NBA Best Bets Today: Free Expert Picks, Props and Parlays for Thursday, May 19

NBA Best Bets Today: Free Expert Picks, Props and Parlays for Thursday, May 19

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Celtics at Heat under 207 points (-110)

FanDuel, 2:12 PM CT

Alex Barutha: These teams combined for 225 points in Game 1, so today's 207 over/under represents quite a drop. I'm on the under, though. The opening game felt uncharacteristically frantic from both sides. That was represented in the live-ball turnovers and fast-break opportunities leading to easy buckets for both teams. In Game 1, Boston and Miami combined to add 17.4 points per 100 possessions in transition play. During the regular season, that combined number was just 4.9 points. Getting Al Horford and Marcus Smart back should also help the Celtics play better defense – much needed after the Heat torched the Celtics for 112.2 points per 100 halfcourt possessions (88th percentile in the playoffs). Ultimately, I'm expecting both teams to clean things up in what should look more like halfcourt rockfight in Game 2.

Boston Celtics +3 (-110) at Miami Heat

DraftKings, 1:15 PM CT

Nick Whalen: Even if Al Horford misses a second straight game, and even with Derrick White sidelined, I like Boston's chances to bounce back and even the series before heading back home. We saw the Celtics drop Game 1 against Milwaukee and rebound with an impressive Game 2 showing, and it's important to keep in mind that Boston was the better team in Game 1 – with the exception of that disastrous third quarter.

Jayson Tatum over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105)

DraftKings, 1:15 PM CT

Nick Whalen: This one is slightly shaded toward the under (-125), but I actually think it's a fairly friendly number – and one that Tatum has topped six times already this postseason, including in Game 1.

Heat moneyline + game total under 207 points parlay (+218)

DraftKings, 12:58 PM CT

Charlie Dern: This parlay is largely contingent on if Marcus Smart plays or not. He's currently probable to play, which should help to slow Jimmy Butler and Miami's offense down. Miami has also been playing very low-scoring games as of late, with nine of their last 12 games finishing under the total. With all of Boston's lineup uncertainties, I really don't trust the Celtics to get it done in game two, especially while Miami is currently unbeaten at home in the playoffs

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Charlie Dern
Charlie Dern is a breaking news contributor for RotoWire, specializing in college sports. He formerly was a beat writer for the Lakeshore Chinooks and Sports News Editor for the Badger Herald, where he covered Wisconsin men's basketball, men's hockey, and football.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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