This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Week 13 was a mixed bag. I went 7-7 ATS, lost my best bet (again), the Broncos, but went 4-1 in the SuperContest.
This week I have a lot of coin flips – Steelers-Vikings, Raiders-Chiefs, Cowboys-Team and Rams-Cardinals, but I feel especially good about the Panthers and Buccaneers.
Steelers +3 at Vikings
The Vikings are banged up, likely missing Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen, their top two pass rushers and possibly their starting left tackle. The Steelers are healthier with T.J Watt, Minkah Fitzpatrick and maybe even Joe Haden back. That said, when I first saw this line, I loved the Vikings, so I'll stick with it.
Vikings 24 - 20
Raiders +9.5 at Chiefs
The Chiefs destroyed the Raiders the first time they met in Las Vegas, and their defense has played well over the last month. The Raiders have been bad on both sides of the ball, except for the Thanksgiving Day game against the Cowboys. Maybe the Raiders turn it around, but I'll lay the wood.
Chiefs 30 - 20
Saints -5.5 at Jets
The Jets' defense is terrible, but the Saints are so banged up, missing both starting tackles, Alvin Kamara and DE Marcus Davenport last week, and now star kick returner and No. 2 WR Deonte Harris is suspended for a DUI and Cameron Jordan has Covid. Moreover, Taysom Hill is playing through finger and foot injuries. It's hard to find information yet about Kamara and the tackles for this