1 0 14.2 5.7 0.0
2024Away 1.80 1.00 10.0 1 0 0 6.3 2.7 1.8
2023Home 5.86 1.70 27.2 2 4 4 11.4 5.9 1.0
2023Away 3.42 1.10 23.2 1 0 4 10.6 3.8 1.1
2022Home 2.51 1.01 28.2 1 0 1 11.3 1.6 0.3
2022Away 3.14 1.33 28.2 1 3 2 9.7 4.4 1.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Andrew Chafin compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.43
 
K/9
9.4
 
BB/9
3.9
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
91.9 mph
 
ERA
4.41
 
WHIP
1.47
 
BABIP
.340
 
GB/FB
0.79
 
Left On Base
70.8%
 
Exit Velocity
81.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.3%
 
Spin Rate
2299 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
17.9%
 
Swinging Strike
14.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trade incoming?
PArizona Diamondbacks
August 1, 2023
According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, the Diamondbacks could trade Chafin on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
The Brewers, Cubs and Twins were listed as possible fits for Chafin, who is making $5.5 million this season and has a $7.25 million club option with a $750,000 buyout for 2024. The left-hander was part of Arizona's closer committee at times this year with eight saves and 12 holds, but his 4.19 ERA and 1.43 WHIP are likely better suited for a setup role or middle relief.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Chafin only threw 9.2 innings in 2020, so last season was his first pitching with the three-batter minimum rule. In 2019, Chafin faced lefthanders 60 percent of the time, but last year the southpaw faced lefties in just 39 percent of plate appearances. The shift didn't affect Chafin as his OPS against righthanders was a stingy .551 and an even more frugal .473 with the platoon edge. Normally, Chafin's groundball tilt limits homers, but renders a high BABIP. Lasts season, he yielded a customarily low four homers in 68.2 innings, while enjoying a fortunate .232 BABIP. Facing more righthanders did lower Chafin's strikeout rate, so he needed all the luck he could muster. Chafin's 1.83 ERA and .93 WHIP from last season may look enticing, but they are both due a steep correction. There are safer options in leagues where middle relievers are useful.
Chafin bears a resemblance to former closer Todd Jones. He pitches like him with the two-pitch mixture, but he has 317 fewer career saves than the former Tigers stopper. Chafin is a slider-first pitcher, as he throws the pitch 40% of the time with good reason. It is an excellent pitch which has generated a mid-20s whiff percentage the past few years. His fastball is decent enough, but the slider is the money maker for Chafin. That's the pitch that has helped him strike out at least 25% of the hitters he has faced in each of the past four seasons. The lefty does a decent enough job against righties so he can shed a LOOGY label, but he will pitch around righties to get to lefties which impacts his WHIP in a negative way. In NL-leagues, he's a quality source of reliever strikeouts but offers little value otherwise.
Chafin made 77 appearances and recorded a 3.10 ERA, overcoming a poor 11.9% walk rate with above-average strikeout (25.1%) and groundball (50.4%) rates. His role began to approach true-LOOGY territory, however, limiting his total innings to just 49.1 and putting a cap on his fantasy value. His average appearance was a career-low 0.64 innings, while a career-high 51% of the batters he faced were lefties. He actually fared better against righties, holding them to a .257 wOBA compared to .302 for lefties, though that's likely a one-season, BABIP-driven blip, as he's historically had fairly typical splits. The 28-year-old will likely remain a competent bullpen piece for the Diamondbacks this season, but he's unlikely to be considered in the closer conversation, and he doesn't have the high workload or dominant strikeout rate required to be a valuable fantasy asset without saves.
Chafin was among the unheralded bullpen options who stepped up to provide the D-backs with quality innings in 2017. He was used in a variety of roles, logging 51.1 innings in 71 appearances, a workload considerably heavier than that of a LOOGY. Chafin missed bats at a good clip (27.6 percent) and managed to trim his walk rate from 11.2 to 9.5 percent, churning out an ERA (3.51) that was more in line with his FIP (3.39) than the 6.75 mark he pitched to in 32 appearances in 2016. Holding lefties to a .217/.281/.284 line, Chafin needs to continue improving against righties (.261/.354/.439) in order to take another step forward. Working frequently with a sinker and slider combo, Chafin continues to get a lot of outs on the ground (56.3 percent). If he can do that, more high-leverage opportunities may be on tap, but Chafin is unlikely to close with Brad Boxberger and Archie Bradley ahead of him in the pecking order for saves in the Arizona bullpen.
