DraftKings College Football: Week 11 Main Slate Picks

DraftKings College Football: Week 11 Main Slate Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings College Football series.

Welcome back for a look at our Week 11 Main Slate breakdown. We have an 11-game slate loaded with fun and high-profile matchups. Listed below are our DFS Tools along with a weekly cheat sheet and my position-by-position breakdown.

Lineup optimizer
Weekly rankings by position
Target share
Team trends
Odds
Defense vs. Position

Quarterback

Kellen Mond, Texas A&M ($7,400) vs. Mississippi

Mond was dreadful on the road against Auburn a week ago. We can benefit from that this time around, however. $7,400 is a great price for a player of Mond's skill, and one you can use at either quarterback or superflex depending on who you're pairing him with. He's going against an Ole Miss defense that, in a word, stinks. The Rebs allow 27.8 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. That's the same as Louisville andIllinois! Mond has the added benefit of playing at home, where he's markedly better. His YPA at home is 8.9 (6.9 on the road), his TD:INT is 8:1 (4:6 on the road), and his completion percentage is 62.7. Three of his four rushing scores have come at home as well. Let Mond's duds against Mississippi State and Auburn on the road work in your favor as he projects as one of the highest value quarterbacks of the weekend.

Brock Purdy, Iowa State, ($8,200) vs. Baylor

There are a couple recurring themes in my Friday articles. One of them being Purdy, who has at least 25 DraftKings points in three of his

Welcome back for a look at our Week 11 Main Slate breakdown. We have an 11-game slate loaded with fun and high-profile matchups. Listed below are our DFS Tools along with a weekly cheat sheet and my position-by-position breakdown.

Lineup optimizer
Weekly rankings by position
Target share
Team trends
Odds
Defense vs. Position

Quarterback

Kellen Mond, Texas A&M ($7,400) vs. Mississippi

Mond was dreadful on the road against Auburn a week ago. We can benefit from that this time around, however. $7,400 is a great price for a player of Mond's skill, and one you can use at either quarterback or superflex depending on who you're pairing him with. He's going against an Ole Miss defense that, in a word, stinks. The Rebs allow 27.8 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. That's the same as Louisville andIllinois! Mond has the added benefit of playing at home, where he's markedly better. His YPA at home is 8.9 (6.9 on the road), his TD:INT is 8:1 (4:6 on the road), and his completion percentage is 62.7. Three of his four rushing scores have come at home as well. Let Mond's duds against Mississippi State and Auburn on the road work in your favor as he projects as one of the highest value quarterbacks of the weekend.

Brock Purdy, Iowa State, ($8,200) vs. Baylor

There are a couple recurring themes in my Friday articles. One of them being Purdy, who has at least 25 DraftKings points in three of his last four games. Another is picking on Baylor's defense. Now, back to Purdy. He has one of college football's most dangerous weapons in Hakeem Butler at his disposal, and there's no one in that Baylor secondary who can check him. Baylor, by the way, is right there with Mississippi in terms of defensive ineptitude. The Bears give up 27.0 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, which puts them on level footing with Kansas. Purdy is also playing at home this week. $8,200 isn't cheap, but it's still a number where Purdy can return strong value.

SuperFlex Du Jour

Nick Fitzgerald, Mississippi State ($5,700) at Alabama

This isn't for the faint of heart and likely only a move I'm going to pull in cheap, large-field GPP's, but dangit I'm gonna at least see what could go right. Fitzgerald is obviously in for his lowest output of the season against Alabama on the road, but $5,700 is chump change for a player of his upside. He's as dangerous of a power running quarterback as there is in college football, and one missed tackle on Alabama's side could lead to Fitzgerald ripping off a huge, day-changing run. If Mississippi State can keep this close in the early goings and not let Alabama build a huge lead that causes the Bulldogs to abandon the run (a big ask, I know), Fitzgerald should be able to hit value and allow you to have top shelf options elsewhere in your lineup.

Zach Abey, Navy ($4,900) at Central Florida

This might be an even more reckless play that Fitzgerald, so again remember that this isn't a maneuver for cash games. Still, getting the catalyst for a triple option attack against Central Florida's leaky run defense that coughs up 188 yards per game on the ground. He got his first start at quarterback of the season last week and though the results weren't there, the volume was. If Abey gets 28 carries against Central Florida like he did against Cincinnati, he'll blow the $4,900 price tag out of the water.

Running back

Trayveon Williams, Texas A&M ($7,500) vs. Mississippi

Williams has Rotowire's ninth-highest projection for any running back this week across the full 130-team landscape. His volume is strong, averaging 18.4 carries per game and he draws a matchup against the worst run defense of any team on this slate (210 RuYD/G). You don't need to overthink this one, Williams is going to get his on Saturday. The only question is whether to use him or Mond in a given lineup.

James Williams, Washington State ($6,900) at Colorado

You're essentially getting a receiver when you roster any running back from Washington State, but in a PPR format, we'll take that. Williams is averaging 8.6 catches on 9.6 targets over his last three games and he's added 22 carries for 117 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. The catch total is a veritable lock for Williams, and while the upside may be limited to an extent, he won't burn you given his role in Washington State's offense that uses the screen game as an extension of the run game.

Greg McCrae, Central Florida ($5,000) vs. Navy

The Central Florida run game is a bit of a crapshoot on a week-to-week basis, so that makes McCrae or any other Knight runner a tournament only consideration. However, McCrae should garner a bigger workload than what he saw earlier in the season this week after gashing Temple for 188 yards on 16 carries in Week 10. McCrae averages a preposterous 9.7 yards per carry and is facing a Navy defense that is among the worst at stopping the run on this slate. 16 carries might be asking a lot, but double-digit carries for a back this explosive is in the realm of possibility, and that makes McCrae an interesting play this week.

Others to consider: David Montgomery ($7,600) vs. Baylor

Wide Receiver

Hakeem Butler, Iowa State ($7,700) vs. Baylor

Pairing Butler with Purdy against Baylor is like pairing the perfect, full-bodied red to go with your filet mignon. Butler owns a 30 percent target share to go with a sparkling 12.0 YPT mark. His last three weeks (15 catches, 419 yards, four touchdowns) show the kind of ceiling he has, and those have come against tougher defenses than Baylor's. Getting Butler for under $8,000 is an absolute steal this week. Deshaunte Jones has an 18 percent target share and is a reasonable low-priced pivot ($4,500) that still allows you to get exposure to the Cyclone passing attack.

Jace Sternberger, Texas A&M ($5,900) vs. Mississippi

It's not often that we see a tight end tied for the team lead in target share (18 percent), but through Jimbo all things are possible. Sternberger averages over 6.0 targets per game and racks up a strong 10.3 YPT with those looks. Playing at home where Kellen Mond is more comfortable adds to Sternberger's already strong projection against Mississippi's defense.

CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma ($7,200) vs. Oklahoma State

Marquise Brown should be full-go Saturday, but Oklahoma's top ranked offense in terms of S&P+ leaves plenty of room for more than one guy to go off. Lamb, who owns a 22 percent target share, ranks second in the nation in YPT among receivers with at least 40 targets at 14.22. It's important to get at least some exposure to Bedlam on Saturday, and getting a home run threat like Lamb for just $7,200 is a good way of going about it.

Others to consider: Parris Campbell ($6,400) at Michigan State; Easop Winston Jr. ($5,900) at Colorado; K.J. Hill ($5,800) at Michigan State

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
John McKechnie
John is the 2016 and 2021 FSWA College Writer of the Year winner. He is a Maryland native and graduate of the University of Georgia. He's been writing for RotoWire since 2014.
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