EuroLeague Primer: Round 18 - Tuesday

EuroLeague Primer: Round 18 - Tuesday

This article is part of our EuroLeague Primer series.

PREGAME UPDATES

STATS AND INFO.

THE SLATE

Olympiacos Piraeus at AS Monaco

Status Check: Jordan Loyd (ASM), Adrien Moerman (ASM)

The Breakdown: Halfway into the campaign there are five teams tied atop the standings at 11-6, and two of them will compete in this contest. Monaco took down Olympiacos at Peace and Friendship Stadium when these teams met in Round 5, and they will now get them at home, where they have lost just twice all season. The oddsmakers have given the hosts as much as a 2.5-point edge, but they will have to make up some major deficits in the secondary stats, as Olympiacos has outscored its opponents by 158 more points than Monaco has and owns a 13.0-point advantage in net rating. Scoring should not be an issue for either club, as Monaco sits second in points per game and Olympiacos is right behind them. As such, it should come as no surprise that the over/under on this game is by far the biggest on the board.

Real Madrid at Crvena Zvezda mts Belgrade

Status Check: Mario Hezonja (RMB), Gabriel Deck (RMB), Rudy Fernandez (RMB, Anthony Randolph (RMB), Carlos Alocen (RMB), Luca Vildoza (CZV), Facundo Campazzo (CZV), Hassan Martin (CZV), Nikola Ivanovic (CZV)

The Breakdown: Points figure to be far harder to come by in this game than in the previous one, as fewer points are expected in this contest than in any of the other five on the slate. That is hardly surprising considering these teams combined for just 128 points when Real Madrid handled a Red Star roster that will look similar to Tuesday's back in Round 4. Neither team will be at full strength, but the Spanish squad is better equipped to handle their absences, and they are favored by as many as 4.5 points. The implied point totals suggests Red Star will slow the game down a bit, but they could have a tough time finding holes in a defense that rates better than any other in the league, and they will need to make up a 12.5-point deficit in net rating.

EA7 Emporio Armani Milan at ALBA Berlin

Status Check: Shavon Shields (EA7), Kevin Pangos (EA7), Luigi Datome (EA7), Tommaso Baldasso (EA7), Marcus Eriksson (BER), Gabriele Procida (BER)

The Breakdown: These clubs have both gotten back on track following long losing streaks, with the visitors going 3-1 over the last four Rounds and the home team coming in winners of two straight. The Italian team has been better away from home than at it, and the experts expect them to pick up another win, as they are favored by 1.5 points. That would be a different result than last time, as the German club picked up the win when these clubs met back in Round 2. This will be a clash of styles, as no team plays at a faster pace than ALBA, and only one plays slower than Milan. The over/under suggests the Italian team will control the speed, which could be key, as no team is averaging fewer points nor is less efficient on the offensive end.

Cazoo Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz at FC Bayern Munich

Status Check: Vladimir Lucic (BAY), Corey Walden (BAY), Andreas Obst (BAY), Zan Mark Sisko (BAY)

The Breakdown: Only two games on Tuesday's slate have an over/under north of 160.0 points, and this is the second of the two. Baskonia had a six-game winning streak snapped its last time out, but the oddsmakers expect them to get back on track, as they are favored by up to 2.5 points. The Spanish squad sits 11 spots higher in the standings and own an 11.0-point edge in net rating, but they have not been nearly as successful on the road as they have been in their own arena, and Bayern could wind up on top if they can slow down a team that ranks second league-wide in the pace department. They could also use more points after putting just 53 on the board when these teams faced off in Round 12.

Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul at Panathinaikos Athens

Status Check: Nemanja Bjelica (FBB), Tonye Jekiri (FBB), Ismet Akpinar (FBB), Tarik Biberovic (FBB), Dwayne Bacon (PAO), Paris Lee (PAO), Panagiotis Kalaitzakis (PAO), Lefteris Bochoridis (PAO)

The Breakdown: This will be a pivotal game for both clubs, as one of them will see a five-game losing streak come to an end and the other will be left searching for more ways to get their season back on track. Fenerbahce is favored by as many as 3.0 points, which does not come as much surprise considering they own a 13.0-point edge in net rating and won by 30 points when these clubs met back in Round 8. Both these teams rank top-6 in pace, so don't be surprised to see more points than the 159.5 that are anticipated.

Zalgiris Kaunas at Virtus Segafredo Bologna

Status Check: Keenan Evans (ZAL), Achille Polonara (ZAL), Isaiah Taylor (ZAL), Tyler Cavanaugh (ZAL), Mantas Kalnietis (ZAL), Isaia Cordinier (VIR), Nico Mannion (VIR), Awudu Abass (VIR), Leo Menalo (VIR)

The Breakdown: Things will look a lot different on the Zalgiris side than they did even a week ago, as they will be without their top player in Evans for the rest of the season, and both Polonara and Taylor were brought in to fill the void. The Lithuanian team easily dispatched of Fenerbahce in Round 17 despite losing Evans early in the game, but the experts expect things to go differently Tuesday, as Virtus is expected to win by more points than any of the other five favorites on the board. Zalgiris won by three points on their home court back in Round 3, but they will need their new-look roster to gel quickly to match that feat.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Kevin O'Brien plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: kevob100, DraftKings: kevob100.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kevin O'Brien
Kevin mans the Packers and Brewers beats and moonlights as RotoWire's Director of Operations.
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