DFS College Basketball: Thursday Preview

DFS College Basketball: Thursday Preview

This article is part of our DFS College Basketball series.

We have several high-profile teams playing tonight, although most of the contests on the slate are projected to end in blowouts. You'll want to adjust lineups accordingly.

Targets

Jared Butler, G, Baylor ($7,900 DK, $7,500 FD)

Baylor is expected to score the most points of any team in the common pool of games, so it's only natural we consider its best player. Butler had his worst game of the season against Kansas back on Saturday but already bounced back with a strong performance on Tuesday against West Virginia. I'm anticipating Butler will remain in top form once again because Baylor previously played Oklahoma State a few weeks ago, and Butler scored the most points of anyone in the game.

Evan Battey, F, Colorado ($4,700 DK, $4,900 FD)

Arizona State is arguably the worst rebounding team in the Pac-12, so Colorado frontcourt players have a major matchup advantage entering the game. Battey is a strong option because he has the third-highest usage rate on the team, the 20th-best offensive efficiency rating in the Pac-12 since conference season started and also boasts the seventh-best offensive rebounding rate in the conference.

Hunter Dickinson, F, Michigan ($7,000 DK, $7,500 FD)

Dickinson had cooled off over the past couple of games so his salary is lower than usual, giving us a nice opportunity to take advantage. Michigan State's defense has played below average during conference play, in terms of adjusted efficiency, and it's noticeably weaker against two-point shots. Dickinson has already shown that he has an incredibly high ceiling, so this seems like an optimal time to roll the dice on him.

DraftKings Exclusive

Derek Culver, F, West Virginia ($7,300)

If you're playing DraftKings, the other notable exclusive option is Luka Garza and the Iowa Hawkeyes, but if you're looking for an alternative, I'd suggest Derek Culver. TCU has the worst defensive efficiency in the Big 12, and more importantly for Culver, the Horned Frogs are a weak rebounding team. I'm expecting Culver to put up a lot of shots and secure a ton of rebounds in today's game.

Fades

Aaron Henry, F, Michigan State ($9,000 DK, $8,100 FD)

Henry is coming off one of his best games of the season but unfortunately now has to face one of the toughest defenses in the country. Michigan's defense ranks fourth overall, making it incredibly difficult to bet against. Also worth noting, Michigan's defense is the second-best in the country at guarding against two-point baskets, which a major problem for Henry because that's his primary method of scoring.

Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe, F, Oklahoma State ($6,000 DK, $5,300 FD)

The Cowboys aren't expected to crack 70 points tonight, making them another unappealing option. I won't go as far as fading freshman phenom Cade Cunningham, although selecting any other Cowboy against a team like Baylor is too much risk for my liking. Moncrieffe has been inconsistent lately so I'm staying away given the situation.

Kimani Lawrence, F, Arizona State ($8,000 DK, $5,900 FD)

Colorado has the second-best defense in the Pac-12 in terms of adjusted efficiency, so the Sun Devils are another bunch that I'm trying to avoid. Kimani Lawrence, in particular, makes for an interesting regression candidate. Lawrence recently had two of the best games of his career, except those games are less impressive when accounting for the fact that both games came against the same opponent: Washington. The Huskies and the Sun Devils are easily the two worst rebounding teams in the Pac-12, so it comes as no surprise that Lawrence was able to dominate. Lawrence hasn't yet proven that he can sustain such a high level of production, making him an easy fade in today's contest. Not to mention, the Sun Devils are getting Marcus Bagley, Pavlo Dziuba and John Olmsted all back for this contest.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Steve Peralta plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Buddusky, DraftKings: Buddusky24.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Steve Peralta
Graduated from USC in 2012 while interning for ESPN and FOX Sports. Following graduation, I started working full-time for FOX Sports and been there ever since. Been an avid fantasy player for over fifteen years. In addition to my fantasy teams, you'll also find me rooting for the USC Trojans and New York Yankees.
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