MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

MLB Betting: Wednesday Best Bets

This article is part of our MLB Betting series.

Previous article: 2-2, -0.34 RW Bucks       

Season: 83-84-7, -6.51 RW Bucks

I'm honing in on two Wednesday evening games where I envision a low-scoring affair and yet another dominant performance by Zack Wheeler in a game in which the Phillies are very heavy home favorites.

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins 6:40pm ET

Starting Pitchers: Josiah Gray vs. Elieser Hernandez

The Pick: Under 4.5 runs – first 5 innings (-140 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

Secondary Pick: Under 8 runs (-105 on DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

Gray has had his share of troubles over his last four trips to the mound, pitching to an 11.42 ERA, 1.96 WHIP and 3.1 HR/9 across 17.1 innings. The right-hander did stymie the Marlins at LoanDepot Park right before the start of that ugly stretch, however, allowing just two earned runs over six innings. Miami also has just a .283 wOBA and -11.8 wRAA against righties at home in the last month. Meanwhile, Hernandez has yielded three ER or less in all but one of his nine appearances and faces a Nats team with a .222 average and pedestrian .307 wOBA against righties on the road in the last month.

Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies 7:15pm ET

Starting Pitchers: Keegan Akin vs. Zack Wheeler

The Pick: Wheeler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+100 on FanDuel Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

Secondary Pick: Phillies To Score First and Win (-115 on DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1 RW Buck

Wheeler has thrown at least eight strikeouts in 15 of his 30 starts, and he owns a 10.6 K/9 at home. The Orioles also come into Wednesday's matchup with a 28.2 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching on the road in the last month and have just a .222 average and .285 wOBA in that split as well. The Phillies are massive favorites here in terms of the straight moneyline with Akin (1-6, 7.71 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 2.2 HR/9 on road) on the hill for Baltimore, but I'll get around the heavy juice with the secondary pick.    

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only MLB Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MLB fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
MLB Betting: Tuesday's Best Bets
MLB Betting: Tuesday's Best Bets
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Championship Series Targets
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Championship Series Targets
DraftKings MLB: Monday Breakdown
DraftKings MLB: Monday Breakdown
MLB Betting: Monday's Best Bets
MLB Betting: Monday's Best Bets
Bernie on the Scene: First Scouting Profiles From the Arizona Fall League
Bernie on the Scene: First Scouting Profiles From the Arizona Fall League