Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

27-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Cincinnati Bengals
Questionable
Injury Wrist
Est. Return 5/1/2024
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Burrow led the league in on-target percentage (76.7) for the second year in a row last season and finished second in completion percentage (68.3). Those marks were actually down a bit from the previous year, which is a bit surprising considering Burrow severely curtailed his downfield game. After throwing 20-plus yards on 12.5 percent of his attempts in 2021, Burrow went downfield only 7.5 percent of the time last season (30th). Instead, he went short, as his percentage of passes behind the line of scrimmage jumped to 19.6 percent. His counting stats, more or less, held steady, and he finished QB4 in fantasy with some help from five touchdown runs and 257 rushing yards. Burrow was still good at throwing deep -- he tied Geno Smith with the highest on-target rate on 20-plus yard attempts at 60.0 percent -- but his average target depth was just 7.5 yards (23rd). One apparent reason for the increase in dump-offs was a rebuilt offensive line that often did not live up to preseason hopes. However, the Bengals signed standout left tackle Orlando Brown this offseason, moving Jonah Williams to right tackle, which should help (provided Williams isn’t traded as he’s demanded). Burrow's top three wide receivers return, led by Ja'marr Chase, while Irv Smith is replacing Hayden Hurst at tight end. Better efficiency can help Burrow stay in the top 5 of fantasy QBs even with some expected regression in his rushing TDs. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a five-year, $275 million contract with the Bengals in September of 2023.
Facing changes on offense
QBCincinnati Bengals
Wrist
March 14, 2024
Burrow (wrist) is slated to enter the 2024 season with a revamped skill-position group, with Joe Mixon set to be traded to the Texans, Zack Moss inking a two-year deal as his replacement, and numerous shifts in the receiving game, Ben Baby of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Burrow will have to cope with more than just a new-look backfield, though it remains to be seen whether Moss can adequately fill Mixon's shoes, even after he proved so productive filling in for Jonathan Taylor at the start of last season. Tyler Boyd is currently a free agent, while explosive tight end Mike Gesicki is poised to ink a one-year deal with the Bengals, giving Burrow a replacement target in the middle of the field. Perhaps most important, though, is the fact that Tee Higgins has requested a trade, as Jared Goffinet of Fox 19 Cincinnati reports. That situation may not resolve in the near future, and further changes on offense could still occur in free agency and the 2024 NFL Draft, but in any scenario, Ja'Marr Chase will remain the pillar of this receiving game. For his part, Burrow is expected to be cleared for full contact by mid-May, as he continues his recovery from Nov. 27 surgery to repair a torn ligament in his right wrist.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Joe Burrow's 2023 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
15.1%
 
Avg Target Depth
6.5 Yds
 
Sack Rate
6.2%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
5.1 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
6.8%
 
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2023
2022
2021
2020
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2022 NFL Game Log
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2021 NFL Game Log
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2020 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Cincinnati BengalsBengals 2023 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

58055%
45243%
162%
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2023 Joe Burrow Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Joe Burrow's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
215 lbs
 
