Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett

31-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Seattle Seahawks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Last year brought the end of Lockett's four-year streak of 1,000-yard seasons and five-year run with at least eight touchdowns, even though his 122 targets led Seattle and were the second most he's ever gotten in a season. A lot of the peripherals were nearly identical to 2022, including his slot rate (33.5 percent of snaps), target rate (22.4 percent of routes) and aDOT (10.8). The problem wasn't first-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba poaching volume -- more than one-third of the rookie's 93 targets were behind the line of scrimmage -- but rather a precipitous decline in Lockett's catch rate. After hauling in more than 68 percent of his targets five years running (including 71.8 percent in 2022), Lockett dropped to 64.8 percent in 2023. His yards per catch (11.3) went to a three-year low, and 7.3 YPT marked a career low for the 2015 third-round pick. The issue mostly was on passes 20-plus yards downfield, where Lockett went 5-for-24 after going 10-for-19 in 2022 and 20-for-39 in 2021 (5-for-16 in 2020 back when he played the slot more). Maybe that was just the inevitable happening a year late after Geno Smith took over for Russell Wilson under center, or maybe it was the first major sign of decline for a wideout who celebrated his 31st birthday in September. Either way, the Seahawks and Lockett renegotiated the final two years of his contract this offseason, with $34 million in compensation dropping to $30 million in exchange for a guarantee for 2024 and the ability to make back the other $4 million via incentives. The offense he's returning to looks quite similar, with Smith throwing passes to Lockett, Smith-Njigba, DK Metcalf, TE Noah Fant and RBs Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#103.65
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $29.66 million restructured contract with the Seahawks in March of 2024.
Restructures deal with Seattle
WRSeattle Seahawks
March 9, 2024
Lockett and the Seahawks agreed on a two-year, $30 million restructured contract with a maximum value of $34 million Saturday, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Lockett had two years and $34 million remaining on the four-year deal he signed with the team in 2021, so Saturday's deal moves some of the money while he'll get $13 million guaranteed in 2024, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network. With the restructured deal, the Seahawks have seemingly added a little more wiggle room to their salary cap situation heading into the official start of NFL free agency Wednesday. Lockett had a down year by his standards in 2023, reeling in 79 receptions for 894 yards and five touchdowns, which represented his lowest yardage and touchdown totals since 2017.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Tyler Lockett's 2023 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
78.3
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.68
 
% Team Air Yards
32.8%
 
% Team Targets
22.4%
 
Avg Depth of Target
10.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
64.8%
 
Drop Rate
3.3%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
2.8
 
% Targeted On Route
20.8%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.52
 
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2023
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Seattle SeahawksSeahawks 2023 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

79079%
78379%
63964%
29229%
232%
162%
91%
20%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Tyler Lockett lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2023 Tyler Lockett Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Tyler Lockett's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
5' 10"
 
Weight
182 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.40 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.07 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.89 sec
 
