Handicapping the NBA: Friday Best Bets
Handicapping the NBA: Friday Best Bets

This article is part of our Handicapping the NBA series.

Nick Whalen: Heat (+1.5) at Thunder (DK Sportsbook, 12:30pm)

Miami took two bad losses last week to the New York teams, but the Heat rebounded to win at home against the Spurs on Wednesday. Playing in OKC is a tougher ask, but I like Miami to cover the 1.5, and probably win this game. The Thunder are the best team in the NBA against the spread, but they're only 7-7 ATS as a home favorite this season. Miami is also a .500 team ATS as a road underdog, so I'll side with what I think is the more talented team. The Thunder have also dropped back-to-back games at home by a combined 24 points.

Alex Barutha: Bulls at 76ers, under 215.0 (William Hill sportsbook, 2:52 PM)

This line opened at 216.5 in most places, so some value has been bet out of it already. That's been the result of sharps/big bettors. At the time of writing, only 35 percent of the tickets written for this total have been for the under, but 75 percent of the money is on the under (per the Action Network). A closer look into these teams' recent trends informs us why that might be the case.

The 76ers are 3-1 to the under over the past four games without Joel Embiid, but the single over hit by just one point, and the unders hit by a combined 51.5 points, which is an absurd number. The Bulls have also hit the under three times in a row, and by a decent combined margin of 19.5 points. Chicago is a better defensive team than most casual fans are aware of, and these two squads combine to allow opponents to score just 213.4 points per game – the 76ers ranking sixth-best with 105.7 PPG and the Bulls ranking 10th-best with 107.7 PPG.

RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NBA Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NBA fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
NBA Roundtable: How High Should Zion Be Drafted?
NBA Roundtable: How High Should Zion Be Drafted?
FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays
FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays
Injury Analysis: Simmons Battling Back Injury
Injury Analysis: Simmons Battling Back Injury
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Monday Picks
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Monday Picks
DraftKings NBA: Monday Cheat Sheet
DraftKings NBA: Monday Cheat Sheet
NBA Waiver Wire: Top Adds for Week 19
NBA Waiver Wire: Top Adds for Week 19