This article is part of our On Target series.
Last week in On Target, I looked at five guys who were going in the later rounds of drafts who could see big volume increases over their projection. The idea was to give you a look at who could potentially be startable early in the season and justify their investment almost immediately. Today, we are going to do the converse and look at five wide receivers who are being drafted as starting players already who could very conceivably have volume concerns. I am not saying any of these players are undraftable, or that I do not like them, but merely pointing out the pessimistic side of their projection.
DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans
Hopkins is not the No. 2 wide receiver in my personal rankings, nor is he in the first round of my potential selections. In fact, I believe that Hopkins is the most overvalued asset in the first round of drafts because his volume concerns are very real. Most of what we think we remember about Hopkins' 2017 is false. His big-volume games did not come with Deshaun Watson under center but rather with Tom Savage. In the seven games that Watson started, Hopkins saw only 10.8 targets per game, which is still a lot but not the gargantuan 12.3 targets per game that he saw when Savage was in. Hopkins' current draft position is predicated on being better than Julio Jones and Odell Beckham; spoiler alert, he isn't. If Hopkins regresses back to a