Formula 1 Hungarian Grand Prix
Location: Mogyorod, Hungary
Course: Hungaroring
Course Length: 4.38km
Laps: 70
Hungarian Grand Prix Race Preview
Lando Norris entered the Belgian Grand Prix having wrestled some momentum from Oscar Piastri in the driver championship, but Piastri had the weekend he needed at Spa. He enters the Hungarian Grand Prix with a 16-point lead over Norris, with McLaren still looking like the dominant car on most weekends.
The running order of Red Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes is mixed, especially with only one driver on each team truly clicking. The story in recent weeks has instead been the shifting outlook in the midfield. Williams has lost some momentum but still holds a comfortable lead for fifth-place in the constructor standings, but Kick Sauber has suddenly found form and is among the serious contenders for points.
This weekend could also set the tone for the second half of the season, as there will be a month-long traditional summer break to follow.
Key Stats at Hungaroring
- Races: 39
- Winners from pole: 16
- Winners from top-5 starters: 35
- Winners from top-10 starters: 37
Previous 10 Hungary Winners
2024 – Oscar Piastri
2023 - Max Verstappen
2022 - Max Verstappen
2021 - Esteban Ocon
2020 - Lewis Hamilton
2019 - Lewis Hamilton
2018 - Lewis Hamilton
2017 - Sebastian Vettel
2016 - Lewis Hamilton
2015 - Sebastian Vettel
The Hungaroring often produces intriguing races due to the number of factors that are typically present at the track. The first is a static factor in the track characteristics themselves, as this is one of the shorter circuits on the calendar. There are 14 turns jammed in with relatively short straights and limited room for overtaking.
The leads to the weather. It is often a warm race, leading to tire degradation. There is also a recent history of some wet weather, and this weekend is setting up to maintain that trend with rain in the forecast on race day.
Finally, track evolution is extreme at the track. That likely won't play a part on race day, but it could lead to some non-traditional results in qualifying. This is almost always a two-stop race.
DraftKings Value Picks for the Hungarian Grand Prix
(Based on standard $50K salary cap)
DraftKings Tier 1 Values
Oscar Piastri - $13,400
Lando Norris - $13,200
DraftKings Tier 2 Values
Max Verstappen -$10,600
Charles Leclerc -$10,200
George Russell - $10,000
DraftKings Tier 3 Values
Alex Albon - $6,400
Pierre Gasly -$6,000
Nico Hulkenberg - $5,800
DraftKings Tier 4 Values
Carlos Sainz Jr. - $4,800
Oliver Bearman -$4,200
Liam Lawson -$4,000
Esteban Ocon -$3,800
Constructor Values
McLaren - $16,500
Ferrari - $9,500
Williams - $3,600
Sauber - $3,000
Formula 1 DFS Picks for the Hungarian Grand Prix
Captain – Lando Norris - $19,800
Max Verstappen - $10,600
Alex Albon- $6,400
Pierre Gasly - $6,000
Gabriel Bortoleto - $3,400
Constructor – Williams -$3,600
McLaren almost certainly has to be in lineups either with one of the drivers as Captain or the team as Constructor. Constructor would be the higher-risk build and is less conventional, so therefore would be more unique. It has benefits in larger field tournaments and also captures McLaren's upside without having to pick the correct driver. The problem is that it would be nearly impossible to stack a driver with the constructor and it also leaves a very narrow path to building a solid roster from there. Knowing the results of qualifying could help, but building through one of the two McLaren drivers is a more conventional approach.
Norris has had a good history at Hungaroring and has been slightly faster than Piastri in the two practice sessions so far.
Tier 2 drivers are interchangeable by race and their current form. This doesn't project to be a good week for Mercedes, which often excels in cooler conditions. Meanwhile, Verstappen was under investigation for an incident during FP2, so Lecerlc could be choice by default.
Tier 3 are the drivers in the best form among the midfield. That doesn't necessarily mean that will continue in Hungary, but it's a decent starting point before we know the results of qualifying. Gasly is arguably the safest of the group because he is a near loc to beat teammate Franco Colapinto, arguably the worst driver in the current field.
Tier 4 are "punt" options, but there appear to be pretty severely mispriced options within the group. Sainz is the name brand of the group but has been slumping considerably, in part through his ow fault, in part due to his car and in part due to bad luck. Lawson and Bortoleto have recently gotten improved results and have a strong chance of beating their teammates.
Formula 1 Betting Picks for the Hungarian Grand Prix
Podium Finish - George Russell (+900)
Top-10 Finish – Carlos Sainz Jr. (+240), Liam Lawson (+250), Alex Albon (-110)
Odds have been heavily shaped by the results of the first two practice sessions. That isn't necessarily wrong, but it does offer opportunity. For example, Aston Martin is priced up because both Fernando Alonso and Lance Stroll have fared well. Their recent pace in grand prix doesn't necessarily match up – Alonso has admittedly scored points in four of his last five races – and I'd still believe in either Williams driver over Aston Martin given the current odds.
Russell isn't all that likely to reach the podium as Hungaroring doesn't set up to be a strong track for Mercedes. However, every team and driver outside of McLaren has questions on a weekly basis, so his current odds seem to overstate his potential troubles this race weekend.
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