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FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Value Plays

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.


Gio Gonzalez, WAS vs. ATL ($9,300): Gonzalez finally makes his 2016 debut after not having been needed as a starter in the opening week of the season. He enjoyed success against Atlanta last season, posting a 2-0 record with a sterling 1.38 ERA against them, and holding their lineup to a .159 average over that span. This year’s edition of the Braves isn’t faring much better as a whole overall, hitting .206 this season as a team, and only tallying three homers so far. Gonzalez is stingy with the long ball as well, and with the Braves’ best hitter (Freddie Freeman) hitting from the left side of the plate, the stage is set for Gonzalez to provide a solid return as a nice pivot from the trio of $10k-plus arms at the top of the pitcher pool.


Josh Phegley, OAK vs. LAA ($2,200): Assuming Phegley gets the call against southpaw Hector Santiago, he presents as an excellent minimum-priced value play. He sported a .341 wOBA against lefties last season, and a .338 wOBA against them at home. Meanwhile, Santiago gave up a whopping 26 homers and .323 wOBA last season to right-handed hitters in 2015, and that number ballooned to a .361 wOBA when facing them on the road. He also had his share of troubles against Oakland last season, surrendering four homers overall to them and posting a 16.88 ERA in 2.2 innings of work in Coliseum.

First Base

Lucas Duda, NYM vs. MIA ($2,600): It’s been said that to succeed big in GPPs, you often have to “zig” when others “zag”, meaning you have to make some difficult choices at times that appear counter-intuitive. We’ve got two of those in this space Tuesday, with Duda and his matchup against Marlins ace Jose Fernandez kicking things off. Fernandez surprisingly surrendered a .373 wOBA to left-handed hitters in his abbreviated 2015 season over a 122-batter sample size, and a .352 wOBA to lefties away from Marlins Park over 14.2 innings. Left-handed hitters also made hard contact on his pitches an appreciably higher amount than righties (36.9 percent as compared to 22.1 percent). Meanwhile, Duda managed a .352 wOBA, .236 ISO and 20 homers against right-handed pitching last season, with 16 of those gopher balls coming at home. While it could certainly be an all-or-nothing day, particularly against Fernandez, Duda’s upside and likely low ownership make him an intriguing tournament option.

Second Base

Brock Holt, BOS vs. BAL ($2,900): Holt seems to be healthy enough to play through a nagging foot ailment right now and he shook off the injury in his return to the lineup on Monday, extending his season-opening streak of reaching base safely to five games by drawing a pair of free passes. He draws an appealing matchup Tuesday versus Mike Wright, who surrendered a .392 wOBA to left-handed hitters over 21 innings in 2015. Meanwhile, albeit in a small sample size, Holt has posted a jaw-dropping .552 wOBA versus righties so far this season, along with a .412 average and two homers. He’s flashed his considerable ceiling with two games over 30 fantasy points already within his first five, and could be in line for another productive day consider the matchup.

Third Base

Luis Valbuena, HOU vs. KAN ($2,300): The veteran slugger is always in play at his current price point, particularly when facing off against right-handed pitching. He amassed a .348 wOBA, .234 ISO and 20 homers versus righties last season, and has already tallied a .322 wOBA against that handedness this season over 20 at-bats. The power numbers were even better at home, where Valbuena compiled a .243 ISO and 15 of his gopher balls in 2015. Meanwhile, Kris Medlen gave up a .323 wOBA last season to lefties over a sample size of 131 batters, and saw an appreciable drop in K/9 rate and notable increase in BB/9 rate on the road as compared to his numbers at Kauffmann Stadium.


Didi Gregorius, NYY at TOR ($2,700): Gregorius draws a matchup against the exploitable Aaron Sanchez on Tuesday, who allowed a .380 wOBA and nine homers to left-handed hitters last season over a 202-batter sample size. Sanchez’s K/9 and BB/9 metrics were considerably worse against that handedness of hitter as well, while his 1.80 HR/9 and 1.71 WHIP figures against them further illustrate the extent of his struggles. Gregorius has a .372 wOBA so far against righties this season, and generated a .331 wOBA away from Yankee Stadium in 2015.


Preston Tucker, HOU vs. KAN ($2,600): The slugging sophomore amassed a .347 wOBA, .238 ISO and collected all 13 of his homers in 2015 against right-handed pitching, while the aforementioned Kris Medlen gave up a .323 wOBA last season to left-handed hitters. Additionally, Tucker particularly tormented righties at home in his rookie campaign, tallying a .355 wOBA and .241 ISO against them in the hitter-friendly confines of Minute Maid Park.

Delino DeShields, TEX at SEA ($3,000):The speedy lead-off hitter has had his share of struggles at the plate so far in 2016, although he does have a 27-fantasy point game versus the Angels to his credit already. DeShields managed a .334 wOBA against lefties in 2015, while Wade Miley surrendered a .331 wOBA to right-handed hitters over that span. His BB/9 rate also ballooned to 3.28 against righties (compared to a much tidier 1.99 versus lefties), which could spell extra fantasy production for DeShields in the form of free passes and subsequent stolen base opportunities.

Kevin Kiermaier, TAM vs. CLE ($2,500): After a 3-for-3 day against the Blue Jays on Apr. 4, Kiermaier has gone 0-for-11, more than enough to make him an increasingly forgotten figure in the DFS world at the moment. At his price, and with what looks like a tough matchup on the surface, he makes for a low-risk, off-the-board GPP pivot Tuesday. Kiermaier managed a .324 wOBA against righties last season, while Corey Kluber almost mirrored that figure with a .322 wOBA surrendered to lefties. More jarring is the 22 homers he gave up last season, 11 of which were hit by left-handed hitters, and 13 of which came in road starts. While we won’t make a habit of targeting Kluber too often, Kiermaier could represent some highly under-owned value Tuesday.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.