College Football Picks: CFB Week 8 Odds, Picks, Predictions and Best Bets

Get the best free college football picks this week, featuring expert analysis on games like Ohio State vs. Wisconsin as Julian Sayin and company travel to Madison as heavy favorites.
College Football Picks: CFB Week 8 Odds, Picks, Predictions and Best Bets
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College Capper: Free College Football Picks this Week

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Chris' Picks

Can I claim a moral victory? Cincinnati closed at (-9.5) or (-10), and for some reason, Scott Frost felt it prudent to go for two (successfully) and lose by nine? I don't understand the thought process at all. My brain doesn't process unders or underdogs well, so I shouldn't be too surprised to see my lone dog of last week lose, nor the one total play. Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades, so I take another L and try to improve this week.

This was to be a Clemson-free zone had they not covered last week. They did, and they initially made the cut as I think SMU's defense is awful. But with Cade Klubnik battling an ankle issue, I was forced to reconsider.

Georgia Tech (+1.5) at Duke

I admittedly like this a lot more Sunday when I first saw it at Jackets (+3) just for a little wiggle room, but I still believe Georgia Tech wins outright, so we'll ride. Duke's Darian Mensah is chucking it all over the yard, but I'm not buying his supporting cast against better competition. I feel confident the Jackets will find success running, but this will come down to how QB Haynes King handles Duke's solid pass rush, which has 17 sacks. He's going to have to produce points with his arm, and I believe he'll be up to that task, as the Blue Devils are allowing 8.3 ypa.

Under 43.5 Oklahoma at South Carolina

Familiar number as it's the same as the over play on Oklahoma/Texas last week. And this is only partly related to the Sooners' dud last week. This is simply the parlance of our times, as the great Jeff Lebowski stated. The SEC is either full of mediocre teams or a ton of high-end talent that has created almost an NFL-like parity. The Gamecocks' first six games have gone under this mark three times, but they've allowed more than 20 points just twice. Oklahoma ranks second nationally, allowing 9.8 ppg, and its offense has scored 30 points in two SEC games. I like South Carolina plus the points, so perhaps a teaser/alt line parlay moving this into the under 49.5/South Carolina (+10.5) makes the most sense. That yields (-110) odds at DraftKings, and you can get plus odds at under 47.5.

Arkansas (+7.5) vs. Texas A&M

Make sure this stays north of a touchdown, or don't play it. Yes, Arkansas was blasted by Notre Dame, who the Aggies beat. But otherwise, Arkansas has been competitive, losing at Ole Miss by six, at Memphis by one, and at Tennessee by three. They play no defense but have proven capable of scoring. As stated above, the SEC is loaded with parity. The Razorbacks likely aren't a moneyline play, but at home against an Aggies team we've seen drop games they shouldn't in the past, I'm willing to take more than a score here. They've lost three straight and eight of nine in this rivalry, but only three by more than a touchdown.

Ohio State (-25.5) at Wisconsin

This number opened at (-27.5), and while we currently sit north of three TDs and a FG, I'm absolutely willing to buy the dip. Ohio State's defense is unreal, allowing 41 points all season, 16 of which came last week. Wisconsin was shut out last week, averaging 15.5 points, which was buoyed by 42 against Middle Tennessee State. I'm not in love with the Buckeyes' offense, and the Badgers' D hasn't been pushed around, but Ohio State has scored 34 or more four times in six. Bo Jackson and CJ Donaldson provide a solid foundation, and we know they can throw to Jeremiah Smith whenever they want. Reach that 34-point threshold, and they'll cover.

Auburn (+1.5) vs. Missouri

I'll go with another home SEC underdog and back Auburn to win outright. There are tons of dramas around this program, with Damari Alston no longer on the team (conflicting reports as to why) and Hugh Freeze's job security after dropping three straight league games. But they're at home for the second straight week, and simply overdue a win. Missouri is probably the better team, but it's their first road game of the season. Both teams feature elite run defenses and are going to sell out against it. Jackson Arnold has done nothing to earn our trust, but neither has Beau Pribula, who has five interceptions in his last four and a 4:4 TD:INT in his last three. Maybe this line moves and we can catch it closer to (+3), but I'm banking on Pribula struggling in the away environment. Another really low-scoring game.

Last week: 2-3; Season: 16-19

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Greg's Picks

The winning streak continues, with another 3-2 week posted, but this one was particularly painful.

The wins came relatively easily: an underdog UCLA team with a straight-up win, a Maryland team getting nearly a TD, playing even or in the lead most of the 2nd half, and a Texas team that struggled early, but took control of the game in the 2nd half.

Now the losses. The first came on the over in the Rutgers game. Rutgers had a 1st and goal inside the 10 on its final possession and threw a pick. A TD there, and the game goes over. Now, TDs are never guaranteed, but when it's garbage time, teams score more often than not in a 1st and goal situation. Speaking of 1st and goal with the over on the line. Purdue was in a similar spot, needing a TD to push the total over, and the Boilers couldn't manage to get it. I wasn't paying close attention to that game, but it felt like they had more than four shots at the end zone and couldn't convert.
What could have easily been a perfect week turned into another 3-2 week, which I'll take, but hopefully I get some breaks in the coming weeks.

