MLB Betting: Monday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Monday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article 2-2, +0.1

Overall 72-55 +10.93

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 7:05 PM ET

Andrew Heaney vs. Jorge Lopez

The new-look Yankees come back home after taking all 3 games against the Marlins in Miami. While the offense was lacking in those games, a lot of that was the ballpark and the lack of a DH.  The Yankees are a huge home favorite at -275 with a total of 10.  We had a similar situation Sunday with the Dodgers/Dbacks, which paid off huge by taking the Dodgers at plus money -1.5 in the F5. Unfortunately, the odds are not in our favor with that scenario in this game.

But I can see both teams putting up runs early in this game so we can pivot to an over on the F5 at 5.5 runs. 

BET – Orioles/Yankees over 5.5 runs F5 (-115) for 1 RW buck

New York Mets at Miami Marlins 7:10 PM ET

Tylor Megill vs. TBD 

The Marlins have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 3 games.  Their lineup is the weakest in baseball with no Garrett Cooper, Adam Duvall, or Starling Marte. Megill has been averaging about a strikeout per inning and has gone 6 innings in 2 out of his last 3 starts. I like Megill to go about 5.5 – 6.0 innings in a very pitcher-friendly park in Miami against a very weak lineup. 

I would shop around and look for a 5.5 with low or plus juice on this, but for now we will take over 4.5 on the strikeouts at -149.  

BET – Megill over 4.5 strikeouts (-149) for 1 RW buck
(If you can find 5.5 with low / plus juice, that is the recommended play). 

BET – Megill under 2.5 earned runs (-135) for 1 RW buck

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks 9:40 PM ET

Anthony DeSclafani vs. Taylor Widener

I have had good success picking on the Diamondbacks when they are in the middle of a slump and that is what we have again. The Dodgers smashed them yesterday and have owned them all season. The Giants have as well, going 9-1 against them this year and 17-3 over the last two seasons. The Giants have outscored them 75-36 (7.5 to 3.6 runs per game).           

With the odds being pretty high in a lot of scenarios and DeSclafani have some struggles recently, I would rather bank on him going 6 innings which he has done in 7 out of his last 10 starts. 

BET – DeSclafani over 17.5 outs (-110) for 1 RW buck

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Rathburn
Known as “Rath” in the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) community, he has helped run operations for two prominent daily fantasy sports startups. Michael has taken his insider knowledge and expertise in daily fantasy sports to the content side. Rath won the 2016 FSWA "Baseball Article of the Year, Online" award and was a finalist for the FSWA Best Baseball Series in 2011.
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