DraftKings' best ball formats are full PPR and the drafts are 20 rounds long – two details that tend to make its ADP slightly different than most of the best ball world. With its distinct best ball ADP and the 20-round format, DraftKings' format gives drafters more chances for roster variation and rewards teams that draft effectively through all 20 rounds.
This article will identify five players to fade in DraftKings best ball, each time with superior alternative ADP values identified as pivot options.
Marvin Harrison, WR, ARI (34.8 DK)
Harrison loses ground in full PPR scoring because his appeal as a fantasy wideout has more to do with yardage and touchdown potential than raw target volume. In DraftKings NFL Best Ball the full PPR scoring better suits receivers with high target volume, especially the kind that lends to a high reception count.
The way the Cardinals used Harrison in 2024 had relatively little volume of such targets, because instead of arranging layup targets for Harrison they generally tried to force high-difficulty throws downfield. Harrison's average depth of target (13.1 yards) ranked 81st percentile among NFL receivers, a detail that likely informed Harrison's low catch rate of 53.4 percent.
Harrison likely has the ability to be a high-volume PPR monster, but the Cardinals don't have the luxury of lowering his depth of target much because Michael Wilson and Greg Dortch have no downfield presence at all. What tends to happen is Trey McBride gets most of the easy targets, because as long as Harrison gets stuck with the downfield routes he'll face persistent double teams while McBride sees a comparatively favorable look from the coverage.
Players like Mike Evans (35.7 DK), Davante Adams (39.7 DK) and DJ Moore (47.0 DK) all likely warrant higher target projections than Harrison.
Aaron Jones, RB, MIN (77.4 DK)
Although he was one of the best NFL running backs for a long time, it seems like Jones declined slightly in 2024, finishing the season with as many fumbles (five) as rushing touchdowns. For how often the Vikings got into scoring range, the five touchdowns was not much to show for 255 carries.
With age 31 approaching in December and Jordan Mason right behind him, Jones' workload probably faces its greatest question since 2018, when he had 133 carries in 12 games. While Jones was great at his peak, his game had more to do with vision and running instincts than it did athletic ability. Jones is smallish and has neither speed nor power to offer at this point.
Mason himself (88.5 DK) might be the better ADP value at this point, but in DraftKings' PPR scoring a passing-down back like Jaylen Warren (93.7 DK) projects especially well. Even Austin Ekeler (156.2 DK) has a prayer of matching Jones' PPR score this year.
Tyrone Tracy, RB, NYG (85.8 DK)
Tracy isn't terribly expensive so you could do worse even if he's a poor value in this range. With that said, the value at this price is not apparent for Tracy, who projects to lose work over the course of the year as Cam Skattebo (hamstring) asserts himself in short-yardage and pass-catching situations.
Tracy and Skattebo should coexist to make a formidable backfield for the Giants, but at this price Tracy more so needs to hold off Skattebo, the fourth-round pick out of Arizona State who ran for 1,711 yards and 21 touchdowns in 13 games last year. Skattebo could be a problem for a lot of running backs, and Tracy is far from tenured despite his promising 2024 rookie season.
The reason to prefer Skattebo at ADP (122.5 DK) is that he likely projects better than Tracy for both short-yardage and pass-catching functions. It's difficult to provide standout fantasy value when you're second in line for both touchdowns and receptions, and as soon as Skattebo shakes his hamstring injury he'll likely make his superiority in those two categories apparent, both to the Giants and to fantasy investors.
To be fair to Tracy, the longer Skattebo sits with the hamstring issue, the better Tracy's workload projects early in the year.
Keon Coleman, WR, BUF (101.3 DK)
Similar to Marvin Harrison from earlier, Coleman is a player whose fantasy utility suffers in full PPR, because in the Buffalo offense he tends to get the most high-difficulty routes, working farthest away from the quarterback both laterally and vertically.
Both Khalil Shakir and even Joshua Palmer (156.9 DK) are likely to draw more targets per snap than Coleman, who finished his otherwise promising rookie season with 57 targets on 567 snaps. At an ADOT of 15.2 yards, Coleman's downfield-oriented routes are a downward pressure on his target rate and catch rate both.
If Coleman doesn't score at least eight touchdowns then it isn't obvious how he keeps pace with Palmer, who should see an ADOT upwards of five yards lower than Coleman, which lends to easier, PPR-padding catches than Coleman's route tree.
Tucker Kraft, TE, GB (118.7 DK)
Tucker Kraft is an excellent real-life tight end, but his fantasy utility lags relative to his abilities on the actual field. Kraft makes major contributions as a blocker that don't show up in the fantasy point total, however, and coach Matt LaFleur's tendency to spread the ball around threatens to contain Kraft's target rate in a way that undercuts Kraft's fantasy value.
Kraft was outrageously efficient last year, catching 50 passes on 70 targets and generating 707 yards and seven touchdowns, but the volume upside is exceedingly difficult to envision. It took Kraft 871 snaps to get those 70 targets, and it's not easy to play 800-plus snaps every year at tight end.
The target rate needs to increase significantly for Kraft or he otherwise his fantasy utility more likely to regress in 2025 than improve. Given LaFleur's tendencies, there's not much reason to expect this.
Not only does Kraft's blocking abilities deprive him of pass-catching opportunities, but LaFleur is committed to utilizing a wide rotation of pass catchers, as if prioritizing unpredictability rather than the goal of maximizing the specifically best players. That Kraft is likely one of the very best tight ends doesn't do anything to address that issue.
Jake Ferguson (141.4 DK) would be a much better selection, and players like Brenton Strange (154.6 DK), Hunter Henry (167.3 DK) and Isaiah Likely (169.8) have good cases for superior value, too.
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