This article is part of our DFS College Basketball series.
Eight games are shared by the two major DFS sites Saturday. We'll focus on those and the site-specific games as well.
SLATE OVERVIEW
Ohio State (-5.5) vs. Purdue O/U: 127.5
Florida State (-9.5) vs. Syracuse O/U: 147
Kansas (-11.5) vs. Oklahoma O/U: 136.5
Arkansas (-2.5) vs. Mississippi State O/U: 141
Texas Tech (-4) at Oklahoma State O/U: 133.5
Kentucky (-9.5) vs. Mississippi O/U: 136.5
Iowa State (-1) vs. Texas O/U: 137
Wisconsin (-6.5) at Nebraska O/U: 134.5
Butler (-9) vs. Georgetown O/U: 137
Miami (FL) (-4) vs. Wake Forest O/U: 147 (DraftKings only)
Dayton (-14.5) at UMass O/U: 147 (DraftKings only)
Penn State (-13) vs. Northwestern O/U: 141 (FanDuel only)
Top Plays
Reggie Perry, Mississippi State (DK $8,600, FD $8,400) at Arkansas
Perry is the unquestioned leader of the Bulldogs, and the 6-foot-10 sophomore had a career game in his last outing against the Razorbacks, totaling 26 points and 13 rebounds in a 77-70 win. He's one of the reasons the Bulldogs rank second in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage.
Kristian Doolittle, Oklahoma (DK $8,000, FD $7,300) at Kansas
Doolittle and teammate Brady Manek (DK $7,800, FD $6,500) can be a source of DFS frustration as the duo can siphon output from each other. The see-saw stat lines between the two forwards make them a risky proposition, but the Sooners will need big games from both players to get past the Jayhawks. In their l4-point loss to the Jayhawks in January, Doolittle scored 11 more fantasy points than Manek.
Devin Vassell/Trent Forrest, Florida State (DK $7,900/$7,600, FD $6,800/$6,800) at Syracuse
Vassell's suffered through a mediocre three-game stretch but expect him to bounce back against Syracuse, who has lost three of its last four games. The 6-7 sophomore is chock-full of potential, and has pushed his way through the Seminoles' deep rotation to become the team's best performer in recent weeks. It only made sense to bunch Forrest in this recommendation as well, considering he leads the team with a minute usage of 78.3 percent and is primed for a good game against the Orange.
Also consider: Udoka Azubuike, Kansas (DK $8,300, FD $7,900) vs. Oklahoma
Value Plays
Jahvon Blair, Georgetown (DK $6,000, FD $4,100) at Butler
With Omer Yurtseven and Mac McClung still struggling with foot injuries, Blair has really stepped it up. He was already posting great numbers in place of McClung, but Yurtseven's recent injury only enhances his load. Since inheriting the starting role, Blair has averaged 23.7 points and 3.7 rebounds over a three-game span.
Quincy Guerrier, Syracuse (DK $5,800, FD $4,700) at Florida State
With Elijah Hughes (lower body) questionable Saturday, Guerrier could be in line for another boost in production if the injury persists. He posted 16 points and 10 rebounds during Hughes' missed game. Obviously you should discount this endorsement if Hughes starts, but otherwise, he presents a great value opportunity.
Thorir Thorbjarnarson, Nebraska (DK $5,800, FD $4,500) vs. Wisconsin
The 6-6 sophomore averaged five 3-point attempts in his last five games, converting 44 percent. He's also posted 20-plus fantasy points in eight of the last 10 games and exceeded 30 FP in three of those games. Thorbjarnarson comes in at a great price, especially on FanDuel.
Reggie Chaney, Arkansas (DK $4,800, FD $4,200) vs. Mississippi State
Chaney had a career performance against Missouri two games ago, and although his numbers have fluctuated a bit since inheriting the starting role, he's averaging almost 24 minutes per game and has the potential for a double-double in the right game scenario.
Kamaka Hepa, Texas (DK $4,300, FD $3,900) at Iowa State
Although Hepa has struggled a bit since returning from an ankle injury, he's had four more days of rest to continue recovery. The injury was the primary reason for the price drop, and he should beat 5x value if he comes anywhere near his usual production.
DraftKings Only
Miami (FL) (-4) vs. Wake Forest O/U: 147
My top two selections for this matchup are Wake's Olivier Sarr ($7,400) and Miami's Kameron McGusty ($5,900), who is slowly getting back to his usual form after returning from injury. The high O/U line and reasonably narrow spread make a lot of players viable in this game.
Dayton (-14.5) at UMass O/U: 147
The oddsmakers view this as a blowout for Dayton, so we'll want to focus on great first-half showings from Obi Toppin ($8,500) and Jalen Crutcher ($7,100), with Rodney Chatman ($4,600) performing cleanup work.
FanDuel Only
Penn State (-13) vs. Northwestern O/U: 141
This game has blowout potential, which should negate most Northwestern targets, but Penn State's Lamar Stevens ($7,200) has to be considered whenever Penn State is on the slate. Myreon Jones (illness) is questionable, so expect a greater load for Pat Spencer ($5,500) if he doesn't go.
Game to Targe
Arkansas (-2.5) vs. Mississippi State O/U: 141
I selected this game because we have other selections worth mentioning beyond Perry and Chaney. Arkansas' Mason Jones (DK $8,100, FD $7,700) is an excellent play, and the Bulldogs' Robert Woodard (DK $6,700, FD $5,800) is enjoying a recent surge of production and is a great mid-level fit. The total in their last game was 147, which is a full six points more than the predicted over/under Saturday. It's an added bonus in what should be a hotly contested matchup.
Game to FAde
Ohio State (-5.5) vs. Purdue O/U: 127.5
The syrupy-slow pace of the Buckeyes (235th with 66,8 points per game) matched with Purdue's even slower tempo (339th with 65.9 points per game) means we should fade usual suspects Kaleb Wesson and Matt Haarms and instead look to other contests for production. Purdue is in an especially risky scenario, as it's keen to tinker with its starting five frequently. Both Nojel Eastern and Sasha Stefanovic have pushed their way into the starting lineup on occasion, affecting the outputs of Jahaad Proctor and Isaiah Thompson.
