This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Last week was my best of the year. I went 12-4 overall, won my best bet (the Cowboys) and went 3-2 in the Supercontest. Keep in mind I made the Packers-Cardinals line 13.5 and only won because the market was insane enough to make it 14, i.e., you don't always have to be right, only less wrong than the next guy.
This week, I especially like the Packers and Chargers. As usual, I'll put my Supercontest picks in the comments.
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Jaguars +4 at Titans
I made this line three now that the Jaguars have a caretaker (of sorts) rather than a turnover machine at quarterback, and they can go back to playing defense again. I don't like taking a team off a big win on a short week on the road, but it's only an hour flight, and the Titans are coming off an emotional win too. Take the points.
Jaguars 17 - 16
Ravens +6.5 at Chiefs
Chiefs 27 - 20
Colts +4.5 at Texans
This is exactly where I set the line. The Texans keep burning me, but I expect the Colts to be competitive in a must-win game. Take the points.