After a stellar 2015, Chafin endured a disappointing 2016. The lefty was slowed by shoulder and groin injuries, and he ended up only pitching 22.2 innings at the big league level. A year earlier, Chafin led Arizona relievers by appearing in 66 games and tossing 75 innings. That year, he posted a 2.76 ERA to go along with a 1.15 WHIP. Those numbers ballooned last year. There were some encouraging signs, however. Chafin bumped his K/9 rate to 11.1 -- a significant jump from the 7.0 figure he posted in 2015. And Chafin's 2.89 FIP last season indicates that he was the victim of some bad luck. If he can keep his strikeout rate up, Chafin should post good numbers as one of Arizona's top left-handed relievers. Look for Chafin to gobble up some more holds after he recorded six last season and 16 in 2015.
Chafin was a key contributor to the Arizona bullpen in 2015, leading the unit in games and innings. In his age-25 season the lefty posted a 2.76 ERA across 75 innings, while striking out 58. He was particularly tough on left-handed hitters, holding them to a .182 batting average (righties hit .225 off Chafin). Now entering his second full season with the Diamondbacks, Chafin is poised to once again be a big part of the bullpen. Brad Ziegler figures to return as the closer, meaning Chafin, who had 16 holds a season ago, could be the main setup guy, though his effectiveness against lefties might lead to him pitching earlier in games depending on matchups. Any ineffectiveness on Ziegler’s part could lead to a change at the back end of the Arizona bullpen, although Daniel Hudson is probably a more likely replacement option than Chafin.
Chafin enjoyed a measure of prospect status coming up with the Diamondbacks as a former first-round pick, but his stuff leveled out a bit in the high minors, giving him more of a back-end projection as opposed to someone who could be an impact starter. His command and control faltered at Triple-A, but he still earned three late-season starts that contained limited success. Chafin’s best-case scenario is to become a Patrick Corbin-lite by tightening up his command to curb the free passes and long balls. There is no room at the inn with the Diamondbacks' rotation right now so Chafin will likely have to hone his skills in Triple-A, which can be tricky given the PCL hitting environment. While the best-case scenario involves a rotation spot, the most likely scenario puts Chafin in the bullpen though not necessarily as just a lefty-killer.
The left-handed Chafin had a very good year at High-A and Double-A in 2013, showing improved control after the promotion while seeing his strikeout rate fall. He sports three very effective pitches, mixing a fastball, slider and changeup in his arsenal. Chafin will likely open the season at Triple-A Reno alongside Archie Bradley, and he sits in the same boat as many of the Diamondbacks' young pitching prospects: an injury, trade, or letdown away from a chance at a few starts in Phoenix.
More Fantasy News
Records win Friday
PDetroit Tigers
April 20, 2024
Chafin (2-0) tossed 1.1 scoreless innings of relief to earn the win Friday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win of season
PDetroit Tigers
April 16, 2024
Chafin (1-0) tossed 1.1 scoreless innings of relief with three strikeouts to earn the win in Tuesday's 4-2 victory over the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Can't complete save
PDetroit Tigers
April 6, 2024
Chafin recorded two outs in the ninth inning of Friday's 5-4 win over the A's, but he also walked two batters and was pulled for Alex Lange, who recorded the save.
ANALYSIS
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Wraps up quiet spring
PDetroit Tigers
March 26, 2024
Chafin recorded a 5.06 ERA across 5.1 innings this spring and is set for an Opening Day bullpen role in Detroit.
ANALYSIS
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Back with Detroit
PDetroit Tigers
December 10, 2023
Chafin agreed to a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the Tigers on Sunday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Pressreports.
ANALYSIS
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