This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Last week was okay. I went 7-6 and won my best bet, the Falcons, decisively, but I went 2-3 in the Supercontest, and that entry is now toast. (The leader is a ridiculous 36-9 ATS, 12.5 games ahead of us.) It's still useful to track our best five (I partner with Dalton Del Don on it), and there's a prize for doing well in the last several weeks, so I'll keep posting them in the comments.
This week, none of the actual lines differed by more than two points from the ones I set, so my leans aren't especially strong.
The ones that came easiest to me were the Redskins, Bills and Lions.
For the podcast version of this article, click here
Panthers +4 at Steelers
These strike me as roughly equal teams. Usually, I like the home team off the short week, but it's the same time zone and only a short trip. Take the points.
Panthers 23 - 20
Bills +7.5 at Jets
I was on the Bills last week to disastrous effect, but Derek Anderson could be back, and that would mean a pick six is merely possible rather than guaranteed. Either way, the Jets have no business laying 7.5 against a fairly stout defense. Take the points.
Jets 10 - 6
Falcons -4 at Browns
I really want to take the Falcons here, but I'm going to resist. This is an outdoor, cold-weather road game, and the Browns have