Vertical Jump
35.5 in
 
Broad Jump
121 in
 
Hand Length
8.38 in
 
Arm Length
30.00 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyler Lockett See More
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Payne's Perspective: Players To Avoid This Season
79 days ago
Kevin Payne analyzes players to avoid this fantasy season, including Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
May be headed to open market
WRSeattle Seahawks
February 20, 2024
Lockett could be cut by the Seahawks this offseason, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Lockett has been a key player in the Seattle offense since the 2018 season, but his production took a notable dip in 2023. He posted a career-worst 7.3 yards per target and also averaged his lowest yards per game since the 2017 campaign. Lockett is set to have a cap hit of $26.9 million in both 2024 and 2025, and the team could save a combined $34 million in cap space by designating him a post-June 1 cut.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Lockett was supposed to take a huge step back last year without Russell Wilson but instead made it five seasons in a row with at least 1,000 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns, helping QB Geno Smith earn Comeback Player of the Year honors. The 30-year-old drew 24 fewer targets than running mate DK Metcalf while playing one fewer game, yet had nearly the same number of receiving yards and three more TDs. While it seems inevitable that Metcalf eventually becomes a true No. 1 rather than a co-No. 1, it failed to materialize the last two seasons when the younger Seattle wideout was drafted rounds ahead of the elder statesmen in fantasy leagues. It becomes more and more likely with each passing year, perhaps, but there were no real signs of decline from Lockett in 2022 and the addition of first-round pick Jaxon Smith-Njigba (who figures to play the slot) won't automatically hurt him. Lockett has split time between the perimeter and slot throughout his career, and it's been a mixed bag in terms of where his production is better. Last year, Lockett had 1.66 yards per route in the slot and 2.14 otherwise, getting 42 percent of his routes and 45 percent of his targets inside but accumulating only two of his nine TDs and 35 percent of his yardage there.
Uncharted waters lie ahead for Lockett, whose next TD catch will be his first in the NFL without Russell Wilson on the other end. For all of Seattle's issues last year, Wilson and Lockett maintained their strong chemistry as the wideout recorded a fourth consecutive season in the range of 1,000-1,200 total yards and 8-10 TDs. In fact, he even had a career high for receiving yards, with his aDOT skyrocketing from 9.7 in 2020 to 14.6 in 2021. Lockett's YPT rose from 8.0 to 11.0, the second highest of his career, despite his catch rate dropping by 7.6 percentage points. He spent more time lined up outside under new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, who will get another shot despite the disappointment of last year. The problem now, apart from an O-line that struggles in pass protection, is that the Seahawks don't have a QB who can get the most out of Lockett, DK Metcalf and TE Noah Fant. The team grabbed Fant and QB Drew Lock in the Wilson trade, in addition to a boatload of draft picks, but there's still an uncomfortable amount of short-term uncertainty for a wideout who turns 30 in late September.
Lockett had one of the quieter 100-catch seasons in recent memory last year. Once the league’s most efficient per-play receiver, Lockett has been overshadowed by teammate DK Metcalf, whose freakish athleticism and playmaking ability have relegated Lockett to more of a possession role. As a result, Lockett — who had six catches for 40-plus yards on only 70 targets in 2018 — managed only two 40-yard catches on 132 targets last year, part of a three-year decline in his yards per catch and yards per target. The other issue with Lockett’s 2020 season was that so much of it came during two games, a 13-9-110-3 outburst against the Cowboys in Week 3 and a 20-15-200-3 explosion against the Cardinals in Week 7. There’s nothing wrong with having monster games, of course, but Lockett scored in only three other games and did not reach 100 yards the rest of the year. At 5-10, 182, Lockett is small, but he’s fast (4.40 40) and exceptionally quick. While he didn’t see a lot of downfield looks, he did get more than his share in the red zone — nine targets from inside the 10 (T-11th) and seven from inside the five (T-7th) — and scored 10 times. So long as Russell Wilson remains a Seahawk, the 28-year-old Lockett is a good bet for north of 100 targets and production to follow suit. But with Metcalf around, Lockett’s ceiling is probably capped.
Coming off a per-play season for the ages (13.8 YPT), Lockett predictably regressed in 2019, but he was still efficient - 12.9 YPC, 9.6 YPT. He also saw a ton of red-zone work (23 targets, T-2nd), explaining in large part how he amassed eight touchdowns. It was a huge increase from 2018 (six red-zone targets), thanks to the departure of long-time top wideout Doug Baldwin. At 5-10, 182, Lockett is small but fast (4.40 40) and uncannily quick. He's dangerous in open space and down the field, and Russell Wilson often looks to him when plays break down and Wilson is scrambling around in the pocket. The downside for Lockett is three-fold: first, given his slight frame, it would be surprising if he maintained his red-zone volume; second, the Seahawks are perennially in the bottom third of the league in pass attempts; and third, second-year man DK Metcalf emerged down the stretch and looks like a future star and downfield playmaker. The Seahawks also added Greg Olsen this offseason, so while Lockett will still have a prominent role, his target ceiling is modest.
