Not all draft-day mistakes come from rookies or bad offenses. Often it's the wide receivers taken many spots too early, or too late, that cost fantasy managers the most. This breakdown highlights seven wideouts whose 2025 fantasy football ADP price tags don't align with their expected performance. Some are underrated targets, while others should be avoided entirely.
Stay ahead of shifting values by checking the full fantasy football ADP tool or prepping with our fantasy football draft software.
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins – ADP: WR15
Tyreek Hill's fall to WR15 might not be far enough.
After years as a top-three fantasy wideout, Hill produced just 959 yards in 2024, his lowest total since his rookie season. A wrist injury that required surgery clearly affected him, but a sharp drop in yards after the catch (38th percentile) raises red flags. He had regularly posted 90th percentile YAC rates before.
Tua Tagovailoa's limitations remain a concern, and Hill has expressed displeasure with the team multiple times. His ADP assumes a return to form, but the trends say he should be going outside the top 20 WRs.
DJ Moore, Chicago Bears – ADP: WR20
DJ Moore is this year's most overlooked WR1 candidate.
Despite a disastrous 2024 Chicago offense, Moore still caught 98 passes for 966 yards and six scores, finishing as WR14 in PPR. Just one year earlier, he was WR6 with Justin Fields.
Now, Caleb Williams returns with experience and an improved situation, including OC Ben Johnson
Not all draft-day mistakes come from rookies or bad offenses. Often it's the wide receivers taken many spots too early, or too late, that cost fantasy managers the most. This breakdown highlights seven wideouts whose 2025 fantasy football ADP price tags don't align with their expected performance. Some are underrated targets, while others should be avoided entirely.
Stay ahead of shifting values by checking the full fantasy football ADP tool or prepping with our fantasy football draft software.
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins – ADP: WR15
Tyreek Hill's fall to WR15 might not be far enough.
After years as a top-three fantasy wideout, Hill produced just 959 yards in 2024, his lowest total since his rookie season. A wrist injury that required surgery clearly affected him, but a sharp drop in yards after the catch (38th percentile) raises red flags. He had regularly posted 90th percentile YAC rates before.
Tua Tagovailoa's limitations remain a concern, and Hill has expressed displeasure with the team multiple times. His ADP assumes a return to form, but the trends say he should be going outside the top 20 WRs.
DJ Moore, Chicago Bears – ADP: WR20
DJ Moore is this year's most overlooked WR1 candidate.
Despite a disastrous 2024 Chicago offense, Moore still caught 98 passes for 966 yards and six scores, finishing as WR14 in PPR. Just one year earlier, he was WR6 with Justin Fields.
Now, Caleb Williams returns with experience and an improved situation, including OC Ben Johnson taking over the scheme. The offensive line is improved, and Moore's floor is already WR2 level. With elite volume and talent, a top-12 finish is squarely in play.
Jameson Williams, Detroit Lions – ADP: WR25
Jameson Williams broke out late in 2024, but don't overreact.
The former first-rounder posted 1,001 yards and 7 TDs but averaged just 2.5 targets over a four-week stretch early in the season. That usage spike only came once the defense fell apart and forced the Lions into shootouts.
This year, the defense is healthier (they still have some injuries), the offensive line is likely to regress and OC Ben Johnson is gone. Expect fewer pass attempts and more volatility. Williams could fall outside the top-30 WRs by year's end.
Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens – ADP: WR26
Zay Flowers flashed WR2 upside early, but the Ravens reverted to run-first mode.
He posted 1,059 yards on 74 catches, but most of that production came in the first nine games, when Flowers scored over 18.5 PPR points five times. From Week 10 on, he hit 12+ points just once.
Baltimore's identity is ground-and-pound, and that caps Flowers' weekly ceiling. At WR26, you're buying a version of him that may no longer exist.
Calvin Ridley, Tennessee Titans – ADP: WR31
Calvin Ridley's ADP is finally rising, but still not enough.
After inconsistent years with Jacksonville and low-volume QB play in Tennessee, Ridley still hit 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons. In the offseason, Cam Ward arrived as the No. 1 overall pick, and the offensive line has improved.
From Week 8 forward, Ridley averaged 14.2 PPR points and 76 yards per game. He's the clear WR1 in Tennessee and belongs in the top-24 WRs.
Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts – ADP: WR43
Josh Downs is still underpriced despite being one of the most efficient WRs in football.
He was targeted on 29.4 percent of his routes (third in the league) and played 75 percent of the snaps as a full-time slot man. Despite missing three games, he tallied 803 yards and five touchdowns.
More impressively, he's quarterback-proof. Whether it's Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones, Downs should be a PPR machine. He belongs inside the top-40 wideouts.
Final Thoughts on Fantasy Football ADP Values
Draft season is all about exploiting market mistakes, and the wide receiver position is full of them. Whether it's undervalued players like DJ Moore or overpriced options like Jameson Williams, small shifts in ADP can lead to massive results.
Looking for more in depth analysis of mispriced players? Check this out-
Stay on top of the latest updates using our full fantasy football news feed and NFL depth charts. Don't draft blindly- draft smarter.
Dominate your fantasy football league this season by exploring our ultimate draft kit. Packed with expert insights, rankings and strategy tips, the kit features our interactive mock draft simulator to prepare you for every scenario. Streamline your draft-day decisions using our printable cheat sheet and stay ahead of the competition with our up-to-date rankings for all formats. RotoWire has everything you need to win. To learn more, subscribe now and start optimizing your roster today.