Louisville (+13.5) at Miami

If you know me, I'm always on the lookout for potential letdown spots, and although I can't quite explain why this might be one of those spots, I just have a feeling. Miami's already past the tough part of its schedule, and the only real fight left is that of complacency. The Hurricanes will probably be double-digit favorites in every game down the stretch, so they'll be battling themselves in a sense until the postseason starts. As for Louisville, it's tough to gauge how good the Cardinals are as they haven't really played anyone, but the numbers look good, so perhaps they can surprise the Hurricanes.

Indiana (-27.5) vs. Michigan State

This is typically a spot where I'd be on the underdog, after all, Indiana is the team coming off a huge win, but this is simply too much of a mismatch. Indiana has hit on all cylinders this season, and I don't see the Hoosiers letting up in this spot, let alone any spot. The Spartans, meanwhile, got worked by an 8-point underdog this past week, but that wasn't much of a surprise as nothing has gone right for this team all season. The Spartans struggle with everything, especially on offense, so I'm not sure how they could even threaten the Hoosiers this week.

Ohio State (-25.5) at Wisconsin

With Penn State on the horizon for the Buckeyes, this game had the potential to be a look-ahead spot, but with the Nittany Lions imploding, I don't think the Buckeyes will be worried much about next week. They won't be worried at all about the Badgers, which could prove to be a problem, but honestly, I'm not sure what the Badgers could do to stay in this game. Unless the Buckeyes show up totally unprepared, this should be a total rout as the Badgers look like one of the worst teams in college football this season.

Over (59.5)  Oregon at Rutgers

I jumped on board the Rutgers-over train this past week, and while it didn't work out, I still think this is a good spot. Rutgers has been involved in some very high-scoring games this season, and while this will be its toughest test, I think the Scarlet Knights can put up some points. Oregon is coming off a tough loss to Indiana this past week, and while the Ducks are surely determined to get back on track, there might be a problem getting up for this game. I'm expecting a bit of a sloppy game on defense from the Ducks, which should lead to a back-and-forth type of game.

Over (52.5)  Maryland at  UCLA

I've had good luck with both of these teams lately, as they've both been undervalued for different reasons. Now it looks as if they are appropriately valued, so I can't pick a side, but I can tell you that I think this number is too low. UCLA has figured out its offense, and while the defense looked good this past week, it was up against a bad MSU offense. Maryland averages over 30 points per game on offense, and the Terps should be able to contribute enough points to get over this relatively low total.

Last Week: 3-2-0   This Season 20-15-0

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Jeff's Picks

I ended up digging a deeper hole last week, which was especially frustrating considering how close I came in a couple of spots. Taking the wrong way with Oklahoma was my most glaring mistake, but the other losses could have easily gone either way. The Clemson call was my easiest bet heading into the weekend, and it covered, but that was the extent of my success. I need to run the table in the coming weeks, as the ability to break even is seriously at risk. After leading the Capper for most of last season, I'm in the thick of a massive regression. The bounce-back starts now.

Appalachian State (-10) vs. Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina ranks near the bottom of almost every statistical category you can think of. Even if they can drive into the red zone, the Chenticleers have one of the worst conversion rates in the country inside the 20. By the numbers, App State is a better team across the board, and they have a decent running corps that will be able to beat down the opposition.

Texas Tech (-7.5) @ Arizona State

Although Sam Leavitt is expected to turn and the house will be rocking in Tempe, I will continue to ride with the Red Raiders again. I believe TTU is one of the best teams in the country, and most of the credit is due to an imposing defense that has picked apart every opponent this season. They have a crew of running backs who can shred opposing offenses, and although Behren Morton's status is in doubt, we've seen enough of backup Will Hammond to reinforce the direction of this bet.

Under 61.5 USC @ Notre Dame

Some nasty weather is predicted to hit South Bend on Saturday, and it will contribute to a scenario that favors the Under. After a slow start, Notre Dame's defense has turned a corner over the past month, and they have the tools to keep the Trojans in check. That being said, USC's defense has shown significant improvement, and they've been successful in getting teams off the field in third-down situations. One of Notre Dame's weaknesses is defending the slot receiver, and the Trojans have the best slot receiver in the country in Makai Lemon. Although King Miller performed well after Waymond Jordan got hurt, he now finds himself in a challenging environment and a heap of expectations. If the team can't get the run going, Maiava may have to take to the air early and the team's offense into a one-dimensional attack. I expect the Irish to control the clock and establish the run, and with the weather as a significant variable, the total should fall just short of this number.

Iowa Over 9.5 First Half Total vs. Penn State

I was a bit scared about the overall total, but Iowa has scored at least ten points in all but one of its games this season. Given the low morale of the Nittany Lions, I think the Hawkeyes will be able to get past a questionable Penn State defense, and an inexperienced quarterback could give Iowa a lot of three-and-outs. This bet is readily available on FanDuel.

UCLA (-3) vs Maryland

Teams that have to travel across the country are heavily trailing against the spread this season, and the Terrapins are still reeling from two games that they basically gave away. I think the morale is exceptionally low for them. Although they get the advantage of a later kickoff, I struggle to see how the Terrapins will be ready against a UCLA team that's ripped off two straight after getting rid of DeShaun Foster. UCLA is playing purely for pride right now, but they are heavily motivated to make a statement.

Last Week: 1-4-0 Season: 13-22-0

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
Vara is the lead golf writer at RotoWire. He was named the FSWA Golf Writer of the Year in 2005 and 2013. He also picks college football games against the spread in his "College Capper" article.
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