This article is part of our Survivor series.
Last week had one major casualty, the Vikings, taking down roughly 18 percent of pools.
Let's take a look at Week 14:
| Team | Opponent | %Taken* | Vegas ML** | Vegas Odds | Expected Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHARGERS | Giants | 32.6% | 450 | 81.82 | 5.93 |
| PACKERS | Bears | 27.5% | 600 | 85.71 | 3.93 |
| TITANS | Jaguars | 17.7% | 400 | 80.00 | 3.54 |
| BRONCOS | Lions | 7.8% | 330 | 76.74 | 1.81 |
| Seahawks | TEXANS | 6.5% | 310 | 75.61 | 1.59 |
| CHIEFS | Raiders | 3.4% | 395 | 79.80 | 0.69 |
| Saints | JETS | 1.9% | 212.5 | 68.00 | 0.61 |
| PANTHERS | Falcons | 0.5% | 130 | 56.52 | 0.22 |
| VIKINGS | Steelers | 0.4% | 155 | 60.78 | 0.16 |
| Cowboys | TEAM | 0.3% | 180 | 64.29 | 0.11 |
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
As always, when we get this late into the year, the percentage-owned numbers become noisier, so be sure to look at which teams are available to the remaining entries in your pool.
My Picks
1. Green Bay Packers
The Packers and Aaron Rodgers really do own the Bears, they're coming off a bye and Chicago is banged up on both sides of the ball. I give the Packers an 85 percent chance to win this game.
2. Denver Broncos
The Broncos aren't great, but their defense is solid, and they run the ball well, a good recipe for beating up on doormats. Moreover, the Lions got their first win, so the desperation factor is gone. I give the Broncos an 81 percent chance to win this game.
3. Kansas City Chiefs
The Raiders show a spark every now and then, but aside
