This article is part of our NBA Offseason series.
Analyzing the NBA offseason, in particular player movement, is key to getting a leg up on the competition heading into fantasy drafts.
Looking at teams on paper and accurately predicting how the players will mesh – who will thrive and who won't – can sometimes be an exercise in futility. But the melding of research and guesswork is all part of the fun of playing fantasy sports.
While the 2021 offseason did not see as many big-name stars on the move as in years past, several key players – from Kyle Lowry to Lonzo Ball to Kemba Walker – changed zip codes and reshaped rosters in the process.
With the dust (mostly) settled on free agency, here are the players whose fantasy values could be set to rise, or fall, in 2021-22.
Lonzo Ball, Chicago Bulls
Chicago picked up right where it left off during last season's trade deadline when it nabbed Nikola Vucevic, making more win-now moves for Lonzo Ball and DeMar DeRozan this offseason. While DeRozan, Vucevic and Zach LaVine will likely all see slight reductions in value, Ball's fantasy stock might fall the farthest of the four.
Why is that? For one, Ball is best when he's in transition, and the Bulls don't exactly project to be the '04 Pistons on defense – they'll be forced to take the ball out of the basket more often than not. Moreover, Ball simply doesn't put enough pressure on defenses as a driver or off-the-dribble shooter