NBA Bets Today: Free Picks for Wednesday, May 11

NBA Bets Today: Free Picks for Wednesday, May 11

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Tyus Jones over 13.5 points (-130) vs. Warriors

DraftKings, 12:10 PM CT

Alex Barutha: Jones is thought of more as a passer/floor general than scorer, but he wasn't shy during Monday's Game 4 loss without Ja Morant. The backup point guard played 41 minutes and scored 19 points on 18 shots. That seems fluky at first, though it tracks with what Jones has produced without Morant in the past. In the six games this season Jones has started and seen 35+ minutes, he's averaged 16.8 points on 15.0 shots, and in the 124 minutes he's played with Morant off the court this postseason, he's averaged 17.1 points on 15.7 shots per 36. Golden State's defense is better than average, but Jones will also likely trend closer to 40-45 minutes again rather than 30-35 minutes. Plus, with Desmond Bane less than 100 percent, Memphis' offensive options are quite thin.

Warriors -4.0 at Grizzlies (-110)

DraftKings, 1:45 PM CT

Nick Whalen: Golden State isn't exactly coming off of the most encouraging performance in Game 4, and the series shifting back to Memphis is big, but the Ja Morant injury feels like it's taken the wind out of the Grizzlies' sails. The Warriors aren't going to shoot as poorly as they did in Game 4 – especially in the first half – and with that being the case, Memphis simply doesn't have the horses, sans Morant, to keep up. Dillon Brooks is not that guy, pal, and Jaren Jackson isn't a No. 2 scorer. With Desmond Bane still clearly battling lower-back issues, I like Golden State to close the series out with an emphatic victory.

Grant Williams over 4.5 rebounds (+100)

DraftKings, 1:35 PM ET

Ken Crites: Robert Williams is questionable for Game 5 due to lingering knee issues.  I think there is a good chance he doesn't play, which means Boston will need Grant's help inside. Big Al Horford played a season-high 42 minutes on Monday.  Banking on a repeat performance from the 35-year-old veteran seems crazy.  But I do suspect Milwaukee will occasionally make Lopez challenge Horford's outside shots, which could open the key for Williams and other Celtics.  Or we see more small-ball from Milwaukee, which will also help Williams.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Ken won the FSWA 2014 Humor Article Of The Year award. He's also the 2016 Champion of the prestigious RW NBA Keeper League and the 2019 Champion of the RW NFL Ottoneu Keeper League. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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