Lockett quietly had a season for the ages. Lest you think we're exaggerating, consider he averaged 13.8 YPT, more than half a yard better than the next highest single-season, per-target output (Jordy Nelson, 2011) since 1992 when they started keeping track. Only six 70-target receivers have even cracked 12.0 YPT over that span, and Lockett was approaching 14. It helps when of the 70 targets directed your way, you drop none, catch 57 (81.4%) and average 16.9 YPC. Lockett had six plays of 40-plus yards (T-4th) and 10 TDs (T-6th) on the 56th-most targets. Moreover, Russell Wilson had a perfect passer rating (158.3) when targeting Lockett. A season does not get more efficient. At 5-10, 182, Lockett is small, fast (4.40 40) and incredibly dangerous in open space - he made the Pro Bowl as a kick returner his rookie season. Lockett has made big plays throughout his career despite modest opportunities, and Wilson's ability to scramble and buy time is a big part of that. Lockett rarely sees red-zone work - he's too small, and the Seahawks prefer to run from in close in any event (Wilson was 18th in red-zone attempts despite playing all 16 games). Lockett's amazing efficiency is not sustainable by Randy Moss, Jerry Rice or anyone else, so a drop back to his usual 9-10 YPT and modest TD numbers is a reasonable expectation. The question is whether the team, seeing his incredible success, will give him more targets. The Seahawks' other top option, Doug Baldwin, retired, freeing up more looks, but the team drafted two athletic rookies, DK Metcalf (62nd overall) and Gary Jennings (120th), and either or both could contribute right away. Bottom line, even without Baldwin and as great as Lockett was last year, we can't project heavy volume for him in Brian Schottenheimer's run-first offense.
Lockett had a pedestrian season as the team's No. 3 receiver last year - only 12.3 YPC and 7.8 YPT, both marks down from his career norms. At 5-10, 182, and with 4.40 speed, Lockett is fast, quick and dangerous in open space, so much so he's made the Pro Bowl twice as a kick returner. Despite seeing only 71 targets, Lockett had three catches of 40-plus yards last season, but also disappeared for long stretches and had virtually no role near the goal line. With Paul Richardson and Jimmy Graham gone, Lockett could inherit a bigger role, and his speed and quickness make him a candidate for big plays when Russell Wilson buys time with his legs. Doug Baldwin is still the team's clear No. 1, but Lockett is the ostensible No. 2 at press time, even after the signings of Brandon Marshall and Jaron Brown.
After a promise-filled rookie season, Lockett saw less action in Year 2 while playing through a torn PCL. He was still able to log 15 games and managed 14.6 YPC and 9.0 YPT while at less than full health before breaking his leg in Week 16. At 5-10, 182, and running a 4.40 40, Lockett is in the DeSean Jackson mold -- small, slight, fast and lightning quick. Lockett benefits from Russell Wilson's ability to scramble to buy time and make big plays out of broken ones, but Wilson too was hobbled for much of last year. Lockett is expected to be brought back slowly as his leg heals, but he should be ready at some point during training camp. He's still the team's No. 2 receiver behind Doug Baldwin, but tight end Jimmy Graham will see his share of targets. There's upside here -- especially in non-PPR formats -- once Lockett returns to full health.
Seattle's second-round pick last year, Lockett proved to be a dynamic playmaker with six touchdowns on only 69 targets and two touchdowns in the return game (one kick, one punt), to boot. Lockett averaged 9.6 YPT and had two catches of 40 or more yards on modest volume. He also had 75 yards and a score in Seattle's playoff loss to the Panthers. At 5-10, 182, Lockett's not a red-zone target (only four in that area all year), but he ran a 4.40 40, is quick and shifty in the open field and is hard to stay with when Russell Wilson buys time scrambling. With Jermaine Kearse re-signing in Seattle, Doug Baldwin still around and Jimmy Graham possibly returning to action, Lockett's unlikely to see more than modest workload growth, but with Wilson under center, he will make the most of his chances.
The Seahawks traded up 26 spots in the third round to draft Lockett, a somewhat big investment for a special teams player. Coach Pete Carroll made clear that Lockett won't be used much, if at all, in the offense (and at 5-foot-10, 182 pounds, that's probably wise, at least initially). However, the Seahawks were desperate for a returner after finishing 25th in punt return average last year and 30th on kickoff returns, and Lockett was easily the best available option to fill that void in the draft. If he ends up usable in the slot, all the better.
More Fantasy News
Big-play WR on Sunday
WRSeattle Seahawks
January 7, 2024
Lockett turned two receptions (four targets) into 71 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 21-20 win over Arizona.
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Disappears in loss
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 31, 2023
Lockett recorded one reception on five targets for 10 yards in Sunday's 30-23 loss to the Steelers.
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Leading receiver on 11 targets
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 24, 2023
Lockett finished with eight receptions on 11 targets for 81 yards in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Titans.
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Little production off nine targets
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 18, 2023
Lockett had three receptions (on nine targets) for 21 yards in Monday's 20-17 win over Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Leading receiver in loss
WRSeattle Seahawks
December 10, 2023
Lockett corralled all six of his targets for 89 yards in Sunday's 28-16 loss to the 49ers.
ANALYSIS
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