FantasyDraft NBA: Wednesday Picks

FantasyDraft NBA: Wednesday Picks

This article is part of our FantasyDraft NBA series.

After an eventful two-game Opening Night, the NBA returns with an ample 11-game ledger on Wednesday. With exponentially more choices than Tuesday, it's critical to hone in on the optimal values across the pricing scale, so let's dive in to where the dollars might best be invested Wednesday:

GUARDS

Damian Lillard, POR at PHO ($18,600): Lillard tormented the Suns last season to the tune of 33.8 points (on 47.1 percent shooting), 5.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists over four games, with the scoring average serving as his second-highest against any team. The success isn't surprising, considering the Suns gave up the most points (26.6) and made three-pointers (2.9) per game to point guards last season, along with 7.9 assists and 6.1 rebounds. Furthermore, Lillard boasted a 32.8 percent usage rate last season with C.J. McCollum off the floor, and the latter will notably miss Wednesday's opener while serving a one-game suspension due to his involvement in a preseason altercation.

Ricky Rubio, UTA vs. DEN ($13,300): The Nuggets weren't too far behind the Suns as far as vulnerability to point guards last season, as they allowed an average of 24.7 points, 9.4 assists, 6.2 rebounds and 2.1 steals to the position. That spells trouble against the all-around skills of Rubio, who showed a willingness to be more involved as a scorer in the latter portion of preseason by tallying back-to-back 20-point efforts. The Nuggets also allowed the second-highest field-goal percentage overall in the NBA last season (47.7 percent) and ranked next-to-last in defensive efficiency (110.5), factors that should also work in Rubio's favor Wednesday.

Jaylen Brown, BOS vs. MIL ($7,700): Brown's eye-opening performance in the opener isn't factored into his price, making him one of the slate's best value plays. The 2016 first-round pick accumulated 36.00 fantasy points on the strength of a 25-point, six-rebound, two-steal performance and draws a favorable matchup on the second night of the season-opening back-to-back. The Bucks allowed the sixth-most points per game (22.1) to two-guards last season, along with 5.2 rebounds, 4.3 assists, 1.3 steals and 2.9 made three-pointers per contest. Given Gordon Hayward's catastrophic ankle injury Tuesday, Brown looks like he could serve as one of Boston's primary sources of scoring alongside Kyrie Irving moving forward.

FORWARDS/CENTERS

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at BOS ($18,300): The Greek Freak averaged 21.5 points (on 48.5 percent shooting), 8.0 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 2.0 blocks and 1.5 steals against the Celtics in two games last season, and 24.1 points on 53.9 percent shooting in his 40 home games overall. Boston once again struggled against big men at the four last season, allowing the fifth-most points per game (20.9), along with 11.7 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.1 blocks to power forwards. Rookie Jayson Tatum acquitted himself fairly well in his first game, but he'll give up three inches in height to Antetokounmpo on Wednesday, furthering the latter's fantasy prospects.

Hassan Whiteside, MIA at ORL ($15,600): Whiteside's impressive numbers in four games versus the Magic last season included 19.3 points, 16.5 rebounds and 3.0 blocks per contest. The Magic allowed 21.4 points per game to centers, along with the fifth-most rebounds (15.3) and a bottom-10 figure in blocks (2.2) as well. The personnel hasn't really changed either, as Whiteside will be frequently matched up against Nikola Vucevic, who is much more renowned for his ability to score than his defensive proficiency.

Rudy Gay, SA vs. MIN ($10,900): With Kawhi Leonard already declared out for the opener with a quadriceps injury, Gay is set to take the floor as the starting small forward Wednesday. The Timberwolves ranked in the bottom half of the NBA last season in terms of points allowed per game to threes (20.0), and Gay brings multi-category upside that could enable him to easily return value on a price that doesn't account for the minutes he should see. It's also worth noting that Gay enjoyed plenty of success in his one game versus the T-Wolves last season, posting 28 points (on 55.0 percent shooting), six rebounds, two assists, two blocks and a steal.

UTILITY

Nikola Vucevic, ORL vs. MIA ($14,000): Vucevic and Hassan Whiteside have both proven capable of producing plenty against one another in the past, with the former's 20.3 points, 13.0 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.3 blocks over four games against the Heat last season serving as incontrovertible evidence in his favor. Miami allowed 20.9 points, 14.6 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 2.2 blocks and 1.4 steals per game to centers last season, while Vucevic averaged nearly two more points per game at home than on the road.

Jusuf Nurkic, POR at PHO ($13,800): C.J. McCollum's aforementioned absence should also give Nurkic's involvement a boost Wednesday, and it's worth noting that he sported a 26.5 percent usage rate with McCollum off the floor last season. The Suns allowed 22.0 points, 14.5 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 2.1 blocks to centers last season, while Nurkic thrived after arriving in Portland, averaging 15.3 points, 10.5 rebounds, 3.3 assist, 1.9 blocks and 1.2 steals across 19 post-All-Star-break games.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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