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East Coast Offense: 2007 East Coast Offense-Week 9

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

East Coast Offense

By Christopher Liss
RotoWire Managing Editor

ESPN's New Brett Favre Commercial

Did you guys see the new ESPN Favre commercial on Monday night? I think you can see the short-cuts version on DirecTV in about 17 minutes, but the uncut three-hour version was really cool. I'm not sure who the Packers were playing, (Is Favre even on the Packers these days, or does the "G" on the helmet stand for "God bless Brett Favre?"), but I do know that ESPN loves Favre. They love the guy, and rightly so because he's great guy, and he and his family have been through so much. If you've ever read the Old Testament, you're probably familiar with the Book of Favre, where God takes away everything from Favre, but he still performs incredibly well on the football field - even in 2005 where he threw more interceptions than touchdowns, and his team did badly.

While most people are heaping praise on Terrell Owens, Michael Vick and Ricky Williams, it's so refreshing to see a network with the courage to give proper praise to a great player and person like Favre. Personally, I've always rooted for Favre in spite of all the criticism he's taken. Now that I know ESPN roots for Favre, I feel good about ESPN as a brand.

The sad thing is it was actually a pretty exciting game, one in which Jay Cutler led a terrific game-tying drive, and Favre really did make two legitimately incredible throws.

Why the Falcons Refuse to Give Jerious Norwood Carries

Got more feedback this week - not quite as insightful as last week's (by the way, the drunk chimp steered me very wrong, as you'll see below) - but I'll include it here nonetheless:

There are two reasons that Dunn is still getting more carries than Norwood, even though Norwood is obviously more explosive:

1) Jerious Norwood can't block - this is a big deal with Atlanta's porous O-line and immobile QBs, and

2) He doesn't know the playbook yet. Some players pick up a new offense more quickly than others. Jerious, unfortunately, is one of the "others" for some reason. The coaches can't trust him full-time because they can trust him to know what to do on every play.

Scott B

This must be true, because there's no other plausible explanation. Nonetheless, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution thinks that the team will turn to Norwood before long anyway.

But I appreciate the intelligent feedback - for a while I was worried that even Brad Evans' readers were smarter than mine.

Waiver Wire

I'd like the record to show that in the Yahoo! Friends and Family league, I owned Ryan Grant and Justin Fargas at one point. Of course, I dropped them when they weren't getting any carries, and now I'm quite sure they won't be around for me to pick up. But maybe you've got a higher waiver priority in which case, you should roll the dice. Grant, who got 100 yards against Denver's awful run defense, will start going forward, and Fargas could get a bigger slice of the carries for the Raiders with LaMont Jordan ineffective since returning from his back injury. (Dom Rhodes is also in the mix, but he's No. 3 on the depth chart).

Chris Henry has been the Titans' most explosive back when he's gotten the chance to carry the ball, and with Chris Brown perpetually nicked up, Henry has a chance to stay in the mix. If anything were to happen to LenDale White, not exactly a paragon of durability, the upside for whoever's running behind that offensive line is significant.

Michael Bush might also be worth a look - he started practicing with the team - and for the season's final four games it could be the JaMarcus Russell/Michael Bush show. Both are long shots to make a major fantasy impact, but in deep leagues, any back who might get carries is worth a look, and Bush has the size and athleticism to be very good if healthy.

Kellen Clemens was finally named the starter in New York. There's no reason to think he won't be productive given the positive signs he's shown in limited action, the quality of the Jets' receivers and the potential for shootouts given the team's leaky defense.

J.P. Losman will also get at least one start, and that might be all he needs - Cincinnati's an ideal match for a shootout. Buffalo's also got Miami twice and Cleveland left on the schedule - which makes Losman a decent spot starter down the stretch if he keeps the job.

Around the League

  • Maybe there's something wrong with me, but I haven't given up on Vince Young yet. He's not startable at this point, but I'd stash him on my bench rather than drop him. As one of our baseball colleagues, Ron Shandler says, once a player displays a skill, he owns it, and what we saw out of Young for eight games in 2006 (and in college) didn't somehow go away. I have a feeling he'll have a couple big games before the season's out.
  • Marques Colston's three-TD game caused Universal to cancel production on a 2009 release entitled: "Marques Colston" starring George Clooney as Colston.
  • So much for all the Vincent Jackson hype heading into the season. It was bad enough that he was always going to be the third option on his own team, but that never was a problem for Reggie Wayne in the Edgerrin James days or T.J. Houshmandzadeh a couple years ago. But now that Jackson's behind even Chris Chambers (who had one of the worst per-play seasons for a receiver in NFL history last year), it's hard to see him making an impact. Maybe ever.
  • Carson Palmer is the fourth best quarterback in the AFC this year, behind the big two (actually, the big one and Peyton Manning) and also Ben Roethlisberger, who continues to have a fantastic year. If you take out 2006 when he was playing with less than a full deck, Roethlisberger is off to a better start to his career than Tom Brady or Manning. (Roethlisberger has less yards and TDs, but only because he has fewer passing attempts. Roethlisberger's per-play numbers are far better). Derek Anderson also has to be in the conversation, and it's getting to the point where this might not be a one-year thing. (Maybe it's a Brees/Rivers situation in Cleveland).
  • Santonio Holmes/Hines Ward might be a poor man's Chad Johnson/T.J. Houshmandzadeh. Holmes will make most of the big plays and get more yards, but Ward seems to be the guy Roethlisberger looks for near the end zone.
  • Is there a more thankless job than playing quarterback for the Houston Texans?

Beating the Book

It was a truly awful week for us against the spread - we knew that going in, and I was actually tempted to tell people to bet the opposite of our picks. But you can't do that because then your picks ARE the opposite of your picks, and they should do the opposite of that. We were so turned around by last week's slate that we were going to go wrong, either way. The good news is that despite three bad weeks, we're still at .500, and historically we're better in the second half of the year anyway. We also got the pick in this forum wrong with the Jets, putting us at 2-6 here, and our 3-10 showing overall dropped us to 54-54-8 on the year.

Patriots -5.5. at Colts

We know the Patriots have covered eight straight weeks, and we've gone against them most of the time, actually, and gotten killed. But so have the bookies, because every average schmoe is putting more and more cash every week on the Pats. So naturally, the bookies are eventually going to set a line so absurd that all the blind-faith New England money is going to come back to them. This is that line.

Think about it - the Colts are the defending Super Bowl champs, they're undefeated, and they're blowing out teams with winning records like Carolina and Jacksonville on the road. That they would be getting this many points at home against anyone is insane. If you figure three points for home field advantage, that means this line would be 11.5 in New England. Can you imagine an 8-0 team coming off a Super Bowl win and looking better than ever getting 11.5? That's what this line is. Total madness. That doesn't mean the Pats can't cover - they could. But the odds are against it. Back the Colts.

Colts 30 - 27

The full article comes out on Thursday morning.

Surviving Week 9

It wasn't pretty, but the Giants got the job done, and that's good enough for us. Unfortunately, most of the big favorites won except for the Bears, so not too many people got knocked out of our pools.

This week, we're going with the Steelers who we haven't used yet. It worries us a bit that they get Baltimore off the bye week, and that Baltimore killed them twice last year. But this isn't the same Ravens team, and it's not the same Steelers one, either. For one, Roethlisberger's having a Pro Bowl type season, and two, the Ravens defense isn't what it was. We give Pittsburgh a 75 percent chance to win this game.

The full article comes out on Thursday morning.

Article first appeared 10/30/07