15-Day IL
Injury Lat
Est. Return 2/1/2024
2023 Stats
W-L
4-7
ERA
3.86
WHIP
1.33
K
98
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Fantasy managers hoped that Matz's signing with St. Louis would be a great match for his pitching style and the defensive prowess of the Cardinals. That never materialized because knee and shoulder injuries limited Matz to 48 innings of work and his gopheritis returned after a one year hiatus in the AL East of all places. Matz's 21% K-BB% is the only positive sign of the outcomes of his 2022 effort and a significant gap between his actual and expected ERA point to the potential for him to have a rebound in 2023 if he can get more grounders. He still retains three pitches with whiff rates above 25%, so if you squint at the numbers, there is an Andrew Heaney-like path toward that rebound season. You cannot be faulted for giving this enigmatic lefty one more chance on your fantasy roster, especially with his market value much lower than it was at this point last season. Read Past Outlooks

Likely done for 2024
Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Sunday that Matz (lat) remains week-to-week and "probably" won't pitch again this season, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
ANALYSIS
Matz landed on the 15-day injured list Aug. 14 with a left lat strain and has yet to resume throwing. While the Cardinals haven't indicated that his lat strain is serious enough to require surgery, the team won't look to rush back a historically injury-prone pitcher in the midst of a non-contending season. Assuming Matz remains shut down, he'll finish his second season in St. Louis with a 4-7 record, 3.86 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 98:32 K:BB over 105 innings. He'll head into the 2024 campaign with two seasons remaining on the four-year, $44 million deal he signed in November 2021.
Matz landed on the 15-day injured list Aug. 14 with a left lat strain and has yet to resume throwing. While the Cardinals haven't indicated that his lat strain is serious enough to require surgery, the team won't look to rush back a historically injury-prone pitcher in the midst of a non-contending season. Assuming Matz remains shut down, he'll finish his second season in St. Louis with a 4-7 record, 3.86 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 98:32 K:BB over 105 innings. He'll head into the 2024 campaign with two seasons remaining on the four-year, $44 million deal he signed in November 2021.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Steven Matz generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Steven Matz generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-22%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .258 | 76 | 19 | 66 | 6 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .264 | 220 | 66 | 250 | 31 | |||
2023vs Left | .215 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 2 | |||
2023vs Right | .275 | 79 | 25 | 91 | 9 | |||
2022vs Left | .279 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .250 | 40 | 7 | 38 | 7 | |||
2021vs Left | .276 | 43 | 9 | 37 | 3 | |||
2021vs Right | .261 | 101 | 34 | 121 | 15 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-4%
ERA at Home
2023
-30%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 3.98 | 1.37 | 138.0 | 8.1 | 2.8 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 4.13 | 1.28 | 165.2 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Home | 3.19 | 1.30 | 53.2 | 8.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2023Away | 4.56 | 1.36 | 51.1 | 8.6 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Home | 6.14 | 1.36 | 22.0 | 9.8 | 1.2 | ||||
2022Away | 4.50 | 1.15 | 26.0 | 10.4 | 2.4 | ||||
2021Home | 3.90 | 1.43 | 62.1 | 7.4 | 3.0 | ||||
2021Away | 3.77 | 1.27 | 88.1 | 9.5 | 2.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Steven Matz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.06K/9
8.4BB/9
2.7HR/9
0.9Fastball
94.2 mphERA
3.86WHIP
1.33BABIP
.329GB/FB
1.48Left On Base
73.8%Exit Velocity
81.8 mphBarrels/BBE
2.7%Spin Rate
2251 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.5%Swinging Strike
11.0%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Matz got lit up during the short 2020 season to the tune of 4.1 HR/9, leading to a 9.68 ERA. He regressed back to his previous results with an ERA near 4.00 last season while striking almost a batter per inning. It was almost a mirror image of his 2018 and 2019 campaigns. Most of Matz's struggles took place in his early-season "home" starts in Dunedin (5.23 ERA) and Buffalo (6.00). He went on to post a 2.12 ERA in Toronto. Now, he moves to an even bigger home park in St. Louis with one of the league's best defenses behind him. One item to keep an eye on is his fastball velocity. Before going on the COVID-IL in mid-June, he had a 9.4 K/9 with his fastball averaging 94.8 mph. After he returned from the injury (around the same time the foreign substance ban got enforced), those dropped to 7.7 K/9 and 94.1 mph. Matz has never been a consistent pitcher and it'll be interesting to see which version shows up in 2022.
More Fantasy News

Undergoes MRI
Matz (lat) underwent an MRI on Monday, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shut down two weeks
Matz (lat) said Thursday he will be shut down from throwing for at least the next two weeks, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes on IL with lat strain
St. Louis placed Matz on the 15-day injured list Monday with a left lat strain.
ANALYSIS
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Posts quality start, picks up win
Matz (4-7) earned the win Saturday, allowing two runs on four hits over six innings in a 5-4 victory over Kansas City. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well again
Matz (3-7) allowed a run on five hits and two walks while striking out six over six innings to earn the win Saturday over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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