Hand Length
9.00 in
 
Arm Length
30.88 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Burrow came back from a major knee injury that ended an impressive rookie year to lead the Bengals to the Super Bowl last season. But whereas in his first year Burrow put up numbers on the back of 40.4 pass attempts per game (a league-high through Week 11), he put up big numbers last season as perhaps the league's most efficient passer. Averaging only 32.5 attempts per game (17th), Burrow led the league in on-target rate at 80.6 percent with an 8.1- yard average target depth (10th). That propelled him to a 70.4 completion percentage and 8.9 YPA - both tops in the league. Burrow capitalized on downfield throws, ranking fourth in on- target percentage (59.0), third in YPA (17.0) and first in touchdowns (11) on attempts of 20-plus yards, getting an instant boost from rookie receiver Ja'Marr Chase, with whom he teamed for a league-high six 50-yard completions and 22 20-yard completions (4th). Chase returns with Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, giving Burrow the league's best WR trio. Joe Mixon gives the offense a returning 1,200-yard rusher, and after allowing 55 sacks (and an NFL-record 19 in the playoffs), the Bengals remade their offensive line in a big way by signing center Ted Karras, right guard Alex Cappa and right tackle La'el Collins. The only problem is that Burrow doesn't run much, which could keep him from finishing as a top-5 fantasy QB even if he's excellent for the Bengals again. He's also set to miss a large portion of training camp while recovering from a late-July appendectomy, though it's less of an issue given that the Bengals have continuity on offense everywhere besides the O-line.
Burrow was the favorite for rookie of the year last season before tearing the ACL and MCL in his left knee Week 11. He set team rookie records for completion percentage (65.3) and passing yards per game (268.8), grabbing the league's attention by throwing for at least 300 yards in five of his first seven games. But it was largely built on volume (40.4 attempts per game led the league through 11 weeks), while downfield passing was a struggle. Of his 46 attempts of 20-plus yards, Burrow completed just nine, for a 19.2 completion percentage that ranked 34th of 35 QBs. His on-target percentage on deep throws ranked 30th (39.1), and his 6.4 YPA was 34th. Part of the problem was limited arm strength, but Burrow also had to rush throws as he was pressured on 28.3 percent of his downfield dropbacks. He was sacked 32 times, a 51-sack full-season pace. To mitigate the pass rush, the Bengals took advantage of his mobility by regularly rolling him out, and often relied on a quick passing game with intermediate routes. On attempts of 8-15 yards, his on-target percentage ranked 11th (70.0) and his completion percentage 10th (62.0). The Bengals upgraded their receiving group by reuniting Burrow with college teammate Ja'Marr Chase, the fifth overall pick in the draft. Chase will team with Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins, giving Burrow three quality wideouts. And Joe Mixon, who was limited to six games last year, is healthy and provides a solid rushing attack. Burrow has a lot of room for growth, and with improved downfield passing could easily outperform his ADP.
Burrow had perhaps the greatest season by a quarterback in college football history last year. He led the nation in passing yards (5,671) and completion percentage (76.3) while throwing an FBS-record 60 TD passes, guiding LSU to the national championship and winning the Heisman Trophy along with pretty much every passing award. Making him the No. 1 pick in the draft was an easy choice for the Bengals. Also an easy choice was releasing long-time starting QB Andy Dalton one week later (and saving $17 million) to make Burrow the unquestioned starter. At 6-3, 221, Burrow has good size, and scouts rave about his leadership, competitiveness and football IQ. He doesn't possess elite arm strength — it's below average for an NFL starter — but he has tremendous vision, rapidly works through his progressions, has excellent touch and is consistently accurate. He has a skilled group of playmakers to help him acclimate in Cincinnati, with A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon returning and 6-3 wideout Tee Higgins drafted in the second round. The biggest concern is the offensive line. The Bengals were terrible up front last season, but the return of 2019 first-round pick LT Jonah Williams from an injury should help, as should the signing of RG Xavier Su'a-Filo. Fortunately, Burrow is plenty mobile, capable of extending plays with his legs and making throws on the move. If he plays 16 games as expected, the rookie should have enough passing volume (the Bengals threw 616 times last season, 6th most) that it won't take much for him to be a top-10 fantasy QB with his rushing contributions.
More Fantasy News
Should be cleared in May
QBCincinnati Bengals
Wrist
March 4, 2024
Burrow (wrist) said Sunday that he expects to be "cleared for full contact and everything" by mid-May, Ben Baby of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Anticipates throwing by OTAs
QBCincinnati Bengals
Wrist
January 8, 2024
Burrow (wrist) said Monday that he thinks he will be cleared to resume throwing during OTAs this spring, Geoff Hobson of the Bengals' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Has surgery on wrist Monday
QBCincinnati Bengals
Wrist
November 27, 2023
Burrow underwent surgery to repair the torn ligament in his right wrist Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Getting surgery Monday
QBCincinnati Bengals
Wrist
November 26, 2023
Burrow is set to undergo surgery Monday to repair the torn ligament in his right wrist, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Officially lands on IR
QBCincinnati Bengals
Wrist
November 25, 2023
The Bengals officially placed Burrow (wrist) on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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